Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, MD
Scheduled First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET
Television: MASN / Bally Sports Sun / MLB.TV**
Weather Forecast — Baltimore, MD
Camden Yards is outdoors and extremely weather‑sensitive.
Temperature: 83°F
Wind: 8 mph blowing out to left‑center
Humidity: 66%
Rain Chance: 15% Conditions: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for right‑handed pull hitters.
Wind blowing out benefits Rays sluggers (Arozarena, Paredes) and Orioles’ righties (Mountcastle, Westburg).
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Wander Franco — OUT (administrative leave)
Josh Lowe — OUT (quad)
Jeffrey Springs — OUT (elbow)
Drew Rasmussen — OUT (forearm)
Colin Poche — Day‑to‑day (back)
Harold Ramírez — OUT (hamstring)
Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman — OUT (wrist)
Grayson Rodriguez — OUT (shoulder)
Cedric Mullins — OUT (foot)
Kyle Bradish — OUT (UCL)
Cade Young — healthy
Ryan O’Hearn — Day‑to‑day (groin)
Baltimore is missing major core pieces. Tampa Bay is missing pitching depth but retains its offensive core.
Starting Pitching Matchup
TB — LHP Shane McClanahan
(2026 Season: 11–6, 3.28 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) McClanahan remains one of MLB’s most dominant lefties.
Strengths:
Elite fastball/changeup combo
Top‑tier strikeout rate
Excellent vs right‑handed power
Road ERA: 2.91
Weaknesses:
Occasional command lapses early
Orioles are top‑10 vs left‑handed fastballs
Camden Yards boosts right‑handed pull power
Orioles vs McClanahan profile:
Mountcastle: .311 vs LHP, .590 SLG
Westburg: .288 vs LHP
Santander: .244 vs LHP but strong pull power
BAL — RHP Cade Young
(2026 Season: 5–9, 4.46 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) Young is a talented but inconsistent young arm.
Strengths:
Heavy sinker generating 52% ground balls
Good slider vs right‑handed hitters
Keeps ball in park when ahead in counts
Weaknesses:
Struggles vs left‑handed power
Rays rank 4th in MLB vs sinkers
Rays’ lineup is extremely patient — Young’s walk rate (9.8%) is a concern
Rays vs Young profile:
Arozarena: .302 vs sinkers
Paredes: .511 SLG vs RHP sliders
Mead: .284 vs RHP, rising star
Key Player Matchups
Randy Arozarena vs Cade Young
Arozarena crushes sinkers
Wind blowing out to left‑center Edge: Arozarena
Ryan Mountcastle vs Shane McClanahan
Mountcastle is elite vs LHP
McClanahan’s changeup is the equalizer Edge: Slightly McClanahan
Isaac Paredes vs Young
Paredes destroys sliders
Young’s slider is his most used pitch Edge: Paredes
Jordan Westburg vs Rays Bullpen
Rays bullpen ERA: 3.41 (top‑5 MLB)
Westburg struggles vs elite velocity Edge: Rays bullpen
Recent Team Form
Tampa Bay Rays — Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense averaging 5.0 runs/game
Rotation stabilizing
Road record: 38–27
Paredes + Arozarena scorching hot
Baltimore Orioles — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense inconsistent without Rutschman
Pitching staff depleted
Home record: 33–31
Mountcastle carrying lineup
Rays enter significantly hotter and healthier.
Series History
2026 Season Series
Rays lead 5–3
Rays have outscored Orioles 39–31
McClanahan vs BAL earlier: 6 IP, 1 ER, 8 K
Young vs TB earlier: 4 IP, 4 ER, 2 HR allowed
At Camden Yards (Last 3 Years)
Rays lead 11–9
Average total runs: 8.7
HRs spike due to wind patterns
Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays
8–3 in last 11 road games
7–1 in McClanahan’s last 8 starts
Under is 6–3 in last 9 Rays games
Baltimore Orioles
3–7 in last 10 home games
2–5 in Young’s last 7 starts
Orioles ML has hit in 41% of games as home underdogs
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Rays have won 6 of last 8
Over has hit in 5 of last 7 at Camden Yards
Game Odds
Tampa Bay Rays – 126
Baltimore Orioles 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 21, 2026
