First Pitch: 7:15 PM ET
Probable Pitchers:
- NYY — Carlos Rodón (LHP)
- NYM — Dedniel Núñez Brazoban (RHP)
VENUE — CITI FIELD
- Location: Flushing, Queens, New York
- Dimensions: 335 LF, 370 LCF, 408 CF, 375 RCF, 330 RF
- Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly; suppresses HRs to center and right‑center
- Surface: Natural grass
- Weather impact: Wind blowing out to left can boost RH pull hitters
WEATHER FORECAST (QUEENS, NY)
- Temperature: 67–70°F at first pitch
- Sky: Partly cloudy
- Humidity: 58%
- Wind: 8–11 mph blowing out to left field
- Chance of Rain: <10%
- Expected Conditions: Mildly hitter‑friendly, especially for RH power bats
INJURY REPORT
NEW YORK YANKEES
- Aaron Judge — Probable (rest day Friday)
- Giancarlo Stanton — OUT (quad strain)
- Anthony Rizzo — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
- Gerrit Cole — OUT (elbow rehab)
- Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (shoulder)
NEW YORK METS
- Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle soreness)
- Pete Alonso — OUT (wrist fracture)
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
- Starling Marte — Day‑to‑day (hamstring)
- Brooks Raley — OUT (lat strain)
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
NEW YORK YANKEES (28–17)
- Last 10 games: 6–4
- Road record: 13–10
- Run differential: +42
- Strengths: Power‑heavy lineup, elite bullpen, strong LH starting pitching
- Weaknesses: Strikeout‑prone lineup, injuries to middle‑order bats
NEW YORK METS (18–26)
- Last 10 games: 3–7
- Home record: 9–13
- Run differential: –31
- Strengths: Contact hitters, improved bullpen depth
- Weaknesses: Missing Alonso, inconsistent rotation, low slugging
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
NYY — CARLOS RODÓN (LHP)
2026 Season Stats
- Record: 4–2
- ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.19
- K/BB: 56/15
- Last 3 starts: 18.2 IP, 7 ER, 22 K
Pitch Mix
- Four‑seam (96–98)
- Slider (85)
- Curveball (79)
- Changeup (87)
Matchup Notes
- Mets struggle vs elite velocity LHP
- Rodón’s slider is a major weapon vs NYM’s RH‑heavy lineup
- Key risk: Mets’ contact hitters (McNeil, Nimmo) can extend ABs and elevate pitch count
NYM — DEDNIEL BRAZOBAN (RHP)
2026 Season Stats
- Record: 1–3
- ERA: 4.62
- WHIP: 1.36
- K/BB: 29/12
- Last 3 starts: 14.1 IP, 10 ER, 11 K
Pitch Mix
- Four‑seam (95)
- Slider (86)
- Changeup (84)
- Sinker (94)
Matchup Notes
- Yankees’ lineup is right‑hand heavy, but their best hitters (Judge, Soto) crush RHP
- Brazoban’s command is inconsistent
- Key risk: Elevated fastballs — Judge and Soto feast on them
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Aaron Judge vs Dedniel Brazoban
- Judge destroys RHP with elevated velocity
- Brazoban must live low in the zone
- HR threat every AB
2. Juan Soto vs Brazoban’s slider
- Soto is elite vs sliders
- If Brazoban hangs one, Soto can change the game instantly
3. Francisco Lindor vs Carlos Rodón
- Lindor hits LHP well
- Rodón’s slider is the equalizer
- Lindor must stay disciplined early in counts
4. Jeff McNeil vs Rodón’s fastball
- McNeil excels vs high‑velo LHP
- Could be a multi‑hit night if Rodón’s command is off
SERIES HISTORY
- 2025 season series: Yankees 3 – Mets 1
- At Citi Field: Yankees have won 5 of last 7
- Last 10 meetings: Yankees 7 – Mets 3
- Overs hit in 6 of last 10 matchups
- Yankees’ power has dominated recent Subway Series games
BETTING TRENDS
YANKEES
- 6–2 in last 8 road games
- 5–1 in Rodón’s last 6 starts
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 games
METS
- 2–6 in last 8 home games
- 1–4 in Brazoban’s last 5 starts
- Under is 5–3 in last 8 games
HEAD‑TO‑HEAD
- Yankees 7–3 last 10
- Over 6–4 last 10
- Road team 4–1 last 5
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 125
New York Mets 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026
