Monday, December 23, 2024
ATS Wins

MLB Preview: Boston Red Sox (64-58) at New York Yankees (60-62)

BOSTON RED SOX NOTES:

STATE OF THE SOX: The Red Sox are 7-4 in their last 11 games, after going 1-7 in their previous 8 from 7/29-8/6. The Sox are 24-16 in their last 40 games since 6/30 (.600), MLB’s 6th-best record in that time. At 64-58 (.525), the Sox are tied with the Giants for MLB’s 11th-best record overall.

SOX & YANKEES: The Red Sox have won 6 of their 7 games vs. NYY this season, including each of their last 5… They have won 3 of their last 4 games at Yankee Stadium, after winning only 3 of their previous 16. Since the start of 2022, 12 of 26 games between the Sox and Yankees have been decided by 1 run. Prior to last night, each of the previous 7 games between the Sox and Yankees in New York had been decided by either 1 or 2 runs…The Sox had not won a game in the Bronx by 5+ runs since 9/20/18 (W 11-6).

ABOUT LAST NIGHT: The Red Sox scored 8 runs last night, their most in a game at Yankee Stadium since 6/2/19 (W 8-5). Prior to last night, the Sox had scored 5 runs or fewer in each of their previous 19 games at Yankee Stadium (beginning 7/16/21)…In those 19 games, the Sox totaled only 50 runs (2.6 per game).

PITCHING IN: The Red Sox have a +22 run differential and a 2.14 ERA against the Yankees this season (15 ER/63.0 IP), scoring 40 runs and allowing 18. The Sox have allowed 3 runs or fewer in each of their last 5 games at Yankee Stadium, their longest such streak in the Bronx since 7/7/2003-4/25/2004 (7 G). Only 1 team has held the Yankees to 3 runs or fewer in more than 5 consecutive meetings at the current Yankee Stadium (HOU, 6 games from 2014-16).

SCORING IN BUNCHES: Last night, the Red Sox scored 4 runs in the 1st inning and 3 runs in the 2nd…It marked the first time since 6/26/87 they scored 3+ runs in each of the first 2 innings at Yankee Stadium (4 in 1st, 5 in 2nd). The Sox have scored 3+ runs in an inning at least once in 62 of their 122 games…They are 54-8 (.871) in those games, including 24-2 (.923) since the start of June.

I HEART NEW YORK: Brayan Bello has posted a 1.45 ERA in 5 career starts vs. NYY, the lowest mark against the Yankees for any pitcher since earned runs became an official stat in 1913 (min. 5 starts vs. NYY).

LOWEST ERA AGAINST THE YANKEES IN THE
LIVE BALL ERA (SINCE 1920) (MIN. 5 STARTS VS. NYY)
Rk. Pitcher (Teams) ERA

  1. Brayan Bello (BOS) 1.45 (5 ER/31.0 IP)
  2. Johnny Cueto (CIN/SF/CWS) 1.50 (6 ER/36.0 IP)
  3. Clayton Kershaw (LAD) 1.85 (7 ER/34.0 IP)

EASTERN STANDARD: Boston is 17-14 vs. the AL East this season (5-4-0 in series)…21 of their 40 remaining games are against AL East opponents (9 home, 12 road).
BOS will play 19 games against AL East teams in September (BAL-7, TB-5, NYY-4, TOR-3), after playing only 2 in July and 6 in August.

SERIES BUSINESS: The Red Sox are 21-16-2 in series, 1 win shy of tying their total from 2022 (22-24-6)…They are 8-9-2 in road series, compared to 13-7-0 at home.
Boston is 2-4 over its last 6 series since 7/28, after going 6-1 in the previous 7 series from 6/30-7/26.

HIGH FIVE: The Red Sox are an MLB-best 51-8 (.864) when scoring 5+ runs…They’ve scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games, after doing so in just 3 of their previous 15. Since 6/14, the Sox are 24-2 when scoring 5+ runs.

SLUGGING SOX: Among AL teams, the Red Sox rank 2nd in AVG (.262), doubles (263), and XBH (416), as well as 4th in OBP (.327), SLG (.431), and OPS (.758). The Sox have homered in 15 of their 16 August games (20 total HR)…They have 8 HR in their last 5 games.

