First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
Surface: Natural Grass
Probable Pitchers:
- MIN — David Matthews (RHP)
- CWS — Adam Kay (LHP)
Weather Outlook (Chicago, IL — 7:10 PM CT)
- Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
- Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to right field
- Humidity: ~58%
- Precipitation: <10% — no meaningful delay risk
- Ballpark Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly for LHB; wind favors pull‑side power
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
- Carlos Correa — Day‑to‑day (heel soreness; expected to play)
- Max Kepler — OUT (hamstring strain)
- Byron Buxton — OUT (knee inflammation)
- Jhoan Duran — Probable (light workload expected)
- Anthony DeSclafani — OUT (elbow)
Chicago White Sox
- Luis Robert Jr. — Day‑to‑day (wrist soreness)
- Yoán Moncada — OUT (back)
- Eloy Jiménez — OUT (quad strain)
- Garrett Crochet — OUT (shoulder fatigue)
- Michael Kopech — Probable (bullpen availability)
Team Records & Recent Form
Minnesota Twins (26–27)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Road Record: 12–15
- Run Differential: -9
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent without Buxton/Kepler
- Key Note: Twins have scored 4+ runs in 6 of last 8 wins, but 2 or fewer in 5 of last 7 losses
Chicago White Sox (26–26)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Home Record: 14–11
- Run Differential: -4
- Trend: Rotation improving; bullpen remains volatile
- Key Note: White Sox have won 4 straight home series vs. AL Central opponents
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
MIN — David Matthews (RHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~3.92
- WHIP: 1.24
- K/9: 9.0
- HR/9: 1.1
- Profile: Four‑seam/slider combo; mixes in changeup to LHB
- Strengths: Generates strikeouts; good vs. RH hitters
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to LHB with lift; occasional command lapses
- Matchup Fit: White Sox lefties (Sheets, Colás) have power upside with wind blowing out
CWS — Adam Kay (LHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~4.36
- WHIP: 1.33
- K/9: 8.4
- HR/9: 1.3
- Profile: Sinker/slider lefty; induces ground balls when sharp
- Strengths: Effective vs. LHB; keeps ball in park when ahead
- Weaknesses: Struggles vs. RH power; 2nd/3rd time through order issues
- Matchup Fit: Twins’ RH core (Correa, Miranda, Jeffers) profiles well
Key Player Matchups
Twins Hitters vs. Kay
- Carlos Correa: .310 career vs. LHP; strong matchup
- Jose Miranda: Hot streak (.325 last 12 games); excellent vs. sinkers
- Ryan Jeffers: Power threat vs. lefties; wind enhances HR probability
White Sox Hitters vs. Matthews
- Luis Robert Jr.: If active, elite vs. high‑velocity RHP
- Andrew Vaughn: .285 career vs. MIN; strong contact profile
- Oscar Colás: Pull‑side power fits wind conditions
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Twins lead 17–14
- At Guaranteed Rate Field: White Sox have won 5 of last 8
- Scoring Trend: 6 of last 9 meetings have gone OVER
Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins
- 4–1 last 5 as a road favorite
- OVER 7–3 last 10 games
- Matthews: Twins are 5–4 in his starts
Chicago White Sox
- 6–2 last 8 at home
- OVER 5–2 last 7 games
- Kay: White Sox are 4–5 in his starts
Head‑to‑Head
- OVER 6–3 last 9 meetings
- Home team has won 7 of last 10
Game Odds
Minnesota Twins – 112
Chicago White Sox 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 24, 2026
