First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass Natural Grass Dimensions: LF 325 ft, CF 399 ft, RF 320 ft (short porch with deep alley)

Venue & Weather Conditions

PNC Park — Pittsburgh, PA

Forecast (May 17, 2026):

• Temperature: 73–76°F
• Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to right field
• Humidity: ~60%
• Precipitation: <10%
• Impact:
  • Slight boost to left‑handed pull hitters
  • Ball carries well to the short RF porch
  • Neutral for right‑handed power

Team Form & Context

Philadelphia Phillies (23–23)

• Have won 4 of last 6, stabilizing after a rough early May.
• Offense averaging 4.6 runs/game over last 10.
• Bullpen ERA in May: 3.41, a major improvement from April.
• Wheeler has been the team’s most consistent starter.

Pittsburgh Pirates (24–22)

• Have cooled slightly after a hot start: 5–6 in last 11.
• Offense inconsistent: 3.9 runs/game in May.
• Pitching staff remains strong, especially at home (3.28 ERA at PNC).
• Skenes has been electric, giving Pittsburgh a legitimate ace presence.

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

• Bryce Harper — Day‑to‑Day (back tightness)
• Trea Turner — OUT (hamstring)
• Ranger Suárez — OUT (forearm)
• Orion Kerkering — Day‑to‑Day (shoulder fatigue)

Impact: Missing Turner hurts the top of the order. Harper’s availability is crucial vs. Skenes’ velocity.

Pittsburgh Pirates

• Oneil Cruz — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes — OUT (wrist)
• David Bednar — Day‑to‑Day (lat tightness)
• Rowdy Tellez — OUT (quad)

Impact: Pirates’ lineup loses power without Cruz and Tellez. Bednar’s status affects late‑inning leverage.

Starting Pitching Breakdown

Zack Wheeler — RHP, Philadelphia Phillies

2026 Season Stats:

• Record: 4–3
• ERA: 3.18
• WHIP: 1.09
• K/BB: 58/12
• HR Allowed: 4
• Opp BA: .214

Profile:

• 96–98 mph fastball with elite command
• Slider generating 34% whiff rate
• Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters (.198 allowed)
• Road ERA: 3.01
• Strong late in games; ERA drops after pitch 75

Matchup vs. Pirates:

• Pirates struggle vs. high‑velocity RHP (.229 BA vs. 95+ mph fastballs).
• Wheeler’s fastball/slider combo is a tough matchup for a lineup missing Hayes and Tellez.

Paul Skenes — RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates

2026 Season Stats:

• Record: 5–1
• ERA: 2.71
• WHIP: 1.05
• K/BB: 67/14
• HR Allowed: 3
• Opp BA: .207

Profile:

• 99–101 mph fastball
• Devastating slider and power changeup
• Generates elite swing‑and‑miss (top 5% MLB)
• Home ERA: 2.38
• Only weakness: occasional command lapses early in counts

Matchup vs. Phillies:

• Phillies rank bottom‑10 vs. 98+ mph velocity.
• If Harper sits, Philadelphia’s left‑handed power is severely reduced.
• Skenes’ slider matches up well vs. PHI’s right‑handed heavy lineup.

Key Player Matchups

Phillies Hitters vs. Skenes

• Kyle Schwarber: .240 vs. elite velocity but huge HR upside with wind to RF
• Alec Bohm: Contact hitter but struggles vs. sliders low and away
• Nick Castellanos: Hot streak (9-for-25 last 7 games) but high K-rate vs. power arms
• Bryson Stott: Best PHI hitter vs. high velocity (.298 in 2026)

Edge: Skenes

Pirates Hitters vs. Wheeler

• Bryan Reynolds: .302 vs. RHP in 2026; best PIT matchup
• Henry Davis: Power threat but struggles vs. sliders
• Jack Suwinski: Fly‑ball hitter who benefits from wind to RF
• Oneil Cruz: If active, major X‑factor; if not, PIT loses its best lefty power bat

Edge: Wheeler

Series History

• Phillies lead all-time series 128–97.
• At PNC Park: Phillies lead 58–47.
• Teams split the 2025 season series 3–3.
• Phillies have won 5 of last 7 in Pittsburgh.