RED SOX OFFENSE BY DATE
Dates G W-L AVG OPS R/G
3/30-5/6 35 21-14 .273 .800 5.9
5/7-6/13 33 12-21 .243 .704 3.8
6/14-7/27 34 22-12 .281 .803 5.4
7/28-pres. 20 9-11 .240 .696 3.9

LOCK IT DOWN: The Red Sox own MLB’s best record when leading after 6 innings (50-3, .943)…In 2022, they ranked 18th in MLB when leading after 6 (63-10, .863). Boston leads MLB in save % (78.3; 36-for-46), after ranking 24th last season (57.4; 39-for-68).

CLOSING ACT: Kenley Jansen has converted each of his last 19 save opportunities since 5/20, tied for MLB’s longest active streak (also TOR’s Jordan Romano). Additionally, Jansen has converted each of his last 19 save opportunities on the road (beginning 9/24/22).

MOST CONSECUTIVE SAVE OPPORTUNITIES
CONVERTED, RED SOX HISTORY
Pitcher (Years) SV
Tom Gordon (1998-99)………54
Koji Uehara (2013-14)……….31
Derek Lowe (2000-01) ………25
Jonathan Papelbon (2011) …25
Craig Kimbrel (2016-17)…….25
Pitcher (Years) SV
Craig Kimbrel (2018)…………23
Jonathan Papelbon (2009-10)…22
Jonathan Papelbon (2005-06)…20
Ugueth Urbina (2002)……….19
Kenley Jansen (2023)…..19

MARTY PARTY: Since 6/9, Chris Martin has allowed only 1 run over his last 26 outings (23.1 IP); he ranks 2nd in MLB with a 0.39 ERA in that span (min. 20.0 IP)…Overall, his 1.32 ERA (6 ER/41.0 IP) is 4th best in MLB (min. 30.0 IP).

DAY AND NIGHT: The Red Sox are 20-24 in day games (.455), compared to 44-34 at night (.564)…The Sox have lost 8 of their last 9 day games (beginning 7/19 at OAK).
The Sox have averaged more runs per game during the day (4.91) than at night (4.83), but their ERA is nearly a full run lower at night (4.02) than during the day (4.99).

ON THE ROAD AGAIN: Boston is currently on a season-long 10-game road trip (3 at WSH, 3 at NYY, 4 at HOU). The Red Sox are in a stretch of 32 games in 34 days
(7/28-8/30)…That includes a stretch of 16 consecutive days with a game from 8/15-30, their 2nd-longest streak of the season (19 games, 4/8-26).

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE: The Red Sox are 7-4 so far in a stretch of 13 consecutive games against teams with a sub- .500 record (3-1 vs. KC, 2-1 vs. DET, 1-2 at WSH, 1-0 at NYY). BOS is 33-32 against teams with a current record of .500 or better, and 31-26 against teams below .500.

RUNNIN’ RED SOX: The Sox rank T-12th in MLB in stolen base % and 17th in steals (80.0, 84-for-105)…They have been successful in each of their last 5 attempts since 8/11. 18 players have stolen a base for Boston this season, most in the AL and tied with PIT for most in MLB.

DOWN ON THE FARM: The Red Sox rank No. 5 in Baseball America’s Midseason Organization Talent Rankings… The Sox have 4 prospects ranked among the top 100: SS
Marcelo Mayer (No. 15), OF Roman Anthony (No. 19), OF Miguel Bleis (No. 80), and C Kyle Teel (No. 93).

TODAY’S STARTER: 50 KUTTER CRAWFORD – RHP
W-L ERA G GS IP ER HR BB SO WHIP AVG
2023 5-6 3.80 23 15 90.0 38 14 22 89 1.13 .235
CAREER 8-13 4.78 45 28 169.1 90 27 53 168 1.29 .255

Owns a 2.08 ERA (3 ER/13.0 IP) in 4 career games (2 starts) against NYY. Has a 3.47 ERA in his last 10 starts since 6/20 (19 ER/49.1 IP). Owns a 2.13 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and .209 opponent AVG on the road (50.2 IP), compared to a 5.95 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and .266 opponent AVG at home (39.1 IP). In his last 3 road starts, has allowed only 1 run in 16.2 IP (0.54 ERA). Opponents have hit .174 vs. his 4-seam fastball (20-for-115), which ranks 6th of 144 in MLB (min. 100 PA ending with 4-seam fastball). Ranks in MLB’s 75th percentile or higher in chase rate (91st), walk rate (85th), fastball spin (90th), and expected opponent average (78th).

