Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota
First Pitch: 1:10 PM CT / 2:10 PM ET / 11:10 AM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: Bally Sports North, Sportsnet, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — TARGET FIELD
Temperature: 57–60°F at first pitch
Wind: Blowing in from right at 9–13 mph — suppresses left‑handed power
Humidity: 50%
Precipitation: <10% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Target Field plays neutral‑to‑slightly pitcher‑friendly in cool temps
Wind in reduces HR probability by 10–18%
Expect more line‑drive scoring and fewer long balls
INJURY REPORT
Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette (SS) — Probable, minor hamstring tightness
George Springer (RF) — Questionable, wrist soreness
Kevin Gausman (SP) — Out, shoulder inflammation
Jordan Romano (CL) — Probable, light workload management
Minnesota Twins
Carlos Correa (SS) — Probable, heel soreness
Byron Buxton (CF) — Out, knee management
Max Kepler (RF) — Questionable, back tightness
Jhoan Durán (CL) — Out, forearm strain
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Toronto Blue Jays (16–17)
Run Differential: -3
Road Record: 7–9
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Offense: 4.22 runs/game
Pitching: 4.31 ERA
Bullpen: 3.97 ERA (top‑12 MLB)
Minnesota Twins (14–20)
Run Differential: -21
Home Record: 6–10
Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense: 3.89 runs/game
Pitching: 4.62 ERA
Bullpen: 4.71 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Toronto Blue Jays
Offense inconsistent but trending upward
Rotation depth being tested without Gausman
Bullpen performing well in leverage spots
Bichette and Guerrero heating up at the same time
Minnesota Twins
Offense struggling: 3.1 runs/game over last 8
Pitching staff allowing too many early deficits
Bullpen unreliable without Durán
Correa and Larnach carrying most of the load
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Toronto — José Berríos (RHP)
2026 Season: 3–2, 3.74 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: Curveball command, ground‑ball ability
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues vs. lefties
Vs. Twins: Former Twin; 3.88 career ERA vs. Minnesota
Minnesota — Joe Ryan (RHP)
2026 Season: 2–3, 4.21 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Strengths: Fastball deception, high strikeout potential
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to hard contact when elevated
Vs. Blue Jays: 4.33 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Joe Ryan (MIN)
Guerrero handles high fastballs well
Ryan’s fastball‑heavy approach plays into Vlad’s strengths Edge: Blue Jays
2. Carlos Correa (MIN) vs. José Berríos (TOR)
Correa has strong career numbers vs. Berríos
Berríos’ curveball is the key counter Edge: Twins
3. Daulton Varsho (TOR) vs. Target Field Dimensions
Varsho’s pull power is reduced by wind in from right
Gap‑to‑gap approach becomes more important Edge: Twins (park‑adjusted)
4. Bullpen Battle
Toronto: more reliable, deeper
Minnesota: missing Durán, struggling in 7th–9th innings Edge: Blue Jays
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Blue Jays lead 2–1 entering this game
Last 10 Meetings: Blue Jays lead 6–4
At Target Field: Twins have won 4 of last 7
Games between these teams often trend low‑scoring in Minneapolis.
BETTING TRENDS
Toronto Blue Jays
6–2 in last 8 vs. losing teams
Under is 5–2 in last 7 road games
4–1 in last 5 day games
Minnesota Twins
2–7 in last 9 home games
Under is 6–3 in last 9 at Target Field
1–6 in last 7 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
Toronto Blue Jays 8
Minnesota Twins – 110
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 2, 2026
