First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET (3:40 p.m. PT for you in East Los Angeles)
Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio
Weather Outlook — Progressive Field
Conditions: Clear skies, warm summer evening
Temperature: ~80°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out toward right‑center
Humidity: ~58%
Impact: Slight boost for left‑handed power; neutral for right‑handed hitters
Probable Pitchers
Texas — RHP Jacob deGrom
Record: 4–3
ERA: 3.12
WHIP: 1.08
Strikeouts: 89
Profile:
Still elite when healthy; velocity back in the upper‑90s
Slider generating a 41% whiff rate
Guardians’ lineup struggles vs. high‑velocity right‑handers
Biggest question: durability and pitch count management
Cleveland — RHP Tanner Bibee
Record: 6–5
ERA: 3.54
WHIP: 1.22
Strikeouts: 94
Profile:
Excellent command and strikeout ability
Rangers’ right‑handed bats match well against his fastball
Bibee has been dominant at home (2.91 ERA at Progressive Field)
Team Records & Recent Form
Texas Rangers (43–42)
Road Record: 20–23
Last 10: 5–5
Trend:
Offense inconsistent (4.2 runs per game last 10)
Rotation stabilizing with deGrom back
Bullpen ERA: 4.47 (struggling in late innings)
Cleveland Guardians (44–41)
Home Record: 24–18
Last 10: 6–4
Trend:
Offense averaging 4.9 runs per game over last 10
Pitching staff allowing just 3.8 runs per game over last 10
Bullpen ERA: 3.61 (top‑10 in MLB)
Injury Report
Rangers
Corey Seager — DAY‑TO‑DAY (hand)
Josh Jung — OUT (wrist)
Nathaniel Lowe — OUT (ankle)
Dane Dunning — OUT (shoulder)
Impact: Seager’s status is critical — he’s Texas’ best pure hitter. Jung’s absence hurts middle‑order power.
Guardians
Steven Kwan — DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)
Emmanuel Clase — OUT (shoulder)
Triston McKenzie — OUT (elbow)
Bo Naylor — OUT (thumb)
Impact: Clase’s absence weakens Cleveland’s late‑inning reliability, though the bullpen has held up well.
Key Player Matchups
José Ramírez (CLE) vs. Jacob deGrom (TEX)
Ramírez is hitting .302 vs. right‑handed pitching this season. DeGrom’s slider is the key — Ramírez has a .188 average vs. elite breaking balls.
Adolis García (TEX) vs. Tanner Bibee (CLE)
García’s power plays well against Bibee’s fastball. García has 6 HR in his last 12 games.
Andrés Giménez (CLE) vs. Rangers Bullpen
Giménez’s speed and contact ability create late‑inning pressure. Rangers’ bullpen has allowed 13 runs in its last 20 innings.
Series History
2025 Season Series: Rangers won 4–2
Last 10 Meetings: Rangers lead 6–4
At Progressive Field: Split 5–5 over last 10
Trend:
Texas has handled Cleveland well recently
Guardians’ pitching has improved significantly this season
Betting Trends
Texas
5–5 last 10
Unders hit in 6 of last 10
Rangers are 3–7 in last 10 road games
Cleveland
6–4 last 10
Overs hit in 7 of last 10
Guardians are 5–1 in last 6 home games
Game Odds
Texas Rangers – 119
Cleveland Guardians 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 29, 2026
