Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario
Venue Information
Rogers Centre Toronto, ON
Capacity: 49,282
Retractable roof stadium — weather‑neutral when closed
Plays slightly hitter‑friendly when roof is open due to warm air and carry to left field
Turf surface increases ground‑ball speed, boosting offense
Historically favors power hitters and high‑contact lineups
Weather Forecast (Roof Status Likely Closed)
Temperature: 68–72°F outside
Sky: Clear
Wind: 5–8 mph (minimal impact indoors)
Humidity: ~55%
Impact:
With roof closed, conditions favor pitchers slightly
With roof open, ball carries well to left‑center
Toronto typically closes roof for night games unless weather is ideal
Injury Report
New York Yankees
RF Aaron Judge — Probable (toe soreness)
1B Anthony Rizzo — Out (forearm)
SP Gerrit Cole — Out (elbow recovery)
RP Jonathan Loáisiga — Out (elbow)
OF Jasson Domínguez — Probable (hamstring management)
Impact: Yankees’ lineup remains elite even without Rizzo; rotation depth is thinner but Weathers has stepped up.
Toronto Blue Jays
SS Bo Bichette — Out (knee)
OF George Springer — Questionable (wrist)
C Danny Jansen — Probable (hip)
RP Jordan Romano — Out (elbow)
SP Alek Manoah — Out (shoulder)
Impact: Toronto’s offense is missing its spark plug in Bichette, and bullpen lacks a true closer.
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Yankees (41–26)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 19–14
Strengths: Power, elite bullpen depth, strong rotation even without Cole
Weaknesses: Occasional strikeout issues, inconsistent bottom‑third lineup
Trend: One of MLB’s hottest teams; averaging 5.2 runs per game in June
Toronto Blue Jays (33–36)
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 17–18
Strengths: Contact hitting, improved defense, strong top‑end rotation
Weaknesses: Injuries, bullpen instability, lack of consistent power
Trend: Struggling to score; averaging just 3.4 runs per game in June
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Yankees lead 25–18
At Rogers Centre: Yankees lead 13–9
Last Meeting: Yankees won 2 of 3 in 2025
Trend: Yankees have won 6 of last 8 vs Toronto
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Ryan Weathers — LHP, New York Yankees
2026 Stats: 3.64 ERA | 1.19 WHIP | 68 K | 18 BB Profile: Left‑hander with improved command, heavy sinker, and a sharper slider. Strengths:
Excellent vs left‑handed hitters
Generates ground balls on turf
Strong road splits Concerns:
Toronto’s right‑handed bats (Guerrero, Kirk, Schneider) match up well
Vulnerable if slider flattens
Toronto Blue Jays — TBD (Likely Bullpen Game or Spot Starter)
Projected Options:
Bowden Francis (long reliever)
Mitch White (spot starter)
Trevor Richards (opener)
Profile: Toronto’s bullpen games rely on mixing matchups and limiting exposure. Strengths:
Can create favorable platoon matchups
Keeps Yankees off balance early Concerns:
Bullpen is depleted
No true long‑inning stopper
Yankees excel vs bullpen‑heavy games
Key Player Matchups
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs Toronto Bullpen
Judge crushes fastballs and mistakes
Toronto lacks a dominant right‑handed reliever Edge: Judge
Juan Soto (NYY) vs Toronto Right‑Handers
Soto’s OBP skills punish bullpen games
Rogers Centre boosts his opposite‑field power Edge: Soto
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs Ryan Weathers
Guerrero hits lefties extremely well
Weathers must avoid middle‑in fastballs Edge: Guerrero
Daulton Varsho (TOR) vs Weathers
Varsho struggles vs left‑handed pitching
Weathers’ slider is a problem for him Edge: Weathers
Betting Trends
New York Yankees
8–2 in last 10 road games
6 of last 8 games have gone Over
5–1 in last 6 Weathers starts
Toronto Blue Jays
3–7 in last 10 home games
5 straight Overs at Rogers Centre
2–6 in last 8 games vs teams above .500
Matchup Trends
Yankees have averaged 5.6 runs per game vs Toronto since 2023
Overs are 7–3 in last 10 meetings
Yankees have won 4 straight at Rogers Centre
Game Odds
New York Yankees 8
Toronto Blue Jays – 110
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
