Citi Field — Queens, New York
Venue Information
Citi Field Queens, NY
Capacity: 41,922
Plays pitcher‑friendly, especially at night
Deep right‑center alley suppresses home runs
Wind patterns often swirl, affecting fly‑ball carry
Historically favors power pitchers and contact‑oriented offenses
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 73–76°F at first pitch
Sky: Clear
Wind: 8–11 mph blowing in from left field
Humidity: ~60%
Chance of Rain: <5%
Impact:
Boost to pitchers
Hard for right‑handed hitters to elevate
Strider’s fastball/slider combo should dominate in these conditions
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
OF Ronald Acuña Jr. — Out (ACL recovery)
C Sean Murphy — Probable (hand soreness)
RP A.J. Minter — Out (shoulder)
SP Ian Anderson — 60‑day IL (elbow)
Impact: Atlanta’s lineup is still elite without Acuña, but bullpen depth is thinner than usual.
New York Mets
1B Pete Alonso — Probable (wrist)
SS Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle soreness)
OF Brandon Nimmo — Out (hamstring)
RP Edwin Díaz — Out (lat strain)
SP Kodai Senga — Out (shoulder)
Impact: Mets’ lineup loses on‑base ability without Nimmo, and bullpen lacks a true closer.
Team Records & Recent Form
Atlanta Braves (45–23)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 21–13
Strengths: Power, elite rotation, top‑tier defense
Weaknesses: Bullpen depth, occasional strikeout issues
Trend: Playing like the NL’s best team; averaging 5.4 runs per game in June
New York Mets (30–38)
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 15–19
Strengths: Middle‑order power, improved starting pitching
Weaknesses: Bullpen instability, inconsistent offense
Trend: Struggling to score; averaging just 3.1 runs per game in June
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Atlanta leads 28–15
At Citi Field: Atlanta leads 14–7
Last Meeting: Braves swept 3‑game series in 2025
Trend: Braves have won 9 of last 11 vs Mets
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Spencer Strider — RHP, Atlanta
2026 Stats: 2.88 ERA | 1.05 WHIP | 112 K | 21 BB Profile: One of MLB’s most dominant strikeout pitchers — elite fastball velocity, devastating slider. Strengths:
Leads MLB in K/9
Excellent vs right‑handed hitters
Citi Field suits his fly‑ball tendencies Concerns:
Occasionally inefficient pitch counts
Mets’ lineup has several hitters who punish mistakes (Alonso, Lindor)
Tyler McLean — RHP, New York Mets
2026 Stats: 4.21 ERA | 1.31 WHIP | 63 K | 18 BB Profile: Command‑first right‑hander with sinker/slider mix; relies on weak contact. Strengths:
Keeps ball on the ground
Effective vs aggressive lineups
Good at inducing double plays Concerns:
Atlanta’s lineup works deep counts
Vulnerable to left‑handed power
Struggles vs elite offenses
Key Player Matchups
Matt Olson (ATL) vs Tyler McLean
Olson crushes sinkers and sliders
Citi Field’s right‑center gap suits his swing Edge: Olson
Austin Riley (ATL) vs McLean
Riley handles command pitchers extremely well
McLean’s misses tend to be middle‑in Edge: Riley
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs Spencer Strider
Alonso has HR power vs elite velocity
Strider has dominated him historically Edge: Strider
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs Strider
Lindor hits sliders well
Strider’s fastball location will determine outcome Edge: Even
Betting Trends
Atlanta
8–2 in last 10 road games
6 of last 8 games have gone Under
7–1 in last 8 Strider starts
New York Mets
3–7 in last 10 home games
5 straight Unders at Citi Field
2–8 in last 10 vs Atlanta
Matchup Trends
Unders are 7–3 in last 10 meetings
Braves have averaged 5.7 runs per game vs Mets since 2023
Mets have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of last 8 vs Atlanta
Game Odds
Atlanta Braves 8
New York Mets – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
