Guaranteed Rate Field — Chicago, Illinois
Venue Information
Guaranteed Rate Field Chicago, IL
Capacity: 40,615
One of MLB’s most home‑run‑friendly parks, especially to left field
Warm summer nights increase ball carry
Wind direction heavily influences scoring — crosswinds can suppress power
Historically boosts right‑handed pull hitters and high‑velo pitchers
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 78–82°F at first pitch
Sky: Clear
Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to left‑center
Humidity: ~63%
Chance of Rain: <5%
Impact:
Boost to right‑handed power bats
Sasaki’s elite velocity should play well in warm air
Kay’s fly‑ball tendencies could be punished
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
1B Freddie Freeman — Probable (ankle soreness)
OF Mookie Betts — Probable (wrist)
C Will Smith — Out (concussion protocol)
RP Brusdar Graterol — Out (shoulder)
SP Walker Buehler — 60‑day IL (elbow)
Impact: Dodgers’ lineup remains elite, but losing Will Smith affects pitch‑framing and middle‑order depth.
Chicago White Sox
SS Tim Anderson — Probable (hamstring)
OF Luis Robert Jr. — Out (hip)
3B Yoán Moncada — Questionable (back)
RP Garrett Crochet — Out (forearm)
SP Michael Kopech — Out (shoulder)
Impact: White Sox lose their most explosive bat in Robert and a key bullpen arm in Crochet.
Team Records & Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers (44–25)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 21–13
Strengths: Elite rotation, top‑tier power, deep lineup
Weaknesses: Bullpen inconsistency, occasional strikeout issues
Trend: One of MLB’s hottest teams; averaging 5.6 runs per game in June
Chicago White Sox (36–31)
Last 10: 6–4
Home Record: 19–14
Strengths: Contact hitting, improved pitching depth, strong home performance
Weaknesses: Missing star power, bullpen volatility, inconsistent run production
Trend: Playing competitive baseball but struggling vs elite teams
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Dodgers lead 7–3
At Guaranteed Rate Field: Dodgers lead 4–2
Last Meeting: Dodgers swept 2‑game set in 2025
Trend: Dodgers have won 5 of last 6 vs Chicago
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Rōki Sasaki — RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
2026 Stats: 2.71 ERA | 0.98 WHIP | 112 K | 14 BB Profile: One of the most dominant pitchers in MLB — triple‑digit fastball, devastating splitter, elite command. Strengths:
Generates elite swing‑and‑miss
Excellent vs both lefties and righties
Road splits are outstanding Concerns:
White Sox lineup is contact‑oriented
Guaranteed Rate Field boosts home runs on mistakes
Mitch Kay — RHP, Chicago White Sox
2026 Stats: 4.33 ERA | 1.32 WHIP | 61 K | 22 BB Profile: Command‑first right‑hander with a cutter/curveball mix; relies on weak contact. Strengths:
Keeps ball on the ground when sharp
Effective vs aggressive lineups Concerns:
Dodgers work deep counts
Fly‑ball misses are dangerous in this park
Vulnerable to left‑handed power
Key Player Matchups
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs Mitch Kay
Ohtani crushes cutters and curveballs
Wind blowing out to left favors his power Edge: Ohtani
Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs Kay
Freeman handles command pitchers extremely well
Kay’s misses tend to be middle‑in Edge: Freeman
Eloy Jiménez (CWS) vs Sasaki
Jiménez hits high‑velo fastballs well
Sasaki’s splitter is the equalizer Edge: Sasaki
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) vs Sasaki
Vaughn struggles vs elite velocity
Sasaki’s fastball/slider combo is a mismatch Edge: Sasaki
Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers
8–2 in last 10 road games
6 of last 8 games have gone Over
7–1 in last 8 Sasaki starts
Chicago White Sox
5–1 in last 6 home games
4 straight Overs at Guaranteed Rate Field
2–6 in last 8 games vs teams above .500
Matchup Trends
Dodgers have averaged 5.9 runs per game vs Chicago since 2023
Overs are 6–2 in last 8 meetings
Dodgers have won 4 straight at Guaranteed Rate Field
Game Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers – 142
Chicago White Sox 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
