Scheduled Tip‑Off: 7:00 PM ET
Venue Type: Intimate, low‑capacity arena; strong home‑court advantage for WAS.
CURRENT TEAM CONTEXT
Connecticut Sun (7–20)
A rebuilding roster with limited scoring depth and inconsistent defensive execution. Injuries and roster turnover have contributed to one of the league’s lowest offensive ratings.
Washington Mystics (14–12)
A playoff‑caliber team with strong guard play, improved spacing, and a top‑five defensive efficiency. Washington has been excellent at home and thrives in close‑game situations.
INJURY REPORT
Connecticut Sun
Alyssa Thomas — Out (shoulder)
Brionna Jones — Out (Achilles recovery)
Tiffany Hayes — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
DiJonai Carrington — Active
Washington Mystics
Elena Delle Donne — Day‑to‑Day (back management)
Shakira Austin — Active but limited minutes
Ariel Atkins — Active
Brittney Sykes — Out (knee)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Connecticut — Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offensive rating: 97.8 (bottom‑three WNBA)
Defensive rating: 104.9
Struggle in half‑court creation; rely heavily on Carrington and Bonner
Weakness: turnovers, defensive rebounding, late‑game execution
Washington — Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offensive rating: 103.7
Defensive rating: 99.2 (top‑five)
Strong guard play from Atkins, Cloud, and Sykes’ replacements
Strength: perimeter defense, ball movement, clutch scoring
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
DiJonai Carrington (CON) vs. Ariel Atkins (WAS)
Carrington is Connecticut’s primary slasher and defensive engine
Atkins is elite at navigating screens and forcing tough shots Edge: Atkins — better efficiency and defensive discipline
DeWanna Bonner (CON) vs. Elena Delle Donne (WAS)
Bonner still provides spacing and veteran scoring
Delle Donne (if active) is a matchup nightmare with size + shooting Edge: Delle Donne — even in limited minutes, her impact is massive
Ty Harris (CON) vs. Natasha Cloud (WAS)
Harris is steady but struggles against physical guards
Cloud is one of the league’s best defensive PGs Edge: Cloud
Shakira Austin (WAS) vs. Olivia Nelson‑Ododa (CON)
Austin’s mobility and rim protection are elite
Nelson‑Ododa struggles against physical post players Edge: Austin
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season Series: Washington leads 1–0
Last 10 meetings: Washington 6–4
At ESA (last 3 seasons): Mystics 7–3
Washington has consistently controlled pace and physicality in this matchup.
BETTING TRENDS
Connecticut
Sun are 2–8 ATS in their last 10 road games
Under is 7–3 in their last 10
Sun are 1–6 in their last 7 vs. teams above .500
Washington
Mystics are 6–2 ATS in their last 8 home games
Over is 5–2 in their last 7
Washington is 5–1 in their last 6 vs. teams under .500
Head‑to‑Head
Home team has won 5 of last 6
Connecticut has failed to score 80+ points in 7 straight vs. WAS
Mystics have covered RL in 4 of last 5 meetings
ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT
Team Efficiency
| Category | Connecticut | Washington |
| Offensive Rating | 97.8 | 103.7 |
| Defensive Rating | 104.9 | 99.2 |
| Net Rating | -7.1 | +4.5 |
| Pace | Slow | Moderate |
Key Statistical Edges
Washington +8.3 in turnover margin
Washington +6.1 in free‑throw rate
Connecticut -5.7 in second‑chance points allowed
GAME ODDS
Connecticut Sun 157
Washington Mystics – 6.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 27, 2026
