American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Venue Information
American Family Field Milwaukee, WI
Capacity: 41,900
Retractable roof stadium — weather‑neutral when closed
Plays slightly hitter‑friendly when roof is open due to warm air and carry to left field
Turf and indoor conditions typically favor power pitchers
One of MLB’s best home‑field advantages due to crowd noise and dome acoustics
Weather Forecast (Roof Likely Closed)
Temperature Outside: 72–75°F
Sky: Mostly clear
Wind: 6–10 mph (minimal impact indoors)
Humidity: ~55%
Impact:
With roof closed, conditions favor pitchers
With roof open, ball carries well to left‑center
Brewers typically close roof for night games unless weather is ideal
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
1B Bryce Harper — Probable (elbow soreness)
C J.T. Realmuto — Out (knee)
OF Brandon Marsh — Questionable (quad)
RP Seranthony Domínguez — Out (shoulder)
SP Taijuan Walker — Out (forearm)
Impact: Phillies lose a key defensive anchor in Realmuto and bullpen depth remains thin.
Milwaukee Brewers
SS Willy Adames — Probable (wrist)
OF Jackson Chourio — Probable (hamstring)
1B Rhys Hoskins — Out (ankle)
RP Devin Williams — Out (back)
SP Freddy Peralta — Out (shoulder)
Impact: Brewers’ bullpen lacks its elite closer, but lineup remains dangerous with Chourio and Adames active.
Team Records & Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies (37–31)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 17–18
Strengths: Starting pitching, power bats, improved OBP
Weaknesses: Bullpen volatility, inconsistent run production
Trend: Playing .500 baseball; offense has cooled in June
Milwaukee Brewers (41–25)
Last 10: 7–3
Home Record: 22–11
Strengths: Elite rotation, athletic lineup, strong defensive efficiency
Weaknesses: Bullpen depth without Williams, streaky middle‑order
Trend: One of MLB’s hottest teams; averaging 5.1 runs per game in June
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Brewers lead 10–8
At American Family Field: Brewers lead 6–3
Last Meeting: Split 4‑game series in 2025
Trend: Home team has won 7 of last 10 matchups
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Andrew Painter — RHP, Philadelphia
2026 Stats: 3.48 ERA | 1.16 WHIP | 79 K | 17 BB Profile: One of MLB’s premier young arms — upper‑90s fastball, sharp slider, advanced command. Strengths:
Dominant vs right‑handed hitters
Excellent road splits
Generates elite swing‑and‑miss Concerns:
Brewers’ lineup is right‑handed heavy but aggressive
Vulnerable to stolen bases and small‑ball pressure
Jacob Misiorowski — RHP, Milwaukee
2026 Stats: 3.22 ERA | 1.14 WHIP | 92 K | 26 BB Profile: Electric fastball (touches 100+), wipeout slider, elite extension. Strengths:
One of MLB’s highest K/9 rates
Nearly unhittable at home
Excellent vs power hitters Concerns:
Walk rate can spike
Phillies’ lineup works deep counts
Vulnerable to left‑handed contact hitters
Key Player Matchups
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs Jacob Misiorowski
Harper handles elite velocity better than almost anyone
Misiorowski’s slider is the equalizer Edge: Even
Trea Turner (PHI) vs Misiorowski
Turner’s speed + contact profile challenges high‑velo pitchers
Misiorowski must avoid middle‑in fastballs Edge: Slight Turner
Jackson Chourio (MIL) vs Andrew Painter
Chourio crushes high fastballs
Painter’s slider must be sharp Edge: Even
Willy Adames (MIL) vs Painter
Adames struggles vs elite velocity
Painter’s fastball/slider combo is a tough matchup Edge: Painter
Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies
4–6 in last 10 road games
6 of last 8 games have gone Under
5–2 in last 7 Painter starts
Milwaukee Brewers
8–2 in last 10 home games
5 straight Unders at American Family Field
7–1 in last 8 games vs teams above .500
Matchup Trends
Unders are 6–2 in last 8 meetings
Brewers have averaged 4.8 runs per game vs Philadelphia since 2023
Phillies have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of last 7 vs Milwaukee
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies 7.5
Milwaukee Brewers – 237
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
