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MLS Match Preview: New York City FC (8-7-4) vs. Toronto FC (4-10-5)

Match Details

Fixture: New York City FC (8-7-4) vs. Toronto FC (4-10-5)

Competition: Major League Soccer – Matchday 20

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025

Time: 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Broadcast: MLS Season Pass (Apple TV), TSN (Canada), YES Network

Match Narrative

New York City FC returns home looking to bounce back from a 1–0 loss to CF Montréal, while Toronto FC enters with momentum after a 3–0 win over Portland. NYCFC has been dominant at home, winning 7 matches at Yankee Stadium this season, while Toronto has struggled for consistency but has earned points in three straight road games. This is the second meeting of the season between the two Eastern Conference sides. NYCFC has won five straight matches against Toronto across all competitions, including a 2–1 comeback win in this fixture last year.

Team Form Snapshot

TeamRecordLast 5 MatchesHome/AwayGoals ScoredGoals Conceded
NYCFC8-7-4 (28 pts)W-W-L-W-L7-2-1 (Home)2721
Toronto FC4-10-5 (17 pts)L-D-L-W-W1-5-2 (Away)1931

NYCFC sits 7th in the Eastern Conference, clinging to a playoff spot.

Toronto is 13th, 11 points below the postseason line.

Predicted Lineups

New York City FC (4-2-3-1)

GK: Luis Barraza

DEF: Mitja Ilenič, Thiago Martins, Birk Risa, Kevin O’Toole

MID: Andrés Perea, James Sands – Alonso Martínez, Santiago Rodríguez, Julián Fernández

FWD: Mounsef Bakrar

Keaton Parks and Malachi Jones are out injured; Matt Freese is away on international duty.

Toronto FC (3-4-2-1)

GK: Luka Gavran

DEF: Shane O’Neill, Sigurd Rosted, Aimé Mabika

MID: Kobe Franklin, Deybi Flores, Jonathan Osorio, Raoul Petretta

ATT: Federico Bernardeschi, Lorenzo Insigne

FWD: Prince Owusu

Toronto is expected to stick with the same XI that beat Portland 3–0.

Players to Watch

New York City FC

Santiago Rodríguez: 6 goals, 5 assists – creative heartbeat of the attack.

Alonso Martínez: Returning from Gold Cup duty; adds pace and width.

Mounsef Bakrar: Leads the line with physicality and movement.

Toronto FC

Lorenzo Insigne: 4 goals, 3 assists – still the most dangerous man in red.

Jonathan Osorio: Veteran leadership and midfield control.

Federico Bernardeschi: Capable of brilliance but needs consistency.

MATCH ODDS

New York City FC – 175                  Draw +  300        Toronto + 400

Over 2.5 – 135                   Under 2.5 + 110

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 2, 2025

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