Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, New York
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET / 10:35 AM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: YES Network, MASN, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — YANKEE STADIUM
Temperature: 67–70°F at first pitch
Wind: Blowing out to right at 10–14 mph — boosts left‑handed power
Humidity: 55%
Precipitation: <5% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Yankee Stadium already favors left‑handed hitters
Wind out increases HR probability by 12–20%
Expect a hitter‑friendly environment, especially for lefty pull hitters
INJURY REPORT
Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (SS/3B) — Probable, minor hamstring tightness
Cedric Mullins (CF) — Questionable, wrist soreness
Kyle Bradish (SP) — Out, elbow recovery
Danny Coulombe (RP) — Out, biceps strain
New York Yankees
Aaron Judge (RF) — Probable, minor toe soreness
Giancarlo Stanton (DH) — Out, quad strain
Carlos Rodón (SP) — Probable, blister management
Jonathan Loáisiga (RP) — Out, elbow inflammation
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Baltimore Orioles (15–18)
Run Differential: -12
Road Record: 6–10
Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense: 4.19 runs/game
Pitching: 4.52 ERA
Bullpen: 4.39 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
New York Yankees (22–11)
Run Differential: +41
Home Record: 12–5
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense: 4.98 runs/game
Pitching: 3.71 ERA
Bullpen: 3.44 ERA (top‑10 MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Baltimore Orioles
Offense inconsistent: 3.7 runs/game over last 8
Rotation struggling to reach 6 innings
Bullpen taxed and unreliable
Henderson and Rutschman carrying most of the load
New York Yankees
Offense heating up: 5.3 runs/game over last 7
Pitching staff stabilizing, especially bullpen
Judge and Soto producing elite on‑base and power numbers
Strong situational hitting: .289 AVG w/ RISP last 10 games
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Baltimore — Grayson Rodriguez (RHP)
2026 Season: 2–3, 4.44 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
Strengths: High‑velocity fastball, swing‑and‑miss changeup
Weaknesses: HR susceptibility, especially vs. lefties
Vs. Yankees: 5.12 career ERA
New York — Carlos Rodón (LHP)
2026 Season: 3–1, 3.62 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: Strikeouts, dominant slider
Weaknesses: Occasional command lapses early
Vs. Orioles: 3.40 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Grayson Rodriguez (BAL)
Soto crushes high‑velocity fastballs
Rodriguez struggles vs. elite left‑handed hitters Edge: Yankees
2. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Carlos Rodón (NYY)
Henderson handles left‑handed pitching well
Rodón’s slider is the key counter Edge: Even
3. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Camden‑Yards‑Built Pitching
Judge’s power plays anywhere, but Yankee Stadium boosts his HR profile
Rodriguez’s elevated fastball is vulnerable Edge: Yankees
4. Bullpen Battle
New York: deeper, more reliable
Baltimore: struggling without Coulombe Edge: Yankees
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Yankees lead 2–1 entering this game
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
At Yankee Stadium: Yankees have won 7 of last 10
Games between these teams often trend high‑scoring in the Bronx.
BETTING TRENDS
Baltimore Orioles
2–7 in last 9 road games
Over is 5–2 in last 7 vs. AL East
1–6 in last 7 vs. teams above .500
New York Yankees
8–2 in last 10 home games
Over is 6–3 in last 9 at Yankee Stadium
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 9
New York Yankees – 240
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 2, 2026
