MMA Match Preview: Morgan Charriere (20-10-1) vs. Melquizael Costa (14-1)

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The UFC’s curtain-closer for 2025 at the Apex features a flyweight showdown between Brandon Royval and Manel Kape headlining, with a featherweight prelim gem pitting French knockout artist Morgan Charriere against Brazilian grappler Melquizael Costa. Charriere eyes his third straight UFC win to crack the Top 15, while Costa rebounds from a skid in a striker-vs.-wrestler test that could explode early. This 12-fight card ends the ESPN era with international flavor and finish potential. Below is a comprehensive preview, honing in on Charriere vs. Costa, alongside event deets and wagering intel.

Injury Report

As of December 9, 2025, the card’s solid, with Charriere vs. Costa greenlit. Charriere (25) is 100% post his September TKO (cleared scans), and Costa enters fresh off a full camp (no tweaks since his July loss). The docket’s stable: Royval’s head knocks managed, November prelim hiccup fixed.

Fighter Matchups: Morgan Charriere vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, 3 Rounds)

Prelim fireworks brew as Charriere’s crisp boxing meets Costa’s wrestling pressure in a balanced scrap. Charriere (5.1 significant strikes/min, 62% KO rate) picks apart foes with combos and counters, sporting 72% takedown defense. Costa (2.4 takedowns/15 min, 50% sub rate) chains shots for top control, but absorbs 4.2 strikes/min standing. At 25 vs. 28, youth parity; Charriere’s 71″ reach tops Costa’s 70″—feather prelims finish 60%; model pegs 65% standup KO, Charriere’s accuracy tilting it.

Morgan “The Last Pirate” Charriere (20-10-1, Rouen, France; Age: 25; Height: 5’9″; Reach: 71″; Stance: Orthodox)
Out of Team Irons, Charriere’s a technical sniper with 12 KOs, blending footwork and power hooks. His volume overwhelms, but ground tests linger.

Melquizael “Melk” Costa (14-1-0, Belem, Brazil; Age: 28; Height: 5’8″; Reach: 70″; Stance: Orthodox)
Training at Chute Boxe Diego Lima, Costa’s a finisher (7 TKOs/subs) with explosive entries. Durable early, but decisions expose cardio gaps.

Key Styles Clash: Charriere’s distance management vs. Costa’s level changes. Charriere’s 3-1 UFC run edges Costa’s 1-1; Costa’s power threatens if close—projection: Charriere stuffs takedowns for a mid-round TKO.

Recent Form

Charriere’s on a heater with finishes, Costa seeks reset from a dip.

FighterLast 5 FightsForm Notes
Morgan CharriereW-TKO2 (Onama, Sep 2025) W-UD3 (Javid, Mar 2025) W-KO1 (Smith, Oct 2024) L-TKO3 (Evloev, May 2024) W-KO2 (Regional, 2023)3-1 streak; 67% KOs in wins. UFC 3-1; elite accuracy (52%), but Evloev exposed wrestling. Camp drills sprawls.
Melquizael CostaL-UD3 (Lima, Jul 2025) W-TKO1 (Tucker, Feb 2025) L-KO1 (Silva, Oct 2024) W-Sub2 (Regional, 2024) W-KO3 (Regional, 2023)1-2 skid; 100% finishes in wins. UFC 1-1; strong entries but volume vulnerable. Refining striking post-losses.

Fight History

Morgan Charriere (Pro Debut: 2018): French circuit (100% FC) to UFC 2023 (3-1 UFC). Total fight time: ~85 minutes across 31 bouts. Strengths: Striking def. (58%), KO threat (60%). Weaknesses: Subs (20% losses), ground time (2/3 UFC decisions).

Melquizael Costa (Pro Debut: 2019): Brazilian regionals (Jungle Fight) to UFC 2024 (1-1). Total fight time: ~48 minutes across 15 bouts. Strengths: TD acc. (45%), finishes (93%). Weaknesses: Cardio (2 DEC losses), reach disadvantage.

FIGHT ODDS

Morgan Charriere            – 150

Melquizael Costa             + 130

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, December 12, 2025

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Profile: A seasoned combat‑sports analyst with a deep understanding of the tactical, technical, and promotional forces that shape modern MMA and boxing. This columnist delivers comprehensive coverage that blends fight‑film study, statistical insight, and industry context to break down matchups, rising contenders, and the evolving landscape of global combat sports. Background: With extensive experience covering major promotions, championship bouts, and regional circuits, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms focused on fighter development, coaching philosophies, and matchmaking strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term career trajectories across weight classes and organizations. Signature Coverage Areas: Fight previews and stylistic matchups Technical breakdowns of striking, grappling, and defensive systems Prospect scouting, rankings analysis, and divisional movement Promotional strategy, business trends, and event‑building dynamics Historical context, legacy discussions, and championship narratives Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex techniques, tactical adjustments, and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time fight fans and new followers of combat sports. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the discipline, strategy, and global reach of MMA and boxing.