Wagering Trends

Philadelphia Phillies

• 4–2 in last 6
• Under is 7–3 in last 10
• Wheeler starts: PHI is 5–3
• Phillies are 6–2 in last 8 vs. PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

• 5–6 in last 11
• Under is 6–2 in last 8 home games
• Skenes starts: PIT is 6–2
• Pirates are 4–1 in last 5 Sunday games

Head‑to‑Head Trends

• Under is 5–2 in last 7 meetings
• Road team has won 4 of last 6

GAME ODDS

Philadelphia Phillies 7

Pittsburgh Pirates – 137

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 16, 2026

First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET Venue: Nationals Park — Washington, D.C. Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass Natural Grass Dimensions: LF 336 ft, CF 402 ft, RF 335 ft

Venue & Weather Conditions

Nationals Park — Washington, D.C. An outdoor, hitter‑friendly park in warm weather, especially to left field and left‑center.

Forecast (May 17, 2026):

• Temperature: 78–81°F
• Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to left-center
• Humidity: ~55%
• Precipitation: <10%
• Impact: Slight boost to fly‑ball power, especially for right‑handed hitters pulling the ball.

Team Form & Context

Baltimore Orioles (20–26)

• Have lost 4 of last 6, inconsistent run production.
• Averaging 4.08 runs/game in May.
• Rotation ERA in last 10 games: 4.72
• Bullpen has been overworked; three relievers pitched 2+ times in last four days.
• Defense remains strong, but lineup is missing key power threats.

Washington Nationals (23–23)

• Playing .500 baseball but trending upward: 6–3 in last 9.
• Offense averaging 4.9 runs/game in May.
• Pitching staff has been surprisingly stable: 3.61 ERA over last 12 games.
• Nationals are 13–10 at home, with improved plate discipline and situational hitting.

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

• Gunnar Henderson — OUT (ankle sprain)
• Anthony Santander — Day‑to‑Day (oblique tightness)
• Kyle Bradish — OUT (UCL rehab)
• John Means — OUT (elbow)

Impact: Missing Henderson removes Baltimore’s best all‑around hitter. Santander’s status affects middle‑order power.

Washington Nationals

• CJ Abrams — Day‑to‑Day (hand contusion)
• Josiah Gray — OUT (forearm strain)
• Lane Thomas — OUT (hamstring)
• Hunter Harvey — Day‑to‑Day (shoulder fatigue)

Impact: Abrams’ availability is key; without him, Washington loses speed and top‑of‑order spark.

Starting Pitching Breakdown

Cade Young — RHP, Baltimore Orioles

2026 Season Stats:

• Record: 1–4
• ERA: 4.88
• WHIP: 1.36
• K/BB: 32/15
• HR Allowed: 6
• Opp BA: .257

Profile:

• 94–96 mph fastball with good ride
• Curveball is his best pitch (30% whiff rate)
• Command issues lead to elevated pitch counts
• Struggles vs. left‑handed hitters (.289 allowed)
• Road ERA: 5.41

Matchup vs. Nationals:

• Washington has been strong vs. RHP in May (.268 team BA).
• Young’s fly‑ball tendencies + warm weather + wind out = potential trouble.

Miles Mikolas — RHP, Washington Nationals

2026 Season Stats:

• Record: 3–2
• ERA: 3.77
• WHIP: 1.22
• K/BB: 29/7
• HR Allowed: 4
• Opp BA: .244

Profile:

• Veteran command‑first righty
• Heavy sinker/slider mix
• Generates ground balls (48%)
• Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters (.221 allowed)
• Home ERA: 3.12

Matchup vs. Orioles:

• Baltimore struggles vs. sinkerballers and low‑velocity command pitchers.
• Orioles’ lineup missing Henderson and possibly Santander reduces their ability to punish mistakes.

