Track: Churchill Downs — Louisville, Kentucky

Post Time: 4:06 PM ET

Distance: 1 1/16 miles (Turf)

Purse: $1,000,000

Expected Weather & Turf Conditions

Based on seasonal Louisville patterns (not a race‑day forecast):

Temperatures: mid‑60s to low‑70s

Wind: light

Rain: moderate chance but usually scattered

Projected Turf: Firm

Full Field Analysis

PP 1 — Street Beast

ML Odds: 15/1

Jockey: Luan Machado

Trainer: Ben Colebrook

Recent Finish: 4th at Keeneland (1710m, 4 weeks ago)

Profile: Strong early speed and competitive figures. Needs a perfect trip from the rail.

PP 2 — Let’s Be Frank

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Michael McCarthy

Recent Finish: 2nd at Santa Anita (1609m)

Profile: Improving colt but appears outclassed at this level.

PP 3 — Blinging It Back

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: A. Concepcion

Trainer: Mark Casse

Recent Finish: 3rd at Gulfstream (1509m)

Profile: Honest gelding with tactical speed. Fringe contender.

PP 4 — Stark Contrast

ML Odds: 4/1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Michael McCarthy

Recent Finish: 2nd at Turfway (1811m)

Profile: One of the most consistent in the field. Prat is elite on turf. A major win threat.

PP 5 — Blackout Time

ML Odds: 10/1

Jockey: Luis Saez

Trainer: Kenny McPeek

Recent Finish: 5th at Oaklawn (1811m)

Profile: Strong mid‑pack runner with upside. Needs pace help.

PP 6 — Black Hornet

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Declan Cannon

Trainer: Brendan Walsh

Recent Finish: 8th at Turfway

Profile: Inconsistent but has flashes of ability.

PP 7 — Alpyland

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Javier Castellano

Trainer: Mark Casse

Recent Finish: 1st at Tampa Bay (1609m)

Profile: Improving gelding with strong late kick. A live contender.

PP 8 — Greenwich Village

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: Juan J. Hernandez

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Recent Finish: 1st at Santa Anita (1609m)

Profile: Lightly raced and undefeated in 2026. A top‑tier win candidate.

PP 9 — Honey Dutch

ML Odds: 12/1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: D. Beckman

Recent Finish: 2nd at Keeneland (1710m)

Profile: Ultra‑consistent and always fires. Strong exotics player.

PP 10 — Vasy (IRE)

ML Odds: 10/1

Jockey: John Velazquez

Trainer: Brendan Walsh

Recent Finish: 3rd at Keeneland

Profile: European‑bred with stamina. Dangerous if pace is honest.

PP 11 — Steel Imperium

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: J. A. Torres

Trainer: Cipriano Caramori

Recent Finish: 8th at Turfway

Profile: Outsider needing a major leap forward.

PP 12 — Remember Mamba

ML Odds: 9/2

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

Trainer: Cherie DeVaux

Recent Finish: Dominant win at Keeneland (soft turf)

Profile: Enters off a blowout victory. The morning‑line favorite and most likely winner.

PP 13 — Thousandsticks

ML Odds: 15/1

Jockey: Joel Rosario

Trainer: Brian Lynch

Recent Finish: 3rd at Keeneland

Profile: Strong closer with upside. Could surprise.

PP 14 — Final Score

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Recent Finish: 1st at Keeneland

Profile: Dangerous from the outside. Irad + Pletcher is a lethal combo.

Projected Pace Scenario

Early Speed: Street Beast, Stark Contrast

Pressers: Greenwich Village, Blackout Time

Closers: Remember Mamba, Alpyland, Final Score

Expect a swift early pace, setting up a strong late charge from the closers.

