MLB Game Preview: New York Yankees (26-15) vs. Baltimore Orioles (18-23)

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Baltimore Orioles logo

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

First Pitch: 6:35 p.m. ET / 3:35 p.m. PT

Weather Report — Baltimore, MD

  • Temperature: 67–70°F at first pitch
  • Conditions: Mostly clear skies
  • Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to right field
  • Impact: Boost for left‑handed power hitters; fly balls to right may carry.

Injury Report

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge — Probable (minor hip tightness; expected to play)
  • Giancarlo Stanton — Out (hamstring)
  • Anthony Rizzo — Out (back)
  • Carlos Rodón — Out (forearm)
  • Gleyber Torres — Day‑to‑day (ankle; likely available off bench)

Despite injuries, the Yankees’ depth and pitching have kept them atop the AL East race.

Baltimore Orioles

  • Adley Rutschman — Probable (hand contusion; expected to start)
  • Gunnar Henderson — Out (shoulder)
  • Kyle Bradish — Out (elbow)
  • Cedric Mullins — Day‑to‑day (quad tightness)
  • John Means — Out (Tommy John recovery)

Baltimore’s lineup is missing two cornerstone bats, putting pressure on young hitters to produce.

Team Records & Context

  • Yankees: 26–15 (2nd in AL East)
  • Orioles: 18–23 (4th in AL East)
  • Season Series: Yankees lead 3–1
  • Last meeting (May 4): Yankees won 6–3 behind strong bullpen work and timely hitting.

New York is trying to keep pace with the division‑leading Rays, while Baltimore is trying to avoid falling further behind after a slow start.

Recent Team Form

New York Yankees

  • Last 10: 7–3
  • Runs per game: 5.0
  • Runs allowed per game: 3.9
  • Trend: Yankees’ pitching staff has been excellent, and the offense has been steady even without Stanton and Rizzo. Judge and Soto continue to anchor the lineup.

Baltimore Orioles

  • Last 10: 4–6
  • Runs per game: 4.2
  • Runs allowed per game: 5.1
  • Trend: Baltimore’s pitching has been inconsistent, and the offense has struggled without Henderson. The bullpen has been overworked.

Probable Pitching Matchup

Yankees — RHP Clarke Schmidt (3–1, 3.41 ERA)

  • WHIP: 1.19
  • K/BB: 44/12
  • Last start: 6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. DET
  • Scouting: Schmidt’s cutter and sweeper have been sharp. He has dominated right‑handed hitters and improved his efficiency.

Orioles — RHP Grayson Rodriguez (2–4, 4.62 ERA)

  • WHIP: 1.38
  • K/BB: 51/18
  • Last start: 5.1 IP, 4 ER vs. TEX
  • Scouting: Electric stuff but inconsistent command. Vulnerable to left‑handed power, which is a problem against Juan Soto.

Pitching Edge: Yankees

Key Player Matchups

1. Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Grayson Rodriguez (BAL)

  • Soto is hitting .327 vs. right‑handed pitching this season.
  • Rodriguez has allowed a .286 average to left‑handed hitters.

2. Adley Rutschman (BAL) vs. Clarke Schmidt (NYY)

Rutschman is Baltimore’s most reliable bat and has hit Schmidt well in past meetings.

3. Anthony Volpe (NYY) vs. Orioles bullpen

Volpe has been excellent late in games, and Baltimore’s bullpen has a 4.71 ERA over the last 10 days.

4. Yankees bullpen vs. Orioles late‑inning offense

New York’s bullpen ranks top‑5 in MLB in ERA and WHIP. Baltimore has struggled to score after the 6th inning.

Series History

  • Yankees lead last 10 meetings: 7–3
  • At Camden Yards: Yankees have won 6 of last 8
  • Trend: New York’s power bats have historically thrived in Baltimore’s hitter‑friendly park.

Betting Trends

New York Yankees

  • 6–1 in last 7 road games
  • Overs in 5 of last 7
  • 8–3 in last 11 vs. Baltimore

Baltimore Orioles

  • 2–5 in last 7 home games
  • Overs in 4 of last 6
  • 1–4 in last 5 vs. Yankees

Matchup Trends

  • Yankees have scored 5+ runs in 6 of last 8 vs. BAL
  • Baltimore has allowed 4+ runs in 8 of last 10 games

GAME ODDS

New York Yankees           – 149

Baltimore Orioles            9

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 10, 2026