NEW YORK YANKEES NOTES:

AT A GLANCE: The Yankees continue their six-game homestand today with the second game of a three-game set vs. Boston (0-1 thus far)…will also play three games against Washington next week (Tues.-Thurs.)…went 2-7 on their recent road trip after going 1-2 at Chicago-AL, 1-2 at Miami and 0-3 at Atlanta.

Have lost a season-high six straight games…marks their longest losing streak since a seven-game streak from 9/4-10/21.

YESTERDAY’S NEWS: The Yankees fell to the Red Sox, 8-3, in their series opener on Friday at Yankee Stadium… RHP Jhony Brito (2.1IP, 9H, 7R/6ER, 0BB, 1K, 1HR) started and took the loss, setting a career high in hits allowed and tying his career high in runs allowed…3B DJ LeMahieu (2-for-4, 1R, 1RBI) recorded multiple hits and drove in the Yankees’ first run with an RBI groundout in the third inning…DH Aaron Judge (1-for-4, 1R, 1HR, 2RBI) hit his 23rd home run of the season with a two-run shot in the eighth inning…SS Anthony Volpe (2-for-4, 1R, 1 double) and 2B Gleyber Torres (2-for-4) each collected multiple hits…RHP Ian Hamilton (3.2IP, 1H, 5K) tossed 3.2 scoreless innings of relief, setting a career high in innings pitched… RHP Keynan Middleton (1.0IP, 1BB, 1K) tossed a scoreless seventh inning…RHP Greg Weissert (2.0IP, 2H, 1ER, 2K, 1WP) allowed 1ER in 2.0IP.

LEMACHINE: INF DJ LeMahieu owns a season-high 10- game hitting streak (since 8/1)…is batting .371/.436/.429 (13-for-35) with 2R, 2 doubles, 2RBI and 4BB in that span… marks his longest hitting streak since a 12-game streak from 4/12-26/22.

Has reached base multiple times in six of his last eight games (since 8/4) and 12 of his last 18 games (since 7/21)…owns a .438 OBP over that span.

Is batting .319/.407/.415 (30-for-94) with 8R, 6 doubles, 1HR, 3RBI and 14BB in his last 27 games (since 7/6), hitting safely in 23 of those games.

Has reached base in 27 of his last 29 games (since 7/4)… his .407 OBP in that span is the sixth-highest in the AL (min. 110PA)…has also reached base in 34 of his last 38 games (since 6/23).

GLEYBER DAY: INF Gleyber Torres is batting .344/.420/.508 (21-for-61) with 8R, 4 doubles, 2HR, 5RBI, 7BB, 1HP and 4SB in 16 games during the month of August…has hit safely in 13 of those games and has reached base in 14 of those contests.

Has hit safely in 29 of his last 35 games (since 7/6), hitting .317 (44-for-139) with 18R, 5 doubles, 1 triple, 5HR, 13RBI, 10BB, 1HP, 3SF and 5SB in that span.

Has hit .370/.442/.674 (17-for-46) with 5R, 5 doubles, 3HR, 10RBI, 6BB and 3SB in his last 13 games vs. the Red Sox (since 9/13/22).

PEN PALS: Yankees relievers allowed just one run over 6.2 innings of relief on Friday…have allowed just 1R over their last 15.1 innings…own a Major League-best 3.16 ERA (470.0IP, 165ER), .214 opponents’ BA and a 1.20 WHIP this season…also rank second in the Majors in HR/9.0IP (0.82).

RIGHT HAND MAN: RHP Ian Hamilton tossed 3.2 scoreless innings of relief on Friday, setting a career high in innings pitched (previous: 3.0IP on 4/13/23 vs. Minnesota)…his 5K marked his second-most in a game in his career (6K on 4/13/23 vs. Minnesota).

Has not allowed an earned run in 24 of his last 29 appearances (since 4/13), going 2-0 with one save, a 1.52 ERA (41.1IP, 7ER) and 46K in that span.