Predicted Outcome

Remember Mamba — dominant last‑out win, ideal setup

Stark Contrast — consistent and tactical

Greenwich Village — undefeated in 2026

Alpyland — strong late kick for exotics

Track: Churchill Downs — Louisville, Kentucky

Post Time: 3:23 PM ET

Distance: 1 mile (Dirt)

Purse: $750,000

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

While entries do not include a forecast, early May in Louisville typically brings:

Temperatures: mid‑60s to low‑70s

Wind: light

Rain: moderate chance but usually scattered

Projected Track: Fast, based on seasonal norms

(This is climate‑based inference, not a race‑day forecast.)

Full Field Analysis

PP 1 — Englishman

ML Odds: 3/1

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Trainer: Cherie DeVaux

Pedigree: Maxfield – In It for the Gold

Profile: Undefeated colt with two blowout wins by open lengths. Tactical speed and strong finishing power make him a major win threat.

PP 2 — Trouble Calling

ML Odds: 5/1

Jockey: Luis Saez

Trainer: Gregory Foley

Pedigree: Dialed In – Into Trouble

Profile: Consistent grinder with improving figures. Saez is aggressive and fits his forward style.

PP 3 — Work

ML Odds: 50/1

Jockey: Edwin Maldonado

Trainer: Doug O’Neill

Pedigree: American Pharoah – With Mischief

Profile: Longshot with limited stakes success. Needs a major leap forward.

PP 4 — Secured Freedom

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: John Velazquez

Trainer: Tim Yakteen

Pedigree: Practical Joke – Securely

Profile: Honest colt with tactical speed. Velazquez boosts his chances.

PP 5 — Stop the Car

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: Brendan Walsh

Pedigree: Maximum Security – Pussyfoot

Profile: Improving but inconsistent. Needs pace and a clean trip.

PP 6 — Crude Velocity

ML Odds: 5/2 (Morning‑line favorite)

Jockey: Florent Geroux

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Pedigree: Beau Liam – Sweetnsour Kitty

Profile: Undefeated and dominant in allowance company. Baffert excels with one‑turn milers. The horse to beat.

PP 7 — Crown the Buckeye

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Mike Maker

Pedigree: Yaupon – Feisty Tomboy

Profile: Versatile and consistent. Prat is elite in one‑turn stakes. A major contender.

PP 8 — Creole Chrome

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Joe Sharp

Pedigree: Volatile – Funny Moon

Profile: Sharp recent form and strong speed figures. Irad elevates his chances.

PP 9 — Lockstocknpharoah

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Edgar Morales

Trainer: Thomas Drury Jr.

Pedigree: American Pharoah – Lockstep

Profile: Honest gelding but outclassed at this level.

PP 10 — Great White

ML Odds: 12/1

Jockey: Alex Achard

Trainer: John Ennis

Pedigree: Volatile – Kelly Bag

Profile: Improving gelding with upside. A live longshot.

PP 11 — One More Freud

ML Odds: 15/1

Jockey: Juan J. Hernandez

Trainer: Robert Hess Jr.

Pedigree: Tonalist – Freudian Finish

Profile: Consistent and competitive. Could hit the board at a price.

PP 12 — Baytown Dreamer

ML Odds: 50/1

Jockey: Danny Sheehy

Trainer: Paul McEntee

Pedigree: Mendelssohn – Colerful Bride

Profile: Outsider who needs a miracle trip.

Projected Pace Scenario

Early Speed: Crude Velocity, Trouble Calling

Pressers: Englishman, Crown the Buckeye

Closers: Creole Chrome, One More Freud

Expect a fast early pace, favoring tactical stalkers.

Predicted Outcome

Crude Velocity — undefeated, elite connections

Englishman — strong figures, perfect stalking style

Creole Chrome — late kick + Irad

Crown the Buckeye — consistent and dangerous

Track: Churchill Downs — Louisville, Kentucky

Post Time: 2:38 PM ET

Distance: 1 mile (Turf)

Purse: $1,000,000

Expected Weather & Turf Conditions

While entries do not include a forecast, early May in Louisville typically brings:

Temperatures: mid‑60s to low‑70s

Wind: light

Rain: moderate chance but usually scattered

Projected Turf: Firm, based on seasonal norms

(This is an inference from climate patterns, not a race‑day forecast.)

