Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
First Pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET / 4:07 p.m. PT
Roof: Retractable — expected to be closed due to cool temperatures
Weather Report — Toronto, ON
(Weather matters only if roof unexpectedly opens)
- Temperature: 54–57°F
- Conditions: Cloudy, light drizzle possible
- Wind: 10–14 mph blowing in from right field
- Impact: With the roof closed, conditions will be neutral and offense will rely on contact quality rather than weather‑aided carry.
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
- Wander Franco — Out (administrative leave)
- Shane McClanahan — Out (Tommy John recovery)
- Josh Lowe — Day‑to‑day (oblique tightness; likely available off bench)
- Brandon Lowe — Probable (back stiffness)
Despite injuries, Tampa Bay continues to win with depth, pitching, and elite bullpen usage.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette — Out (knee sprain)
- Kevin Gausman — Out (shoulder fatigue)
- Alejandro Kirk — Day‑to‑day (hand contusion)
- George Springer — Probable (illness)
Toronto’s lineup is missing a major bat in Bichette, and the rotation is stretched thin without Gausman.
Team Records & Context
- Rays: 26–13 (2nd in AL East)
- Blue Jays: 18–22 (4th in AL East)
- Season Series: Rays lead 2–1
- Last meeting (May 5): Rays won 7–4 behind a 4‑RBI night from Randy Arozarena.
Tampa Bay is chasing the division‑leading Yankees, while Toronto is trying to avoid falling further behind after an inconsistent first six weeks.
Recent Team Form
Tampa Bay Rays
- Last 10: 8–2
- Runs per game: 5.3
- Runs allowed per game: 3.7
- Trend: Rays are red‑hot, winning with elite bullpen performance and timely hitting. Their road record (13–7) is among the best in MLB.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Last 10: 4–6
- Runs per game: 4.1
- Runs allowed per game: 5.2
- Trend: Toronto’s pitching has been inconsistent, and the offense has been streaky without Bichette. They’ve lost 5 of their last 7 at home.
Probable Pitching Matchup
Rays — RHP Zach Eflin (4–1, 3.28 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.07
- K/BB: 39/6
- Last start: 7.0 IP, 1 ER vs. TEX
- Scouting: Eflin’s command has been elite. His cutter‑sinker mix generates weak contact, and he has dominated Toronto historically.
Blue Jays — RHP José Berríos (2–4, 4.51 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.33
- K/BB: 43/17
- Last start: 5.2 IP, 4 ER vs. MIN
- Scouting: Berríos has been inconsistent. His home splits are better, but he struggles against teams that hit breaking balls well — like Tampa Bay.
Pitching Edge: Rays
Key Player Matchups
1. Randy Arozarena (TB) vs. José Berríos (TOR)
- Arozarena is 7‑for‑18 lifetime vs. Berríos with 2 HR.
- Berríos’ slurve tends to hang against right‑handed power hitters.
2. Yandy Díaz (TB) vs. Toronto’s bullpen
Díaz is hitting .318 in late‑inning situations this season. Toronto’s bullpen has a 4.62 ERA over the last 14 days.
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Zach Eflin (TB)
Guerrero has good career numbers vs. Eflin but has been inconsistent this season. Toronto needs him to carry the offense without Bichette.
4. Rays bullpen vs. Blue Jays late‑inning offense
Tampa Bay’s bullpen ranks top‑3 in ERA and WHIP. Toronto has scored 2 runs or fewer after the 6th inning in 7 of its last 10 games.
Series History
- Rays lead last 10 meetings: 6–4
- At Rogers Centre: Rays have won 4 of last 6
- Trend: Tampa Bay’s pitching has consistently neutralized Toronto’s power bats.
Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays
- 7–1 in last 8 games
- 5–2 in last 7 road games
- Overs in 4 of last 6
- 6–2 in last 8 vs. Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
- 2–5 in last 7 home games
- Unders in 3 of last 5
- 1–4 in last 5 vs. Rays
Matchup Trends
- Rays have scored 5+ runs in 5 of last 7 vs. TOR
- Toronto has allowed 4+ runs in 8 of last 10 games
Game Odds
Tampa Bay Rays 7
Toronto Blue Jays – 131
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 10, 2026