In 32 games (three starts) this season, is 2-1 with one save, a 1.72 ERA (47.0IP, 9ER) and 55K.

HOME SWEET HOME: The Yankees have won or split three of their last four completed series in the Bronx and six of their last eight completed series at home (since 6/20).

Yankees batters have hit 98HR in 64 home games this season, the fourth-most home runs by any team at home this year…trail only Atlanta (118HR), Texas (112HR) and Los Angeles-NL (102HR).

COLE TRAIN: RHP Gerrit Cole will make his 26th start of the season today…is 10-3 with a 2.76 ERA (156.1IP, 48ER) and 166K in 25 starts this season…owns the second-lowest ERA in the American League and the third-lowest in the Majors, trailing only San Diego’s Blake Snell (2.65) and Texas’ Nathan Eovaldi (2.69)…has allowed 2R-or-fewer in 19 of his 25 starts this season, tied with San Diego’s Blake Snell for the most such starts in the Majors.

Also ranks fourth in the Majors in innings pitched (156.1, first in AL) and WHIP (1.05, fourth in AL), tied for fifth in winning percentage (.769, third in AL), sixth in opponents’ BA (.214, third in AL), tied for seventh in strikeouts (166, tied for third in AL) and ranks ninth in HR/9.0IP (0.86, fifth in AL)…is tied for seventh in the AL in wins (10).

Today marks the 12th time this season Cole will start after a Yankees’ loss…the Yankees are 9-2 in those games with Cole going 6-1 with a 2.55 ERA (70.2IP, 20ER) in those starts.

Has allowed 3R-or-fewer in 21-of-25 starts, the third-most such starts in the Majors, trailing only Minnesota’s Sonny Gray (22) and San Diego’s Blake Snell (22).

Has tossed at least 6.0 innings in 20 of his 25 starts, the most such starts in the AL and tied for the most in the Majors with San Francisco’s Logan Webb (20) and
Arizona’s Zac Gallen (20)…has tossed at least 6.0 innings in each of his last eight starts (since 7/2) and 13 of his last 14 starts (since 5/28).

According to Elias, his 2.76 ERA is the fourth-lowest by a Yankees starter through his first 25 starts of a season in the last 26 years (since 1998), trailing only
Hiroki Kuroda’s 2.41 ERA in his first 25GS in 2013, Nestor Cortes’ 2.70 ERA in his first 25GS in 2022 and his own 2.73 ERA in his first 25GS in 2021.

His .769 winning percentage is the third-highest by a Yankee starting pitcher through his first 25 starts of a season in the last 22 years (since 2002), trailing only Nathan Eovaldi in 2015 (13-2, .867) and Iván Nova in 2011 (15-3, .833) – credit: Elias.

Has exited just four of his 25 starts this season with the Yankees trailing, with all four of those games being one-run games when Cole left the mound.

ALL RISE: OF Aaron Judge hit his 23rd home run of the season with a two-run shot in the eighth inning on Friday…has hit .303/.477/.606 (10-for-33) with 6R, 1 double, 3HR, 4RBI and 11BB in his last 10 games (since 8/7)…has reached base in 21-of-44 plate appearances over that span.

Has 3HR in his last nine games (since 8/8).

Owns an 11-game on-base streak (since 8/6)…has reached base multiple times in eight of those 11 games, reaching base in 23-of-50 plate appearances over that stretch (10H, 13BB, .460 OBP).

Since being reinstated from the injured list on 7/28, leads the AL and ranks second in the Majors in walks (20), trailing only Kyle Schwarber (23).

Has reached base safely in 59 of his 68 games this season, batting .281/.413/.621 (66-for-235) with 51R, 11 doubles, 23HR, 47RBI, 55BB, 3SB and a 1.034 OPS.

Has reached base safely in 36 of his last 39 games (since 5/12)…is batting .295/.456/.720 (39-for-132) with 30R, 5 doubles, 17HR, 31RBI, 39BB and 1SB in that span.

His 243 career home runs are the most by any player through his first 797 career games (previous: Ryan Howard-235HR).

Has reached base multiple times in 35 of his 68 games this year, including 24 of his last 41 games (since 5/10).

Has 13BB in his last 11 games (since 8/6), 25BB in his last 24 games (since 5/29), 37BB in his last 36 games (since 5/15) and 42BB in his last 44 games (since 4/26).