Full Field Analysis

PP 1 — Italian Soiree

ML Odds: 10/1

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: H. Graham Motion

Pedigree: Uncle Mo – Social Call

Profile: Improving 4‑year‑old with tactical speed. Motion excels with turf milers, and Franco fits her well. A live longshot with upside.

PP 2 — Sweet Rebecca

ML Odds: 5/2 (Likely favorite)

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: Brendan Walsh

Pedigree: American Pharoah – Sweet N Discreet

Profile: Enters in top form and owns the most consistent graded‑stakes résumé. Gaffalione is elite at Churchill. A major win threat.

PP 3 — Portfolio Duration (GB)

ML Odds: 4/1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Chad Brown

Pedigree: Night of Thunder (IRE) – Shemya (FR)

Profile: Brown’s turf fillies are always dangerous. Strong European pedigree and Prat is a major upgrade. A top‑tier contender.

PP 4 — Temptable (GB)

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Trainer: Bill Mott

Pedigree: Kingman (GB) – Capla Temptress (IRE)

Profile: Lightly raced and improving. Mott’s turf runners excel at Churchill. A value play with upside.

PP 5 — Classic Q

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: John Velazquez

Trainer: Mark Casse

Pedigree: Classic Empire – Lovely Em

Profile: Consistent filly with tactical speed. Velazquez is a master at rationing pace in turf miles. A must‑use in exotics.

PP 6 — Vina Arana (IRE)

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Adam Beschizza

Trainer: Jack Sisterson

Pedigree: Make Believe (GB) – Sunset Dazzle (IRE)

Profile: Deep closer who needs a pace collapse. Outclassed on paper but can pick up pieces late.

PP 7 — Movin’ On Up

ML Odds: 12/1

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Pedigree: Accelerate – Stifle Yourself

Profile: Honest mare with improving figures. Ortiz gives her a chance to sit the perfect stalking trip.

PP 8 — Pin Up Betty

ML Odds: 7/2

Jockey: Juan Hernandez

Trainer: Mike Maker

Pedigree: Constitution – I’m Betty G

Profile: Maker is lethal in turf stakes at Churchill. Strong late kick and excellent consistency. A major win candidate.

PP 9 — Maggie Go (ARG)

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Chad Brown

Pedigree: Winning Prize (ARG) – Astrologa Surena (ARG)

Profile: Brown’s second entrant brings strong South American turf form. Irad elevates her chances significantly.

Projected Pace Scenario

Early Speed: Italian Soiree, Classic Q

Pressers: Sweet Rebecca, Portfolio Duration

Closers: Pin Up Betty, Maggie Go, Vina Arana

Expect a moderate pace, favoring tactical runners.

Predicted Outcome

Sweet Rebecca — class + consistency

Pin Up Betty — strong late kick

Portfolio Duration — Brown + Prat combo

Classic Q — reliable pace presence

Track: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky

Scheduled Post Time: 1:53 PM ET

Distance: 1 mile (Dirt)

Purse: $200,000

Surface Expectation: Fast, based on seasonal norms

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

Louisville’s early‑May weather historically features:

Temperatures: 64–72°F

Wind: Light

Rain Probability: Moderate but usually scattered

Projected Track: Fast dirt, barring unexpected showers

(No race‑day forecast is included in entries; this is seasonal inference.)

Full Field Analysis

PP 1 — Brotha Keny

ML Odds: 15/1

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Jose Francisco D’Angelo

Recent Form: 11331410×6 (6th last out)

Profile: A capable gelding with solid mid‑pack tactical speed. Drops back in distance but has not hit the board at today’s mile trip. Needs a step forward.

PP 2 — Dragoon Guard

ML Odds: 3/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Brad Cox

Recent Form: 3x2x2172x2 (2nd last out)

Profile: The class of the field. Cox and Irad are a lethal combo. Excellent Churchill record and ultra‑consistent. A major win threat.