Key Player Matchups

Orioles Hitters vs. Mikolas

• Adley Rutschman: .298 vs. sliders; best matchup for Baltimore
• Ryan Mountcastle: Power threat but struggles vs. sinkers (.214 BA in 2026)
• Colton Cowser: High K-rate vs. command pitchers
• Jordan Westburg: Good vs. fastballs but neutralized by Mikolas’ pitch mix

Edge: Mikolas

Nationals Hitters vs. Young

• Joey Meneses: .312 vs. RHP in 2026
• Keibert Ruiz: Excellent vs. curveballs
• Luis García Jr.: Hot streak (10-for-26 last 7 games)
• James Wood: Big power threat; fly‑ball hitter in favorable conditions

Edge: Nationals lineup

Series History

• Nationals lead all-time series 29–26.
• At Nationals Park: WSH leads 16–12.
• Teams split the 2025 series 2–2.
• Orioles have not won a series in D.C. since 2021.

Wagering Trends

Baltimore Orioles

• 3–7 in last 10 road games
• Under is 7–3 in last 10
• 2–8 in last 10 vs. NL opponents
• 1–5 in last 6 Sunday games

Washington Nationals

• 6–3 last 9 overall
• 13–10 at home
• Over is 5–2 in last 7 at Nationals Park
• Mikolas starts: Nationals are 4–2 this season

Head-to-Head Trends

• Home team has won 6 of last 8
• Under is 4–1 in last 5 meetings
• Orioles are 1–4 in last 5 games in Washington

GAME ODDS

Baltimore Orioles – 131

Washington Nationals 10.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 16, 2026

First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET Venue: Tropicana Field — St. Petersburg, Florida Surface: Artificial Turf Roof: Fixed Dome (no weather impact)

Venue & Weather Conditions

Because Tropicana Field is a fully enclosed dome, weather plays no role in ball flight, humidity, or wind patterns.

• Temperature: Controlled ~72°F
• Humidity: Controlled
• Wind: None
• Ballpark Factors:
  • Historically suppresses home runs slightly
  • Boosts doubles due to turf speed
  • Neutral for run scoring overall

Team Form & Context

Miami Marlins (21–25)

• Enter the game having split their last 6.
• Offense remains inconsistent: averaging 3.96 runs/game in May.
• Pitching staff has been better recently (3.72 ERA last 10 games).
• Bullpen has stabilized after a rough April, now top‑10 in WHIP over the last two weeks.

Tampa Bay Rays (29–15)

• One of MLB’s hottest teams: 8–2 in last 10.
• Offense averaging 5.1 runs/game in May.
• Rotation has been excellent, and Rasmussen’s return to form has been a major boost.
• Rays are 17–7 at home, one of the best home marks in baseball.

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

• Jazz Chisholm Jr. — OUT (hamstring)
• Jake Burger — Day‑to‑Day (wrist soreness)
• Trevor Rogers — OUT (elbow rehab)
• A.J. Puk — OUT (lat strain)

Impact: Missing Chisholm removes Miami’s best left‑handed power/speed threat. Burger’s status affects the middle of the order.

Tampa Bay Rays

• Brandon Lowe — Day‑to‑Day (back tightness)
• Shane McClanahan — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
• Josh Lowe — OUT (quad strain)
• Pete Fairbanks — Day‑to‑Day (shoulder fatigue)

Impact: Rays’ depth softens the blow, but missing both Lowe brothers reduces left‑handed punch.

Starting Pitching Breakdown

Eu Pérez — RHP, Miami Marlins

2026 Season:

• Record: 2–3
• ERA: 4.11
• WHIP: 1.29
• K/BB: 38/12
• HR Allowed: 5
• Opp BA: .241

Profile:

• 95–97 mph fastball with late life
• Slider is his best pitch (38% whiff rate)
• Changeup still developing
• Struggles vs. left‑handed hitters (.284 allowed)
• Strong early in games; ERA jumps from 2.89 (innings 1–3) to 5.22 (innings 4–6)

Matchup vs. Rays:

• Tampa Bay’s lineup is right‑hand heavy, which helps Pérez.
• However, Rays excel vs. high‑velocity fastballs.

Drew Rasmussen — RHP, Tampa Bay Rays

2026 Season:

• Record: 4–1
• ERA: 3.02
• WHIP: 1.07
• K/BB: 41/9
• HR Allowed: 3
• Opp BA: .218

Profile:

• Elite cutter/slider combo
• Generates weak contact (top 10% in MLB)
• Excellent command
• Dominant at home: 2.41 ERA at Tropicana Field
• Marlins struggle vs. cutters and elevated fastballs — a bad matchup for them.

