Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota
First Pitch: 2:10 PM CT / 3:10 PM ET
Broadcast: Sportsnet (TOR), Bally Sports North (MIN), MLB.tv
WEATHER REPORT — MINNEAPOLIS
Temperature: 58–61°F
Wind: 10–13 mph blowing out to right field
Sky: Partly cloudy
Impact: Boost for left‑handed power hitters; slight downgrade for pitchers who allow fly balls
INJURY REPORT
Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette — IL (knee)
Kevin Gausman — IL (shoulder)
Jordan Romano — IL (elbow)
Alejandro Kirk — day‑to‑day (hand)
Erik Swanson — IL (forearm)
Toronto’s bullpen is thin, and the lineup is missing its top contact hitter.
Minnesota Twins
Carlos Correa — day‑to‑day (back stiffness)
Royce Lewis — IL (quad)
Jhoan Duran — IL (oblique)
Bailey Ober — IL (shoulder)
Max Kepler — IL (wrist)
Minnesota’s lineup is missing two cornerstone bats, and the bullpen is without its closer.
PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUP
Toronto — RHP José Berríos (2–2, 3.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP)
The former Twin returns to Target Field. Berríos has been solid but inconsistent on the road. His sinker/curveball combo plays well in cold weather.
Minnesota — RHP Joe Ryan (3–2, 3.48 ERA, 1.09 WHIP)
Ryan has been Minnesota’s most reliable starter. Elite fastball carry, excellent command, and strong home splits.
Pitching Edge: Minnesota (Ryan’s consistency + home performance).
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Toronto Blue Jays (15–17)
Last 10: 4–6
Road record: 6–9
Runs per game last 10: 3.9
Team ERA last 10: 4.44
Toronto’s offense has been inconsistent without Bichette, and the bullpen has blown multiple late leads.
Minnesota Twins (14–19)
Last 10: 5–5
Home record: 7–8
Runs per game last 10: 4.3
Team ERA last 10: 4.12
Minnesota is playing slightly better baseball but still struggling to string wins together.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Joe Ryan
Vlad Jr. is hitting .302 with 4 HR in his last 12 games.
Ryan’s high‑ride fastball can challenge Guerrero, but Vlad handles velocity well. Micro‑edge: Guerrero
2. Carlos Santana (MIN) vs. José Berríos
Santana has been Minnesota’s most consistent bat early in 2026.
Berríos struggles vs. switch‑hitters with power. Micro‑edge: Santana
3. George Springer (TOR) vs. Minnesota Bullpen
Springer has a .375 OBP in his last 10.
Minnesota’s bullpen ERA without Duran: 4.62 Micro‑edge: Springer
4. Byron Buxton (MIN) vs. Toronto Outfield Defense
Buxton’s speed + Target Field’s deep gaps = extra‑base potential.
Toronto’s outfield defense has been average. Micro‑edge: Buxton
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Twins lead 1–0 (MIN won 4–2 on May 1)
Last 10 meetings: Twins lead 6–4
At Target Field: Twins 5–2 in last 7
Minnesota has quietly controlled this matchup recently.
BETTING TRENDS
Toronto Blue Jays
3–7 in last 10 road games
Under is 6–4 in last 10
2–5 in last 7 vs. AL Central
Minnesota Twins
5–5 in last 10
4–1 in last 5 home games
Over is 6–3–1 in last 10
Game Odds
Toronto Blue Jays – 143
Minnesota Twins 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026
