First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET (4:10 p.m. PT for you in East Los Angeles)
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
Weather Outlook — Fenway Park
Conditions: Clear skies, warm summer evening
Temperature: ~79°F at first pitch
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out toward left field
Humidity: ~55%
Impact: Boosts carry for right‑handed hitters; Fenway’s Green Monster becomes a major factor
Probable Pitchers
Washington — RHP Cade Cavalli
Record: 4–5
ERA: 3.88
WHIP: 1.29
Strikeouts: 72
Profile:
Power fastball/curveball mix
Generates strikeouts but can be homer‑prone
Fenway’s dimensions challenge his fly‑ball tendencies
Red Sox right‑handed hitters match well against his fastball
Boston — RHP Zach Early
Record: 2–6
ERA: 4.71
WHIP: 1.36
Strikeouts: 51
Profile:
Young arm with improving command
Struggles with runners on base
Nationals’ lineup is patient and draws walks
Needs to avoid middle‑in fastballs vs. Washington’s top hitters
Team Records & Recent Form
Washington Nationals (43–43)
Road Record: 21–22
Last 10: 5–5
Trend:
Offense averaging 4.7 runs per game over last 10
Rotation ERA: 3.91 in last 10
Bullpen stabilizing after rough early June
Boston Red Sox (37–46)
Home Record: 18–23
Last 10: 4–6
Trend:
Offense inconsistent (3.9 runs per game last 10)
Pitching staff allowing 5.2 runs per game over last 10
Bullpen ERA: 4.63 (bottom‑third in MLB)
Injury Report
Nationals
CJ Abrams — DAY‑TO‑DAY (shoulder)
Josiah Gray — OUT (elbow)
Hunter Harvey — OUT (lat)
Lane Thomas — DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)
Impact: Abrams’ status is critical — he’s Washington’s best table‑setter. Gray’s absence weakens rotation depth.
Red Sox
Rafael Devers — DAY‑TO‑DAY (wrist)
Triston Casas — OUT (rib)
Garrett Whitlock — OUT (elbow)
Kenley Jansen — OUT (hamstring)
Impact: Devers’ availability determines Boston’s offensive ceiling. Jansen’s absence hurts late‑inning stability.
Key Player Matchups
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Cade Cavalli (WSH)
If Devers plays, he’s the most dangerous bat in the matchup. Cavalli’s fastball sits in Devers’ preferred hitting zone.
Joey Meneses (WSH) vs. Zach Early (BOS)
Meneses has a .298 average vs. right‑handed pitching this season. Early’s command issues could give him RBI chances.
Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. Nationals Bullpen
Duran’s speed and gap power play well at Fenway. Nationals’ bullpen has allowed 11 runs in its last 18 innings.
Series History
2025 Season Series: Nationals won 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Nationals lead 6–4
At Fenway Park: Split 5–5 over last 10
Trend:
Washington has played Boston surprisingly well
Fenway’s dimensions often create high‑variance games
Betting Trends
Nationals
5–5 last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 10
Nationals are 4–2 in last 6 road games
Red Sox
4–6 last 10
Overs hit in 7 of last 10
Red Sox are 2–8 in last 10 home games
Game Odds
Washington Nationals 9
Boston Red Sox – 127
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 29, 2026