Matchup vs. Marlins:

• Miami ranks bottom‑5 in MLB vs. right‑handed cutters and sliders.
• Rasmussen has faced Miami twice in his career: 1.50 ERA, 0.89 WHIP.

Key Player Matchups

Marlins Hitters vs. Rasmussen

• Luis Arraez: 3-for-10 lifetime, but all singles
• Bryan De La Cruz: Struggles vs. elite cutters (.182 BA in 2026)
• Jesús Sánchez: Power threat but high K-rate vs. sliders
• Tim Anderson: Ground-ball prone, plays into Rasmussen’s strengths

Edge: Rasmussen

Rays Hitters vs. Pérez

• Yandy Díaz: .310 vs. sliders in 2026
• Randy Arozarena: Heating up; homered twice in last 5 games
• Isaac Paredes: Rays’ best fastball hitter
• Harold Ramírez: Excellent vs. RHP (.298 in 2026)

Edge: Rays lineup

Series History

• Rays lead the all-time interleague series 27–18.
• At Tropicana Field: Rays lead 15–7.
• Rays have won 7 of the last 9 meetings.
• Miami has not won a series in St. Petersburg since 2015.

Wagering Trends

Miami Marlins

• 4–9 in last 13 road games
• Under is 8–3 in their last 11
• 2–7 in last 9 games vs. teams above .600
• 1–5 in last 6 Sunday games

Tampa Bay Rays

• 8–2 last 10 overall
• 17–7 at home
• Under is 6–2 in last 8 at Tropicana Field
• Rasmussen starts: Rays are 6–1 this season

Head-to-Head Trends

• Under is 5–1 in last 6 meetings
• Rays have covered run line in 6 of last 8 matchups

GAME ODDS

Miami Marlins 7.5

Tampa Bay Rays – 156

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 16, 2026

Today, the Yankees transferred the rehab assignment of RHP Gerrit Cole from Double-A Somerset to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

Prior to tonight’s game, the Yankees made the following roster moves:

• Placed LHP Max Fried on the 15-day injured list (retroactive to 5/14) with a left elbow bone bruise.
• Recalled RHP Elmer Rodríguez (#71) from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

Club Recalls INF/OF Nick Sogard from Triple-A Worcester

BOSTON, MA – The Boston Red Sox today placed shortstop Trevor Story on the 10-Day Injured List (retroactive to May 15) with a sports hernia. To fill his spot, Boston recalled infielder/outfielder Nick Sogard from Triple-A Worcester.

Story, 33, has hit .206 (34-for-165) with seven doubles, three home runs, and 19 RBI in 41 games this season, starting 39 games at shortstop and two as the designated hitter. Originally selected by the Colorado Rockies in Competitive Balance Round A of the 2011 First-Year Player Draft, the Texas native has batted .262 (1,104-for-4,208) with an .808 OPS, 207 home runs, 655 RBI, and 164 stolen bases in 1,106 career games with the Rockies (2016-21) and Red Sox (2022-26).

Sogard, 28, has played in 36 games for Worcester this season, batting .269 (35-for-130) with nine doubles, five home runs, 23 RBI, and an .871 OPS while making 14 starts at first base, nine at shortstop, five at second base, four at third base, two in right field, and one as the designated hitter. The switch-hitter also played in 18 Grapefruit League games for Boston during Spring Training. Originally selected by the Tampa Bay Rays in the 12^th round of the 2019 First-Year Player Draft, the California native has batted .266 (46-for-173) in 61 career Major League games, all with the Red Sox (2024-25), making 19 starts at second base, 11 at first base, nine at third base, six at shortstop, and two in right field.

