Tip‑off: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Target Center, 600 First Avenue North, Minneapolis, MN 55403
Team Records & Recent Form
Minnesota Lynx (15–5)
Home: 6–3
Last 5: L–W–W–L–W (from schedule feed)
Last Game: 99–86 loss vs New York (McBride 18 pts, 3 stl; Williams 16 pts)
Season Metrics:
86.0 PPG, 48.8% FG, 37.2% 3PT, 79.0% FT
35.1 RPG, 20.2 APG
Opponents: 80.3 PPG allowed
Connecticut Sun (4–16)
Road: 1–8 (six‑game road losing streak)
Last 5: L–W–W–L–L (from schedule feed)
Last Game: 86–83 loss vs Dallas (Lacan 18 pts, 5 ast; Leger‑Walker 14 pts)
Season Metrics:
79.5 PPG, 43.0% FG, 27.2% 3PT, 68.2% FT
33.7 RPG, 18.7 APG
Opponents: 86.6 PPG allowed
Injury Report
Minnesota Lynx
Napheesa Collier — OUT (ankles)
Emma Cechova — OUT for season (knee)
Dorka Juhasz — Day‑to‑day (foot)
Connecticut Sun
Hailey Van Lith — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
Saniya Rivers — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
Aneesah Morrow — Day‑to‑day (leg)
Series History
Minnesota has dominated recent matchups:
Last meeting: Minnesota 94–70 on Aug 30, 2025
Minnesota has won 7 of the last 10 meetings (spanning 2024–2025)
Connecticut’s last notable win: 92–82 on Oct 6, 2024 (Playoffs)
The Lynx have consistently controlled the series at Target Center.
Key Player Matchups
1. Olivia Miles (MIN) vs Aneesah Morrow (CON)
Miles: 18.5 PPG, 5.7 APG (team’s offensive engine)
Morrow: 10.5 PPG, 9.4 RPG, elite interior rebounder
Minnesota’s pace and spacing challenge Connecticut’s interior‑heavy defensive scheme.
2. Natasha Howard (MIN) vs Leila Lacan (CON)
Howard: 18.2 PPG over last 10 games, 8.1 RPG (team’s top rebounder)
Lacan: Coming off 18 pts, 5 ast vs Dallas, strong slashing guard
Howard’s physicality vs Lacan’s speed creates a tempo‑control battle.
3. Minnesota Offense vs Connecticut Defense
MIN: 90.3 PPG, elite efficiency (48.8% FG)
CON: Allows 86.6 PPG, opponents shoot 45.6% FG and 35.3% 3PT
Minnesota’s spacing and ball movement (20.2 APG) are a major mismatch.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
Minnesota
12–3 when favored on the moneyline (80% win rate)
14–6 ATS this season (strong cover team)
Games exceed 167.5 total in 12 of 20 contests (high‑scoring profile)
Connecticut
10–10 ATS (neutral)
Underdog in 18 games, won 4 (22.2%)
Games exceed 167.5 total in 8 of 20 contests (moderate scoring)
GAME ODDS
Connecticut Sun 166
Minnesota Lynx – 14
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 5, 2026
