First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET / 3:40 p.m. PT
Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio
Surface: Natural grass
Weather Outlook — Cleveland, Ohio
- Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy Midwest evening
- Temperature: ~81°F at first pitch
- Humidity: ~60%
- Wind: 6–10 mph blowing in from right field
- Impact: Slightly pitcher‑friendly; suppresses opposite‑field power
Probable Pitchers
Texas — LHP Mac Gore
(Assuming “Gore” refers to MacKenzie Gore)
- Record: 6–5
- ERA: 3.54
- WHIP: 1.26
- Strikeouts: 94
- Profile:
- Power left‑hander with elite strikeout upside
- Guardians’ lineup struggles vs. high‑velocity lefties
- Road ERA: 3.78
- Must keep slider sharp — Cleveland punishes hanging breaking balls
Cleveland — LHP Joey Cantillo
- Record: 3–6
- ERA: 4.49
- WHIP: 1.34
- Strikeouts: 71
- Profile:
- Changeup‑heavy lefty with deceptive movement
- Rangers’ lineup is right‑hand dominant, which is a tough matchup
- Home ERA: 4.12
- Vulnerable to early‑inning traffic; needs first‑pitch strikes
Team Records & Recent Form
Texas Rangers (44–42)
- Road Record: 21–23
- Last 10: 5–5
- Trend:
- Offense averaging 4.8 runs per game over last 10
- Rotation ERA: 3.91 over last 10
- Bullpen stabilizing after early‑season inconsistency
Cleveland Guardians (44–42)
- Home Record: 23–19
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend:
- Offense averaging 4.5 runs per game over last 10
- Pitching staff allowing 4.2 runs per game over last 10
- Bullpen ERA: 3.62 (top‑10 in MLB)
Injury Report
Rangers
- Corey Seager — DAY‑TO‑DAY (hand)
- Josh Jung — OUT (wrist)
- Nathan Eovaldi — OUT (forearm)
- José Leclerc — DAY‑TO‑DAY (shoulder)
Impact: Seager’s status is critical — he’s Texas’ best pure hitter. Jung’s absence weakens the middle of the lineup.
Guardians
- José Ramírez — DAY‑TO‑DAY (quad)
- Shane Bieber — OUT (elbow)
- Steven Kwan — OUT (hamstring)
- James Karinchak — OUT (back)
Impact: Ramírez’s availability determines Cleveland’s offensive ceiling. Kwan’s absence hurts table‑setting and OBP.
Key Player Matchups
Adolis García (TEX) vs. Joey Cantillo (CLE)
García’s power profile is dangerous against Cantillo’s changeup‑heavy approach. If Cantillo leaves pitches up, García can punish them.
José Ramírez (CLE) vs. Mac Gore (TEX)
If Ramírez plays, his switch‑hitting ability challenges Gore’s pitch mix. Gore must avoid middle‑in fastballs.
Marcus Semien (TEX) vs. Guardians Bullpen
Semien has 9 RBI in his last 12 games. Cleveland’s bullpen is strong, but Semien’s late‑inning production has been excellent.
Series History
- 2025 Season Series: Rangers won 4–2
- Last 10 Meetings: Rangers lead 6–4
- At Progressive Field: Split 5–5 over last 10
- Trend:
- Texas has performed well against Cleveland recently
- Games tend to be close, often decided by bullpen execution
Betting Trends
Rangers
- 5–5 last 10
- Overs hit in 6 of last 10
- Rangers are 7–3 in Gore’s last 10 starts
Guardians
- 6–4 last 10
- Unders hit in 6 of last 10
- Guardians are 8–4 in Cantillo’s last 12 home starts
Game Odds
Texas Rangers 7.5
Cleveland Guardians – 121
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, June 30, 2026