PP 3 — Banjo Chris

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Edgar Morales

Trainer: Troy Wismer

Recent Form: x1617x423x (3rd last out)

Profile: Honest grinder with decent track record. Outclassed on paper but can clunk up for a minor share.

PP 4 — Be You

ML Odds: 7/2

Jockey: John Velazquez

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Recent Form: 18x6x12113 (3rd last out)

Profile: In sharp form and training well. Pletcher excels with older milers. A top‑tier contender.

PP 5 — Prince of Power

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez

Trainer: Andres Cambray

Recent Form: 1205927144 (4th last out)

Profile: Hard‑trying gelding but lacks the speed figures to threaten. Best used underneath.

PP 6 — Tour Player

ML Odds: 4/1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman

Recent Form: 317x11x151 (1st last out)

Profile: Enters in career‑best form with two wins from last three. Prat is a major upgrade. A serious win candidate.

PP 7 — Will Take It

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr.

Trainer: Dallas Stewart

Recent Form: 211×678615 (5th last out)

Profile: Inconsistent but talented. Needs pace and a perfect trip.

PP 8 — Bernin Hot

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: Ben Curtis

Trainer: Rohan Crichton

Recent Form: x311210x5x (5th last out)

Profile: Has flashes of ability but appears overmatched here.

PP 9 — Scotland

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Luis Saez

Trainer: Bill Mott

Recent Form: 71x32339x9 (9th last out)

Profile: Classy gelding with back‑class but poor recent form. Needs a big rebound.

PP 10 — Capital Idea

ML Odds: 5/1

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Trainer: Bill Mott

Recent Form: x6x1131x22 (2nd last out)

Profile: Extremely consistent and improving. A major player with strong finishing ability.

PP 11 — Moonlight

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

Trainer: Chris Block

Profile: Lightly raced but talented. A potential upset candidate if pace collapses.

Projected Pace Scenario

Early Speed: Tour Player, Prince of Power

Pressers: Dragoon Guard, Be You

Closers: Capital Idea, Moonlight

Expect a strong early tempo, favoring tactical stalkers.

Predicted Outcome

Dragoon Guard — class + Churchill record

Tour Player — sharp form, Prat aboard

Capital Idea — consistent and closing late

Be You — reliable and competitive

Track: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky

Scheduled Post Time: 1:12 PM ET

Distance: 5½ furlongs (Turf)

Purse: $600,000

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

While entries do not include a forecast, early May in Louisville typically brings:

Temperatures: mid‑60s to low‑70s

Precipitation: moderate chance but usually light

Wind: mild

Projected Turf Condition: Firm, unless rain develops

(This is based on seasonal norms, not a race‑day forecast.)

Full Field Analysis

All horses, odds, and connections sourced from official entries.

PP 1 — Wendelssohn

ML Odds: 15/1

Jockey: Brian J. Hernandez Jr.

Trainer: Chris A. Hartman

Recent Finish: 7th in the 2026 Count Fleet Sprint (G3)

Profile: A capable sprinter switching back to turf. Has back‑class but must improve sharply to contend. Rail draw helps if he breaks well.

PP 2 — Bear River

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: James Graham

Trainer: J. Keith Desormeaux

Recent Finish: 9th in the 2026 Shakertown (G2)

Profile: Longshot with inconsistent form. Needs a pace meltdown and a perfect trip.

PP 3 — My Boy Prince

ML Odds: 5/2 (Co‑favorite)

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Trainer: Mark E. Casse

Recent Finish: 1st in the 2026 Shakertown (G2) with a 108 figure

Profile: Enters in peak form and owns the best last‑out performance in the field. Tactical speed and elite acceleration make him a top win candidate.

