Venue: T-Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
First Pitch: 7:10 PM PDT (10:10 PM EDT)
Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Shane Bieber (RHP)
SEA: Logan Gilbert (RHP)
Venue Breakdown — T-Mobile Park
A pitcher‑friendly AL West ballpark with deep outfield dimensions and marine‑layer air that suppresses home‑run carry.
Capacity: ~47,900
Park Factor: Slightly pitcher‑leaning
Impact:
Bieber’s command‑first profile thrives here
Gilbert’s high‑spin fastball plays well in cool air
Right‑handed hitters must square up balls to clear the fences
Weather Conditions — Seattle, WA
Classic cool Pacific Northwest summer evening.
Temperature at First Pitch: 68–72°F
Humidity: 60–70%
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing in from left field
Conditions: Clear skies
Impact:
Run suppression
Boost for pitchers
Hard for right‑handed hitters to elevate the ball
Injury Report & Player Availability
Toronto Blue Jays
OUT:
Bo Bichette — knee inflammation
QUESTIONABLE:
George Springer — elbow soreness (expected to play)
Available:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Daulton Varsho
Justin Turner
Davis Schneider
Seattle Mariners
OUT:
Ty France — wrist fracture
QUESTIONABLE:
J.P. Crawford — back tightness (game‑time decision)
Available:
Julio Rodríguez
Cal Raleigh
Mitch Haniger
Josh Rojas
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Shane Bieber — RHP, Blue Jays
Record: 5–7
ERA: 3.91
WHIP: 1.25
Profile:
Slider‑heavy attack
Strong command
Generates weak contact
Matchup Impact:
Mariners’ swing‑and‑miss tendencies favor Bieber
Must avoid elevated sliders to Julio Rodríguez
Logan Gilbert — RHP, Mariners
Record: 7–5
ERA: 3.54
WHIP: 1.18
Profile:
High‑spin fastball
Strong strikeout ability
Excellent extension
Matchup Impact:
Blue Jays’ inconsistent offense fits Gilbert’s strengths
Guerrero Jr. vs. Gilbert is the marquee matchup
Team Records & Statistical Profile
Toronto Blue Jays (42–46)
Road Record: 19–25
Runs/Game: 4.21
Runs Allowed/Game: 4.63
Strengths:
Strong rotation
Good defensive versatility
Guerrero Jr.’s power
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent offense
Bullpen volatility
Struggles vs. elite pitching
Seattle Mariners (45–44)
Home Record: 24–20
Runs/Game: 4.33
Runs Allowed/Game: 4.41
Strengths:
Strong rotation
Good team speed
Julio Rodríguez’s elite athleticism
Weaknesses:
High strikeout offense
Bullpen inconsistency
Limited power without France
Recent Team Form
Blue Jays — Last 10 Games
Record: 4–6
Trend: Pitching solid; offense cold
Key Note: Guerrero Jr. slugging .540 over last 10
Mariners — Last 10 Games
Record: 6–4
Trend: Pitching strong; offense improving
Key Note: Rodríguez hitting .315 over last 10
Series History
Season Series: Mariners lead 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Mariners lead 6–4
At T-Mobile Park: Mariners have won 5 of last 7
Trend: Low‑scoring games — 7 of last 10 under 8 total runs
Betting Trends
Blue Jays Trends
3–6 in last nine road games
Unders hit in 6 of last 9
Bieber’s starts: TOR 5–5 in his last 10
Mariners Trends
5–2 in last seven home games
Unders hit in 5 of last 7
Gilbert’s starts: SEA 7–3 in his last 10
Matchup Trends
Mariners have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of last 10 vs. TOR
Blue Jays have scored 4+ runs in 7 of last 10 vs. SEA
Game Odds
Toronto Blue Jays 7.5
Seattle Mariners – 154
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 3, 2026