First Pitch: 6:07 PM PT

Probable Pitchers:

• SF — Mason McDonald (RHP)
• OAK — Luis Severino (RHP)

VENUE — OAKLAND COLISEUM

• Location: Oakland, California
• Dimensions: 330 LF, 388 LCF, 400 CF, 388 RCF, 330 RF
• Park Factors: One of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly parks; massive foul territory suppresses offense
• Surface: Natural grass
• Weather impact: Cool Bay Area air reduces carry to all fields

WEATHER FORECAST

• Temperature: 61–64°F at first pitch
• Sky: Clear
• Humidity: 63%
• Wind: 10–14 mph blowing in from center field
• Chance of Rain: 0%
• Expected Conditions: Strongly pitcher‑friendly, especially for fly‑ball hitters

INJURY REPORT

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

• Michael Conforto — OUT (hamstring strain)
• Jung Hoo Lee — OUT (shoulder surgery)
• Logan Webb — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
• LaMonte Wade Jr. — Probable (rest day Friday)
• Camilo Doval — OUT (forearm inflammation)

ATHLETICS

• Zack Gelof — Day‑to‑day (ankle soreness)
• Brent Rooker — Probable (hand contusion)
• Paul Blackburn — OUT (elbow)
• Mason Miller — OUT (shoulder fatigue)
• Esteury Ruiz — OUT (wrist fracture)

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (18–27)

• Last 10 games: 3–7
• Road record: 7–15
• Run differential: –41
• Strengths: Decent rotation depth, improving defense
• Weaknesses: Injuries to key bats, bullpen instability, low slugging

ATHLETICS (23–21)

• Last 10 games: 6–4
• Home record: 12–10
• Run differential: –3
• Strengths: Power bats (Rooker, Soderstrom), improved starting pitching
• Weaknesses: Bullpen volatility, inconsistent OBP, injuries to speed threats

STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN

SF — MASON McDONALD (RHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 1–4
• ERA: 4.52
• WHIP: 1.33
• K/BB: 29/11
• Last 3 starts: 15.0 IP, 9 ER, 12 K

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (95)
• Slider (86)
• Curveball (79)
• Changeup (84)

Matchup Notes

• A’s struggle vs high‑spin breaking balls
• McDonald’s slider is his best pitch
• Key risk: Oakland’s RH power (Rooker, Soderstrom) punishes elevated fastballs

ATH — LUIS SEVERINO (RHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 4–2
• ERA: 3.61
• WHIP: 1.20
• K/BB: 48/14
• Last 3 starts: 18.2 IP, 7 ER, 19 K

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (97)
• Slider (87)
• Changeup (88)
• Cutter (91)

Matchup Notes

• Giants’ lineup is left‑hand heavy, which Severino handles well
• His slider is a major weapon vs SF’s swing‑and‑miss tendencies
• Key risk: Severino can be homer‑prone if his fastball leaks arm‑side

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Brent Rooker vs Mason McDonald

• Rooker crushes elevated fastballs
• McDonald must rely on slider/curveball early
• HR threat every AB

2. Thairo Estrada vs Luis Severino

• Estrada handles velocity well
• Severino’s slider is the equalizer
• Estrada is SF’s most consistent bat

3. Tyler Soderstrom vs McDonald’s breaking balls

• Soderstrom struggles vs high‑spin sliders
• McDonald must exploit this matchup

4. Matt Chapman vs Severino

• Chapman’s power plays well vs fastballs
• But Severino’s cutter can jam him consistently

SERIES HISTORY

• 2025 season series: Split 2–2
• At Oakland Coliseum: A’s have won 4 of last 6
• Last 10 meetings: A’s 6 – Giants 4
• Unders hit in 7 of last 10 matchups
• Coliseum’s dimensions heavily suppress offense in this rivalry

BETTING TRENDS

SAN FRANCISCO

• 2–7 in last 9 road games
• 1–4 in McDonald’s last 5 starts
• Under is 6–3 in last 9 games

ATHLETICS

• 5–2 in last 7 home games
• 4–1 in Severino’s last 5 starts
• Over is 4–1 in last 5 games

HEAD‑TO‑HEAD

• A’s 6–4 last 10
• Under 7–3 last 10
• Home team 5–2 last 7

Game Odds

San Francisco Giants 9.5

Athletics – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026

First Pitch: 6:38 PM PT

Probable Pitchers:

• LAD — Justin Wrobleski (LHP)
• LAA — José Soriano (RHP)

VENUE — ANGEL STADIUM OF ANAHEIM

• Location: Anaheim, California
• Dimensions: 330 LF, 387 LCF, 400 CF, 370 RCF, 330 RF
• Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly at night; suppresses HRs to center
• Surface: Natural grass
• Weather impact: Warm, dry air boosts carry to left field early; marine layer suppresses late‑game power