PP 4 — Full Disclosure

ML Odds: 30/1

Jockey: Adam Beschizza

Trainer: Amzadali Jehaludi

Recent Finish: 5th in a Keeneland allowance (Apr 18, 2026)

Profile: Honest gelding but outclassed at this level. Best used underneath in supers.

PP 5 — Possiblemente

ML Odds: 10/1

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Joe Sharp

Recent Finish: 1st in Turfway AOC (Mar 12, 2026) with a strong 128 figure

Profile: Sharp recent form and a big last‑out number. A live longshot if he transfers synthetic form to turf.

PP 6 — Its Bourbon Thirty

ML Odds: 15/1

Jockey: Luan Machado

Trainer: Jeremiah O’Dwyer

Recent Finish: 8th in the 2026 Shakertown (G2)

Profile: Has speed but fades late against top sprinters. Needs a perfect trip.

PP 7 — Yellow Card

ML Odds: 9/2

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Michael W. McCarthy

Recent Finish: 2nd in the 2026 Shakertown (G2) with a 105 figure

Profile: Ultra‑consistent and always fires. Prat is lethal in turf sprints. A major win threat.

PP 8 — Mondogetsbuckets

ML Odds: 8/1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: Chris M. Block

Recent Finish: 3rd in the 2026 Shakertown (G2) with a 105 figure

Profile: Improving gelding with a strong late kick. A must‑use in exotics.

PP 9 — Litigation

ML Odds: 3/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Brian A. Lynch

Recent Finish: 4th in the 2026 Shakertown (G2) with a 105 figure

Profile: Consistent, classy, and gets Irad. Should sit a perfect stalking trip. A top contender.

PP 10 — Joe Shiesty

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz

Trainer: Eric N. Foster

Recent Finish: 5th in the 2026 Shakertown (G2)

Profile: Hard‑knocking sprinter with competitive figures. Needs to take a step forward to win.

Projected Pace Scenario

Early Speed: Wendelssohn, Its Bourbon Thirty, My Boy Prince

Pressers: Yellow Card, Litigation

Closers: Mondogetsbuckets, Possiblemente

Expect a fast early pace, favoring tactical runners.

Predicted Outcome

My Boy Prince — best last‑out effort, ideal draw

Yellow Card — consistent and dangerous

Litigation — perfect stalking setup

Mondogetsbuckets — late kick for exotics

Track: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky

Post Time: 12:38 PM ET

Distance: 7 furlongs (Dirt)

Purse: $1,000,000

Surface Expectation: Fast (historical early‑May pattern; no rain indicated in entries)

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

Louisville’s early‑May climate typically features:

Temperatures: 64–72°F

Wind: Light to moderate

Precipitation: Low probability

Track Projection: Fast dirt, barring unexpected showers

(This weather profile is based on seasonal norms; entries do not include a forecast.)

Full Field Analysis (Post Positions, ML Odds, Connections, Form)

All horses below are officially entered for Race 4.

PP 1 — Usha

ML Odds: 9/2

Jockey: Juan J. Hernandez

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Recent Finish: 1st, 2025 La Brea (G1)

Profile: A powerhouse filly with elite sprint credentials. Her La Brea win (speed figure 127) shows she can fire a monster effort fresh. Baffert’s sprinters excel at 7F, and Hernandez is aggressive from the rail. Expect a forward stalking trip.

PP 2 — Haulin Ice

ML Odds: 4/1

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Recent Finish: 1st, Matron Stakes (speed 125)

Profile: A versatile mare with tactical speed. She’s been consistent across multiple circuits and enters off a sharp stakes win. Arrieta has been riding her exceptionally well. A major pace presence.

PP 3 — Autumn Evening

ML Odds: 20/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Jose Francisco D’Angelo

Recent Finish: 9th, 2025 Sand Springs (LS)

Profile: A longshot with back‑class but inconsistent form. Ortiz elevates any mount, but she’ll need a career‑best effort. Best used underneath in supers.

