Venue: Nationals Park — Washington, D.C.
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET / 12:35 PM CT / 10:35 AM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: MASN, Bally Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — NATIONALS PARK
Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
Wind: Blowing out to left‑center at 7–11 mph — boosts right‑handed power
Humidity: 58%
Precipitation: <10% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Nationals Park becomes hitter‑friendly with wind out
HR probability increases 10–20%
Expect moderate‑to‑high scoring potential
INJURY REPORT
Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (LF) — Probable, minor back tightness
William Contreras (C) — Probable, knee soreness but expected to start
Robert Gasser (SP) — Out, elbow inflammation
Trevor Megill (RP) — Out, shoulder fatigue
Washington Nationals
CJ Abrams (SS) — Probable, minor quad tightness
Lane Thomas (RF) — Questionable, wrist contusion
Josiah Gray (SP) — Out, forearm strain
Kyle Finnegan (CL) — Out, elbow inflammation
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Milwaukee Brewers (18–14)
Run Differential: +19
Road Record: 9–7
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense: 4.72 runs/game
Pitching: 4.02 ERA
Bullpen: 3.71 ERA (top‑10 MLB)
Washington Nationals (15–19)
Run Differential: -17
Home Record: 7–10
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense: 4.11 runs/game
Pitching: 4.58 ERA
Bullpen: 4.66 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Milwaukee Brewers
Offense clicking: 5.0 runs/game over last 8
Contreras and Yelich driving middle‑order production
Rotation inconsistent but bullpen strong late
Excellent plate discipline: top‑5 in MLB walk rate over last 2 weeks
Washington Nationals
Offense streaky: big innings followed by long droughts
Pitching staff allowing too many early deficits
Abrams and García Jr. carrying most of the load
Bullpen unreliable without Finnegan
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Milwaukee — Freddy Peralta (RHP)
2026 Season: 3–2, 3.68 ERA, 1.12 WHIP
Strengths: Strikeouts, elite fastball‑curveball combo
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues when fastball elevates
Vs. Nationals: 3.21 career ERA
Washington — MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
2026 Season: 2–3, 4.09 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Strengths: Swing‑and‑miss stuff, strong vs. lefties
Weaknesses: Command volatility, high pitch counts
Vs. Brewers: 4.50 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. William Contreras (MIL) vs. MacKenzie Gore (WSH)
Contreras crushes left‑handed pitching
Gore’s fastball can be punished if command wavers Edge: Brewers
2. CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Freddy Peralta (MIL)
Abrams excels vs. high‑velocity fastballs
Peralta’s fastball is elite but can be hittable early Edge: Even
3. Rhys Hoskins (MIL) vs. Nationals Park Dimensions
Hoskins’ pull power plays extremely well with wind out
Perfect HR‑friendly matchup Edge: Brewers
4. Bullpen Battle
Milwaukee: deeper, more reliable
Washington: missing Finnegan, struggling in 7th–9th innings Edge: Brewers
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Brewers lead 2–1 entering this game
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 7–3
At Nationals Park: Brewers have won 5 of last 7
Milwaukee consistently handles Washington’s pitching staff.
BETTING TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers
6–2 in last 8 vs. losing teams
Over is 5–2 in last 7 road games
7–3 in last 10 day games
Washington Nationals
3–7 in last 10 home games
Over is 6–3 in last 9 at Nationals Park
2–6 in last 8 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 136
Washington Nationals 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 2, 2026