NEW KID ON THE BLOCK: INF Anthony Volpe doubled in the third inning and singled in the fifth inning on Friday vs. Boston…five of his last seven hits, nine of his last 18 hits and 13 of his last 28 hits have gone for extra bases (5 doubles, 2 triples, 6HR)…is batting .290/.389/.613 (9-for-31) with 3R, 2 doubles, 1 triple, 2HR, 6RBI and 5BB in his last 10 games (since 8/7).

FAN-TASTIC: The Yankees have averaged 41,565 fans per home gate this season, the highest home average attendance in the American League and the second-highest in the Majors, trailing only Los Angeles-NL (47,914).

TODAY’S STARTING PITCHER: RHP GERRIT COLE (10-3, 2.76 ERA)
RHP Gerrit Cole will make his 26th start of the season today vs. Boston…the 32-year-old will start on extended five days’ rest due to Thursday’s team off day…last started on Sunday at Miami and allowed just 2ER in 6.0IP in a no-decision (6H, 2BB, 6K, 0HR)…is 10-3 with a 2.76 ERA (156.1IP, 48ER) and 166K in 25 starts this season…owns the second-lowest ERA in the American League and the third-lowest in the Majors, trailing only San Diego’s Blake Snell (2.65) and Texas’ Nathan Eovaldi (2.69)…has allowed 2R-or-fewer in 19 of his 25 starts this season, tied with San Diego’s Blake Snell for the most such starts in the Majors…started for the American League in the 93rd Midsummer Classic on 7/11 and retired all 3BF, becoming the 12th pitcher in franchise history (20th time) to start an All-Star Game…was named to his sixth career All-Star team via the player ballot…reached 10 years of Major League service on 5/29…recorded his 2,000th career strikeout on 5/23 vs. Baltimore (Jorge Mateo swinging), becoming the third-fastest pitcher in Major League history to reach the milestone (in terms of games and innings pitched)…his Major League-leading 257K last season were the most by a Yankees pitcher in a single season in franchise history, surpassing Ron Guidry’s previous record of 248K in 1978…the six-time All-Star (2015, ’18-19, ’21-23) has finished in the top-five of Cy Young Award voting five times (second in 2021, fourth in 2020, second in 2019, fifth in 2018, fourth in 2015)…his career 10.44 K/9.0IP ratio (2,096K/1,806.1IP) is the eighth-highest in Major League history (min. 1,000.0IP)…in 100 starts with the Yankees, is 46-22 with a 3.15 ERA (611.1IP, 214ER) and 760K…since 2018, leads the Majors in wins (81) and strikeouts (1,362), ranks second in K/9.0IP (11.97) and innings pitched (1,024.0), third in opponents’ BA (.205) and WAR among pitchers (26.7 – FanGraphs), fourth in WHIP (1.00) and winning percentage (.717, min. 60 decisions), fifth in K/BB (5.20) and sixth in ERA (2.96)…was originally selected by the Yankees in the first round (28th overall) of the 2008 MLB First-Year Player Draft but did not sign and went on to play at UCLA for three seasons (2009-11)…was the first overall pick of the 2011 First-Year Player Draft, the 15th pitcher (and 11th right-hander) to be chosen first…is the fifth player selected first overall to play for the Yankees, joining Alex Rodriguez, Darryl Strawberry, Tim Foli and Ron Blomberg…signed a nine-year contract extending through the 2028 season with a player opt-out following the 2024 season on 12/18/19.

LAST START: Last pitched on Sunday at Miami and did not record a decision in the Yankees’ 8-7 loss (6.0IP, 6H, 2ER, 2BB, 6K, 0HR)…marked his 19th start of 2R-or-fewer…allowed an RBI single to Luis Arraez in the third inning and an RBI single to Jake Burger in the sixth inning.

IN PINSTRIPES: Made his 100th career start as a Yankee on Sunday at Miami…in 100 starts with the Yankees (since 2020), is 46-22 with a 3.15 ERA (611.1IP, 214ER) and 760K…has allowed 3ER-or-fewer in 78-of-100 starts…has allowed 2ER-or-fewer in 67 starts as a Yankee, tied for the most such starts in the AL and tied for the second-most such starts in the Majors in that stretch…has recorded 19 scoreless starts as a Yankee, the most scoreless starts by any AL pitcher and tied for the eighth-most by any pitcher in the Majors in that span.