WEATHER FORECAST (ANAHEIM, CA)

• Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
• Sky: Clear
• Humidity: 48%
• Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to left‑center
• Chance of Rain: 0%
• Expected Conditions: Mildly hitter‑friendly early, neutral after sunset

INJURY REPORT

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

• Mookie Betts — Probable (rest day Friday)
• Freddie Freeman — Day‑to‑day (hip tightness)
• Max Muncy — OUT (oblique strain)
• Walker Buehler — OUT (elbow rehab)
• Blake Treinen — OUT (shoulder)

LOS ANGELES ANGELS

• Mike Trout — OUT (back surgery)
• Anthony Rendon — OUT (hamstring tear)
• Reid Detmers — OUT (forearm strain)
• Zach Neto — Day‑to‑day (ankle soreness)
• Carlos Estévez — OUT (lat strain)

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

LOS ANGELES DODGERS (27–18)

• Last 10 games: 6–4
• Road record: 13–9
• Run differential: +45
• Strengths: Deep lineup, elite plate discipline, strong bullpen
• Weaknesses: Inconsistent production from bottom third, injuries to key bats

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (16–29)

• Last 10 games: 3–7
• Home record: 8–14
• Run differential: –52
• Strengths: Young hitters with upside, improved team speed
• Weaknesses: Rotation depth, bullpen reliability, lack of power without Trout

STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN

LAD — JUSTIN WROBLESKI (LHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 3–2
• ERA: 3.66
• WHIP: 1.24
• K/BB: 41/11
• Last 3 starts: 17.0 IP, 6 ER, 18 K

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (94)
• Slider (85)
• Changeup (83)
• Curveball (78)

Matchup Notes

• Angels struggle vs left‑handed breaking balls
• Wrobleski’s slider is a major weapon vs RH‑heavy LAA lineup
• Key risk: Angels’ aggressive hitters can jump early‑count fastballs

LAA — JOSÉ SORIANO (RHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 1–5
• ERA: 4.89
• WHIP: 1.41
• K/BB: 38/19
• Last 3 starts: 14.2 IP, 11 ER, 12 K

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (97)
• Curveball (82)
• Sinker (96)
• Changeup (87)

Matchup Notes

• Dodgers’ lineup is left‑hand heavy, which Soriano struggles with
• His curveball is elite when commanded, but command is inconsistent
• Key risk: Dodgers’ patience — they force Soriano into deep counts and walks

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Shohei Ohtani vs José Soriano

• Ohtani crushes high‑velo RHP
• Soriano must bury the curveball
• HR threat every AB

2. Will Smith vs Soriano’s sinker

• Smith excels vs sinkers left up
• Could be a multi‑hit night

3. Taylor Ward vs Justin Wrobleski

• Ward hits LHP well
• Wrobleski must keep the slider down and away

4. Miguel Sanó vs Wrobleski’s fastball

• Sanó can punish elevated heaters
• But Wrobleski rarely misses up

SERIES HISTORY

• 2025 season series: Dodgers 3 – Angels 1
• At Angel Stadium: Dodgers have won 7 of last 9
• Last 10 meetings: Dodgers 8 – Angels 2
• Overs hit in 6 of last 10 matchups
• Dodgers’ pitching has dominated this matchup

BETTING TRENDS

DODGERS

• 6–2 in last 8 road games
• 5–1 in Wrobleski’s last 6 starts
• Over is 4–1 in last 5 games

ANGELS

• 2–7 in last 9 home games
• 1–4 in Soriano’s last 5 starts
• Under is 5–3 in last 8 games

HEAD‑TO‑HEAD

• Dodgers 8–2 last 10
• Over 6–4 last 10
• Road team 5–2 last 7

Game Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers – 142

Los Angeles Angels 8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026

First Pitch: 7:15 PM ET

Probable Pitchers:

• NYY — Carlos Rodón (LHP)
• NYM — Dedniel Núñez Brazoban (RHP)

VENUE — CITI FIELD

• Location: Flushing, Queens, New York
• Dimensions: 335 LF, 370 LCF, 408 CF, 375 RCF, 330 RF
• Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly; suppresses HRs to center and right‑center
• Surface: Natural grass
• Weather impact: Wind blowing out to left can boost RH pull hitters

