Venue: Texas Motor Speedway — Fort Worth, Texas
Green Flag: 1:30 PM CT / 2:30 PM ET
Broadcast: FS1 / PRN / SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
This is one of the premier intermediate‑track events on the Xfinity calendar, and Texas Motor Speedway’s high‑speed, multi‑groove layout always produces tire‑wear strategy battles and late‑race restarts.
WEATHER CONDITIONS — FORT WORTH, TX
Temperature: 78–82°F
Wind: 12–16 mph from the south, blowing down the backstretch
Sky: Mostly sunny
Rain Chance: <5%
Impact:
Warmer temps = slicker track, especially mid‑corner
Wind direction may loosen cars entering Turn 3
Expect long green‑flag runs early, chaos late
TRACK PROFILE — TEXAS MOTOR SPEEDWAY
Length: 1.5 miles
Surface: Asphalt
Configuration: Quad‑oval
Banking:
Turns 1–2: 20°
Turns 3–4: 24°
Frontstretch: 2,250 ft
Backstretch: 1,330 ft
Race Distance:
340 miles
225 laps
Track Characteristics:
High speeds with aero dependency
Lane choice matters — outside lane strong on restarts
Tire falloff significant in Turns 1–2
Clean air advantage is massive
Texas is a momentum track — drivers who maintain throttle discipline through the long corners excel.
TEAM / DRIVER STATUS REPORT
Key Notes
John Hunter Nemechek — cleared after minor Talladega contact
Cole Custer — no restrictions; SHR reports strong simulation numbers
Justin Allgaier — team monitoring brake‑temperature issues
Chandler Smith — new chassis this week
Sam Mayer — crew chief change implemented two races ago
No major injury concerns for Xfinity regulars.
RECENT DRIVER FORM (LAST 5 RACES)
John Hunter Nemechek — Joe Gibbs Racing
Finishes: 1, 2, 4, 7, 3
Best intermediate‑track driver in the series
Elite long‑run speed
Cole Custer — Stewart‑Haas Racing
Finishes: 3, 5, 12, 2, 8
SHR trending upward
Excellent at Texas historically
Justin Allgaier — JR Motorsports
Finishes: 6, 9, 3, 18, 4
Strong on worn surfaces
Needs track position to contend
Chandler Smith — Joe Gibbs Racing
Finishes: 4, 11, 7, 5, 10
Consistent but lacking winning pace
New chassis could be a difference‑maker
Sam Mayer — JR Motorsports
Finishes: 14, 6, 19, 8, 12
Fast but inconsistent
Qualifying speed strong
KEY DRIVER MATCHUPS
1. Nemechek vs. Custer
Nemechek: long‑run dominance
Custer: Texas specialist Edge: Nemechek (slightly)
2. Allgaier vs. Chandler Smith
Allgaier: better tire management
Smith: better short‑run speed Edge: Allgaier
3. Sam Mayer vs. Sheldon Creed
Mayer: higher ceiling
Creed: more consistent Edge: Creed (safer), Mayer (upside)
4. Riley Herbst vs. Austin Hill
Herbst: strong on 1.5‑mile tracks
Hill: elite restarter Edge: Herbst
RACE HISTORY — ANDY’S FROZEN CUSTARD 340
2025 Winner: John Hunter Nemechek
2024 Winner: Justin Allgaier
2023 Winner: John Hunter Nemechek
Most Wins (Active):
John Hunter Nemechek: 2
Justin Allgaier: 1
Texas has been a JGR vs. JRM battleground for years.
BETTING TRENDS
Track Trends
JGR has won 4 of the last 6 Texas Xfinity races
Pole winners finish top‑5 at a high rate
Long‑run speed > short‑run speed
Driver Trends
Nemechek: 2 wins + 4 top‑5s in last 6 Texas starts
Custer: 5 straight top‑10s at Texas
Allgaier: 3 straight top‑5s at Texas
Chandler Smith: improving but unproven here
Team Trends
JGR and JRM dominate intermediates
SHR surging in 2026
Driver Odds
Kyle Larson + 155
Justin Allgaier + 285
Connor Zilisch + 700
Corey Day + 800
Brandon Jones + 800
Carson Kvapil + 1600
Brent Crews + 1800
Sam Mayer + 1800
Austin Hill + 2200
Sheldon Creed + 2200
Taylor Gray + 2500
Sammy Smith + 2500
Jesse Love + 3000
William Sawalich + 3000
Parker Retzlaff + 3500
Austin Dillon + 3500
Ryan Sieg + 3500
Jeremy Clements + 5000
Rajah Caruth + 7000
Harrison Burton + 13000
Anthony Alfredo + 13000
Patrick Staropoli + 17000
Jeb Burton + 17000
Austin Green + 20000
Dean Thompson + 30000
Kyle Sieg + 40000
Blaine Perkins + 40000
Brennan Poole + 50000
Josh Bilicki + 70000
Ryan Ellis + 70000
Mason Maggio + 100000
Lavar Scott + 100000
Josh Williams + 100000
Joey Gase + 100000
Garrett Smithley + 100000
Dawson Cram + 100000
David Starr + 100000
Brad Perez + 100000
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026