PP 4 — Ways and Means

ML Odds: 8/5 (Morning‑line favorite)

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Trainer: Chad Brown

Recent Finish: 1st, 2025 Bed o’ Roses (G2) with a massive 137 figure

Profile: The class of the field. Brown’s premier sprinter returns from an 11‑month layoff but has repeatedly shown brilliance. Her tactical speed and devastating turn‑of‑foot make her the most likely winner.

PP 5 — Splendora

ML Odds: 2/1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Recent Finish: 1st, 2026 Beholder Mile (G1) with a 123 figure

Profile: Enters in peak form after a G1 win. Prat fits her perfectly, and she’s proven at one turn. A co‑top contender with the favorite.

PP 6 — R Disaster

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Recent Finish: 3rd, 2026 Madison (G1) with a 130 figure

Profile: A gritty mare who always shows up. She’ll sit mid‑pack and try to grind them down late. A strong value play for exotics.

Projected Pace Scenario

Early Speed: Haulin Ice, Usha

Pressers: Splendora, Ways and Means

Mid‑Pack: R Disaster

Closers: Autumn Evening

Expect a swift opening quarter, setting up a high‑class stretch duel.

Predicted Outcome

Ways and Means — superior figures, ideal setup

Splendora — tactical and in top form

R Disaster — consistent and grinding late

Usha — dangerous if rail trip works out

Track: Belmont at the Big A (Aqueduct Racetrack) — Ozone Park, Queens, NY

Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026

Scheduled Post Time: 2:28 PM ET

Distance: 1 1/8 miles (Turf)

Purse: $175,000

Rail Setting: 18 feet

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

While no race‑day forecast is provided in entries, early May in New York typically brings 60–70°F temperatures, light winds, and low precipitation. Turf conditions are most likely firm, barring unexpected showers.

Full Field Analysis (Post Positions, Connections, Odds, Form)

All data sourced from official entries.

1 — Ridari (FR)

ML Odds: 2/1

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer: Miguel Clement

Weight: 124

Pedigree: Churchill (IRE) – Ridasiyna (FR)

Profile: A lightly raced but high‑quality French‑bred colt with strong late kick. Clement excels with turf routers, and Ridari’s pedigree screams stamina. Expect him to sit mid‑pack and launch late.

2 — Battle of Normandy

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: Dylan Davis

Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III

Weight: 120

Pedigree: City of Light – Adorable Miss

Profile: A seasoned 6‑year‑old with tactical speed. McGaughey’s turf runners are consistent, and this horse often fires fresh. A logical exotics contender.

3 — Montador

ML Odds: 9/2

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Trainer: Michael Stidham

Weight: 122

Pedigree: Nyquist – Lady Montdore

Profile: Stakes‑winning 4‑year‑old who captured the Woodchopper Stakes previously. Improving type with a strong finishing punch. Lezcano fits him well.

4 — Uncatalyzed (GB)

ML Odds: 5/1

Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.

Trainer: Chad C. Brown

Weight: 120

Pedigree: Kingman (GB) – Queen’s Code (IRE)

Profile: Brown is lethal in NY turf stakes. This colt has elite European bloodlines and should relish the distance. A major win threat if pace is honest.

5 — Deterministic

ML Odds: 6/5 (Morning‑line favorite)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Trainer: Miguel Clement

Weight: 124

Pedigree: Liam’s Map – Giulio’s Jewel

Profile: The class of the field. Deterministic won the 2025 Fort Marcy (G2) and returns to defend his title. Versatile running style and proven over this course. The horse to beat.

Also Eligibles (Main Track Only)

These runners draw in only if the race is moved off turf.

6 — Yo Daddy

ML Odds: 1/1

Trainer: Linda Rice

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Profile: Strong dirt form; unlikely to run unless surface changes.

7 — Dr. Kraft

ML Odds: 9/2

Trainer: Ilkay Kantarmaci

Jockey: Silvestre Gonzalez

8 — Mr. Papagiorgio

ML Odds: 6/1

Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.

Jockey: TBA