WEATHER FORECAST (QUEENS, NY)

• Temperature: 67–70°F at first pitch
• Sky: Partly cloudy
• Humidity: 58%
• Wind: 8–11 mph blowing out to left field
• Chance of Rain: <10%
• Expected Conditions: Mildly hitter‑friendly, especially for RH power bats

INJURY REPORT

NEW YORK YANKEES

• Aaron Judge — Probable (rest day Friday)
• Giancarlo Stanton — OUT (quad strain)
• Anthony Rizzo — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
• Gerrit Cole — OUT (elbow rehab)
• Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (shoulder)

NEW YORK METS

• Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle soreness)
• Pete Alonso — OUT (wrist fracture)
• Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
• Starling Marte — Day‑to‑day (hamstring)
• Brooks Raley — OUT (lat strain)

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

NEW YORK YANKEES (28–17)

• Last 10 games: 6–4
• Road record: 13–10
• Run differential: +42
• Strengths: Power‑heavy lineup, elite bullpen, strong LH starting pitching
• Weaknesses: Strikeout‑prone lineup, injuries to middle‑order bats

NEW YORK METS (18–26)

• Last 10 games: 3–7
• Home record: 9–13
• Run differential: –31
• Strengths: Contact hitters, improved bullpen depth
• Weaknesses: Missing Alonso, inconsistent rotation, low slugging

STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN

NYY — CARLOS RODÓN (LHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 4–2
• ERA: 3.58
• WHIP: 1.19
• K/BB: 56/15
• Last 3 starts: 18.2 IP, 7 ER, 22 K

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (96–98)
• Slider (85)
• Curveball (79)
• Changeup (87)

Matchup Notes

• Mets struggle vs elite velocity LHP
• Rodón’s slider is a major weapon vs NYM’s RH‑heavy lineup
• Key risk: Mets’ contact hitters (McNeil, Nimmo) can extend ABs and elevate pitch count

NYM — DEDNIEL BRAZOBAN (RHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 1–3
• ERA: 4.62
• WHIP: 1.36
• K/BB: 29/12
• Last 3 starts: 14.1 IP, 10 ER, 11 K

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (95)
• Slider (86)
• Changeup (84)
• Sinker (94)

Matchup Notes

• Yankees’ lineup is right‑hand heavy, but their best hitters (Judge, Soto) crush RHP
• Brazoban’s command is inconsistent
• Key risk: Elevated fastballs — Judge and Soto feast on them

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Aaron Judge vs Dedniel Brazoban

• Judge destroys RHP with elevated velocity
• Brazoban must live low in the zone
• HR threat every AB

2. Juan Soto vs Brazoban’s slider

• Soto is elite vs sliders
• If Brazoban hangs one, Soto can change the game instantly

3. Francisco Lindor vs Carlos Rodón

• Lindor hits LHP well
• Rodón’s slider is the equalizer
• Lindor must stay disciplined early in counts

4. Jeff McNeil vs Rodón’s fastball

• McNeil excels vs high‑velo LHP
• Could be a multi‑hit night if Rodón’s command is off

SERIES HISTORY

• 2025 season series: Yankees 3 – Mets 1
• At Citi Field: Yankees have won 5 of last 7
• Last 10 meetings: Yankees 7 – Mets 3
• Overs hit in 6 of last 10 matchups
• Yankees’ power has dominated recent Subway Series games

BETTING TRENDS

YANKEES

• 6–2 in last 8 road games
• 5–1 in Rodón’s last 6 starts
• Over is 4–1 in last 5 games

METS

• 2–6 in last 8 home games
• 1–4 in Brazoban’s last 5 starts
• Under is 5–3 in last 8 games

HEAD‑TO‑HEAD

• Yankees 7–3 last 10
• Over 6–4 last 10
• Road team 4–1 last 5

Game Odds

New York Yankees – 125

New York Mets 8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026

First Pitch: 7:20 PM ET

Probable Pitchers:

• BOS — Wikelman Tolie (RHP)
• ATL — Bryce Elder (RHP)

