Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
VENUE / WEATHER
Comerica Park — Detroit, MI A pitcher‑friendly park with deep gaps and a spacious outfield.
Weather Forecast:
Temp: 84°F
Wind: W 7 mph (blowing slightly in from left)
Humidity: 52%
Precipitation: 10%
Conditions: Clear, mild evening Weather slightly favors pitchers; wind reduces carry to LF.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Baltimore — RHP Kyle Bradish
2026 Season: 6–6, 3.58 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
Elite slider/curveball combination
Generates high swing‑and‑miss rates
Tigers struggle vs. high‑spin breaking balls
Key vulnerability: occasional fastball command lapses early in games
Road ERA is slightly higher (4.02)
Detroit — RHP Keider Montero
2026 Season: 4–5, 4.44 ERA, 1.32 WHIP
Fastball/slider mix with improving command
Orioles’ lineup has been inconsistent vs. mid‑velocity RHP
Key vulnerability: left‑handed hitters with plate discipline
Home ERA: 3.98 (better than road)
CURRENT TEAM FORM
Baltimore Orioles — Last 10 Games: 5–5
Offense averaging 4.3 runs/game
Bullpen stabilizing after rough June
Road record: 23–30
Strength: top‑half OBP, strong middle‑order power
Weakness: inconsistent run production, streaky RISP hitting
Detroit Tigers — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 3.8 runs/game
Bullpen has been volatile; late‑inning issues persist
Home record: 26–27
Strength: young core (Greene, Torkelson, Keith) showing improvement
Weakness: bottom‑third OPS, struggles vs. quality RHP
INJURY REPORT
Baltimore Orioles
3B Jordan Westburg — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
RP Yennier Cano — 15‑Day IL (forearm)
OF Anthony Santander — Active but managing oblique tightness
SP John Means — Out for season (elbow)
Detroit Tigers
OF Riley Greene — Day‑to‑Day (shoulder)
RP Alex Lange — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
SP Casey Mize — Active but on workload management
C Jake Rogers — Day‑to‑Day (hand contusion)
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Kyle Bradish vs. Spencer Torkelson
Torkelson vs. breaking balls: .211 AVG, .389 SLG
Bradish’s slider is his best weapon Edge: Bradish
Kyle Bradish vs. Colt Keith
Keith handles high‑spin breaking balls better than most Tigers
Bradish must avoid middle‑zone sliders Edge: Slight Keith
Keider Montero vs. Gunnar Henderson
Henderson vs. RHP: .284 AVG, .540 SLG
Montero’s fastball sits in Henderson’s power zone Edge: Henderson
Keider Montero vs. Adley Rutschman
Rutschman excels vs. pitchers with command issues
Montero’s walk rate spikes under pressure Edge: Rutschman
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season Series: Orioles lead 2–1
Last 20 meetings: Baltimore 12–8
At Comerica Park (last 3 seasons): Baltimore 10–6
Orioles have consistently outperformed Tigers in pitching‑driven games
BETTING TRENDS
Baltimore
Orioles are 7–3 in Bradish’s last 10 starts vs. sub‑.500 teams
Under is 11–4 in Bradish’s last 15 road starts
Orioles are 5–1 in their last 6 games vs. Detroit
Detroit
Tigers are 4–9 in Montero’s last 13 starts
Under is 8–3 in Tigers’ last 11 home games
Tigers are 2–6 in their last 8 Monday games
Head‑to‑Head
Under has hit in 7 of last 10 meetings
Orioles have covered RL in 4 of last 5 matchups
ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT
Pitching WAR (2026)
Bradish: 2.8 WAR
Montero: 1.1 WAR
Team OPS (Last 30 Days)
Baltimore: .721
Detroit: .676
Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)
Baltimore: 3.89
Detroit: 4.92
Run Expectancy Model
Projected scoring:
Baltimore: 4.4–5.0 runs
Detroit: 3.6–4.2 runs
GAME ODDS
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Detroit Tigers – 112
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026
