First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Surface: Retractable Roof (roof status TBD)
Probable Pitchers:
- STL — Matthew Liberatore (LHP)
- MIL — Jacob Misirowski (RHP)
Weather Outlook (Milwaukee, WI)
Note: American Family Field’s retractable roof reduces weather impact, but conditions influence roof decision.
- Temperature: 70–73°F
- Wind: 9–12 mph blowing out to left‑center
- Humidity: ~55%
- Precipitation: 20% — slight chance of showers
- Roof Expectation: Likely closed or partially closed, minimizing wind effect
- Ballpark Impact: If roof closed → neutral; if open → slight boost for RH power
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
- Nolan Arenado — Day‑to‑day (back tightness; expected to play)
- Lars Nootbaar — OUT (oblique strain)
- Tommy Edman — OUT (wrist surgery recovery)
- Giovanny Gallegos — OUT (shoulder)
- Riley O’Brien — Probable (bullpen availability)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich — Day‑to‑day (knee soreness)
- Jackson Chourio — Probable (minor ankle tweak)
- Robert Gasser — OUT (elbow)
- Devin Williams — OUT (back)
- Garrett Mitchell — OUT (shoulder)
Team Records & Recent Form
St. Louis Cardinals (29–22)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 13–12
- Run Differential: +18
- Trend: Pitching staff stabilizing; offense inconsistent but clutch
- Key Note: Cardinals have allowed 3 runs or fewer in 5 of last 7 wins
Milwaukee Brewers (30–20)
- Last 10: 7–3
- Home Record: 16–9
- Run Differential: +31
- Trend: Rotation performing above expectations; bullpen shaky without Williams
- Key Note: Brewers have scored 5+ runs in 7 of last 10
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
STL — Matthew Liberatore (LHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~4.02
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/9: 8.7
- HR/9: 1.0
- Profile: Curveball‑first lefty; mixes sinker and slider
- Strengths: Generates soft contact; effective vs. LHB
- Weaknesses: Command inconsistency; RH hitters lift the ball well
- Matchup Fit: Brewers’ RH core (Contreras, Hoskins, Chourio) presents challenges
MIL — Jacob Misirowski (RHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~3.48
- WHIP: 1.17
- K/9: 10.1
- HR/9: 0.9
- Profile: Power fastball (97–99), sharp slider, emerging changeup
- Strengths: Misses bats; elite vs. LHB
- Weaknesses: Can be hittable early; pitch count climbs quickly
- Matchup Fit: Cardinals’ RH bats (Goldschmidt, Arenado, Winn) match up better than their LHB
Key Player Matchups
Cardinals Hitters vs. Misirowski
- Paul Goldschmidt: .295 career vs. high‑velocity RHP; strong matchup
- Nolan Arenado: If active, elite vs. sliders; good matchup
- Masyn Winn: Contact‑oriented; could exploit fastball command lapses
Brewers Hitters vs. Liberatore
- William Contreras: .310 career vs. LHP; excellent matchup
- Rhys Hoskins: Pull‑side power; roof‑open scenario boosts HR probability
- Jackson Chourio: Speed + lift; dangerous vs. curveball‑heavy pitchers
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Brewers lead 17–15
- At American Family Field: Brewers have won 6 of last 9
- Scoring Trend: 5 of last 7 meetings have gone OVER
Betting Trends
St. Louis Cardinals
- 5–2 last 7 as a road underdog
- UNDER 6–3 last 9 games
- Liberatore: Cardinals are 5–4 in his starts
Milwaukee Brewers
- 7–2 last 9 at home
- OVER 7–3 last 10 games
- Misirowski: Brewers are 6–3 in his starts
Head‑to‑Head
- Brewers 4–1 last 5 meetings
- OVER 5–2 last 7 in Milwaukee
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 7.5
Milwaukee Brewers – 210
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 24, 2026