VENUE — TRUIST PARK

• Location: Cumberland district, Atlanta, Georgia
• Dimensions: 335 LF, 375 LCF, 400 CF, 375 RCF, 325 RF
• Park Factors: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for RH pull hitters
• Surface: Natural grass
• Weather impact: Warm, humid air boosts carry to left field

WEATHER FORECAST (ATLANTA, GA)

• Temperature: 78–81°F at first pitch
• Sky: Mostly clear
• Humidity: 64%
• Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to left field
• Chance of Rain: <10%
• Expected Conditions: Hitter‑friendly, especially for RH power bats

INJURY REPORT

BOSTON RED SOX

• Triston Casas — OUT (rib fracture)
• Trevor Story — OUT (elbow surgery)
• Masataka Yoshida — Day‑to‑day (hamstring tightness)
• Kenley Jansen — OUT (back strain)
• Garrett Whitlock — OUT (UCL surgery)

ATLANTA BRAVES

• Ronald Acuña Jr. — Probable (rest day Friday)
• Ozzie Albies — Day‑to‑day (ankle soreness)
• Sean Murphy — OUT (oblique strain)
• Spencer Strider — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
• A.J. Minter — Day‑to‑day (shoulder fatigue)

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

BOSTON RED SOX (18–26)

• Last 10 games: 3–7
• Road record: 7–14
• Run differential: –37
• Strengths: Young rotation arms, improved team speed
• Weaknesses: Injuries to middle‑order bats, bullpen instability, low OBP

ATLANTA BRAVES (31–14)

• Last 10 games: 7–3
• Home record: 17–7
• Run differential: +62
• Strengths: Deep lineup, elite power, strong bullpen
• Weaknesses: Occasional strikeout issues, injuries to key hitters

STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN

BOS — WIKELMAN TOLIE (RHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 1–3
• ERA: 4.71
• WHIP: 1.39
• K/BB: 32/17
• Last 3 starts: 14.2 IP, 10 ER, 13 K, 7 BB

Pitch Mix

• Four‑seam (96)
• Curveball (81)
• Changeup (86)
• Slider (85)

Matchup Notes

• Braves crush high‑velo fastballs
• Tolie’s command has been inconsistent
• Atlanta’s RH power (Riley, Ozuna) is a major threat
• Key risk: Walks — Braves punish free passes with multi‑run innings

ATL — BRYCE ELDER (RHP)

2026 Season Stats

• Record: 5–2
• ERA: 3.44
• WHIP: 1.19
• K/BB: 41/11
• Last 3 starts: 18.1 IP, 6 ER, 14 K

Pitch Mix

• Sinker (92)
• Slider (84)
• Changeup (86)
• Cutter (89)

Matchup Notes

• Red Sox struggle vs sinker/slider pitchers
• Elder induces ground balls at a high rate
• Boston’s depleted lineup lacks consistent power
• Key risk: If Elder’s sinker flattens, RH hitters like O’Neill can do damage

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Austin Riley vs Wikelman Tolie

• Riley destroys high‑velo RHP
• Tolie must avoid middle‑in fastballs
• HR threat every AB

2. Rafael Devers vs Bryce Elder

• Devers hits sinkers well
• Elder’s slider is the equalizer
• Devers is Boston’s best chance at run production

3. Marcell Ozuna vs Tolie’s fastball

• Ozuna feasts on elevated heaters
• Tolie must rely on off‑speed early

4. Michael Harris II vs Boston’s bullpen

• Harris’ speed is a major factor late
• Boston’s middle relief is vulnerable

SERIES HISTORY

• 2025 season series: Braves 3 – Red Sox 1
• At Truist Park: Braves have won 6 of last 7
• Last 10 meetings: Braves 7 – Red Sox 3
• Overs hit in 6 of last 10 matchups
• Braves’ power has dominated this matchup

BETTING TRENDS

BOSTON

• 2–7 in last 9 road games
• 1–4 in Tolie’s last 5 starts
• Under is 5–2 in last 7 games

ATLANTA

• 7–1 in last 8 home games
• 5–1 in Elder’s last 6 starts
• Over is 4–1 in last 5 games

HEAD‑TO‑HEAD

• Braves 7–3 last 10
• Over 6–4 last 10
• Home team 6–1 last 7

Game Odds

Boston Red Sox 7.5

Atlanta Braves – 132

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026