His 46 wins since 2020 are the most in the AL and the second-most in the Majors over that stretch, trailing only Julio Urías (50-16)…his 760K since 2020 are the most in the Majors and his 11.19 K/9.0IP ratio in that span is the second-best in the AL and the fourth-best in the Majors (min. 400.0IP)…his 611.1IP since 2020 are the most in the AL and the second-most by a Major League pitcher in that span…his 3.15 ERA since 2020 is the fifth-lowest in the AL (min. 400.0IP).

Has finished in the top-five of Cy Young Award voting in two of his first three seasons in pinstripes (second in 2021, fourth in 2020).

His 25 double-digit strikeout games with the Yankees are the most in franchise history…surpassed Ron Guidry’s record (23) on 7/16 at Colorado…Cole has 25 such games in 100 starts with the Yankees while Guidry recorded 23 double-digit strikeout games in 368 games/323 starts with the Yankees.

2023: Is 10-3 with a 2.76 ERA (156.1IP, 48ER) and 166K in 25GS this season…has allowed 2R-or-fewer in 19 of his 25GS this year, tied with San Diego’s Blake Snell for the most in the Majors.  Ranks third in the Majors in ERA (2.76, second in AL), fourth in innings pitched (156.1, first in AL) and WHIP (1.05, fourth in AL), tied for fifth in winning percentage (.769, third in AL), sixth in opponents’ BA (.214, third in AL), tied for seventh in strikeouts (166, tied for third in AL) and ranks ninth in HR/9.0IP (0.86, fifth in AL)…is tied for seventh in the AL in wins (10).

According to Elias, his 2.76 ERA is the fourth-lowest by a Yankees starter through his first 25 starts of a season in the last 26 years (since 1998), trailing only Hiroki Kuroda’s 2.41 ERA in his first 25GS in 2013, Nestor Cortes’ 2.70 ERA in his first 25GS in 2022 and his own 2.73 ERA in his first 25GS in 2021.

Has allowed 3R-or-fewer in 21-of-25 starts, the second-most such starts in the AL and the third-most such starts in the Majors, trailing only Minnesota’s Sonny Gray (22) and San Diego’s Blake Snell (22)…has allowed 1R-or-fewer in 10 of his 25 starts and has recorded five scoreless starts.

Allowed 3R-or-fewer in 11 consecutive starts from 6/3-8/2, posting a 2.33 ERA (69.2IP, 18ER) and 78K in that span…is tied for the sixth-longest such streak in the Majors this season.

In his last six starts (since 7/16), is 1-1 with a 2.52 ERA (39.1IP, 11ER)…has tossed at least 6.0IP and allowed 2R-or-fewer in five of those six starts.

Has started after a Yankees’ loss 11 times this season…the Yankees are 9-2 in those games with Cole going 6-1 with a 2.55 ERA (70.2IP, 20ER) in those starts.

21 of his 50R allowed have come in four starts: 6R on 5/7 at Tampa Bay, 5R on 5/23 vs. Baltimore, 6R on 5/28 vs. San Diego and 4R on 8/7 at Chicago-AL.

Has allowed just 7HR in his last 13 starts (since 6/3) after allowing 8HR in his previous five starts (5/7-28)…10 of his 15HR allowed this season have been solo home runs…his
seven-start homerless streak to start the season (3/30-5/2) was the third-longest homerless streak of his career (10G from 5/26-8/13/16 and 8G from 7/9-8/20/18).

Has received 3R-or-fewer of support in 17 of his 25 starts…has received 2R-or-fewer of support in 12 of his starts.

Has tossed at least 6.0 innings in 20 of his 25 starts, the most such starts in the AL and tied for the most in the Majors with San Francisco’s Logan Webb (20)
and Arizona’s Zac Gallen (20)…has tossed at least 6.0 innings in each of his last eight starts (since 7/2) and 13 of his last 14 starts (since 5/28).

Has tossed at least 7.0 innings in three of his last four starts (since 7/28), four of his last seven starts (since 7/8) and five of his last 10 starts (since 6/20)…his seven starts of at least 7.0IP are tied for the third-most in the AL.

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