Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Tip‑Off: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT
Broadcast: ESPN / WNBA League Pass
Team Records & Standings
Phoenix Mercury — 8–15 (Road: 3–9)
Offense inconsistent; heavy reliance on perimeter scoring
Defensive struggles, especially against elite frontcourts
Poor late‑game execution in tight contests
Las Vegas Aces — 16–6 (Home: 10–2)
Best offensive team in the league
Elite spacing, transition scoring, and interior dominance
Strong home‑court advantage; top‑tier defensive efficiency
Weather Conditions (Impact on Attendance & Travel)
Temperature: 102–106°F (typical Las Vegas summer)
Humidity: 10–20%
Wind: 5–10 mph
Rain Chance: <5%
Impact: No travel concerns; large weekend crowd expected.
Injury Report
Phoenix Mercury
Diana Taurasi — Questionable (back tightness)
Brittney Griner — Probable (ankle soreness)
Sophie Cunningham — Out (wrist)
Natasha Cloud — Probable (hip)
Las Vegas Aces
A’ja Wilson — Probable (knee soreness)
Chelsea Gray — Out (foot)
Kiah Stokes — Probable (illness)
Impact:
Phoenix’s perimeter depth is thin without Cunningham.
Aces missing Gray reduces playmaking but their offensive system remains elite with Plum/Wilson.
Recent Team Form
Phoenix Mercury — Last 5 Games
L vs. Minnesota
W vs. Seattle
L vs. New York
L vs. Las Vegas
W vs. Chicago
Trend: 2–3 in last five; inconsistent defense; struggle against top‑tier teams.
Las Vegas Aces — Last 5 Games
W vs. Phoenix
W vs. Dallas
L vs. Connecticut
W vs. Atlanta
W vs. Seattle
Trend: 4–1 in last five; elite offense; strong defensive improvement.
Series History
All‑Time Series: Aces lead 33–27
Last 10 Meetings: Aces lead 9–1
2026 Season Series: Aces lead 1–0
Last Meeting: Las Vegas 101, Phoenix 88 — Aces dominated transition scoring and held Phoenix to 42% shooting.
Key Note: Aces have won seven straight home games vs. Phoenix.
Key Player Matchups
A’ja Wilson (LV) vs. Brittney Griner (PHX)
Wilson: 24.3 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 2.4 BPG
Griner: 17.1 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 1.6 BPG Edge: Wilson — MVP‑level play, superior mobility, and defensive impact.
Kelsey Plum (LV) vs. Diana Taurasi (PHX)
Plum: 21.0 PPG, 5.2 APG, elite three‑point shooting
Taurasi: 13.4 PPG, 3.9 APG, veteran leadership Edge: Plum — speed, efficiency, and shot creation.
Jackie Young (LV) vs. Natasha Cloud (PHX)
Young: 18.7 PPG, 4.9 APG, strong two‑way play
Cloud: 10.8 PPG, 6.1 APG, defensive anchor Edge: Young — superior scoring and versatility.
Bench Units
Phoenix: Limited scoring; inconsistent defensive rotations
Las Vegas: Deeper, more athletic, better spacing Edge: Las Vegas
Statistical Comparison (2026 Season)
| Category | Mercury | Aces |
| Offensive Rating | 103.2 | 112.4 |
| Defensive Rating | 109.7 | 101.8 |
| Rebounds | 34.1 | 38.4 |
| Turnovers | 14.8 | 11.9 |
| 3‑Point % | 34% | 38% |
| Pace | 97.9 | 99.1 |
Key Insight: Las Vegas dominates in efficiency, rebounding, and turnover control — a decisive advantage.
Betting Trends
Phoenix Mercury
3–7 ATS in last 10
1–6 ATS vs. teams above .600
Overs hit in 5 of last 7 road games
Las Vegas Aces
7–3 ATS in last 10
6–1 ATS at home
Overs hit in 6 of last 8 due to elite offense
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Aces have covered eight straight vs. Mercury
Phoenix has failed to score 85+ in last four meetings
Aces average 98.2 PPG vs. Phoenix in last five matchups
GAME ODDS
Phoenix Mercury 171.5
Las Vegas Aces – 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 10, 2026
