Venue: T‑Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
First Pitch: 7:10 PM PT
Venue Profile — T‑Mobile Park
Location: 1250 1st Ave S, Seattle, WA
Surface: Grass
Dimensions:
LF: 331 ft
LC: 378 ft
CF: 401 ft
RC: 381 ft
RF: 326 ft
Park Factors:
Slightly pitcher‑friendly
Marine air suppresses HRs
Boosts gap power and line‑drive hitters
Right‑handed pitchers with strong fastballs perform well
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 72–76°F
Humidity: ~60%
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing in from left
Rain: 15% (roof may close if showers develop)
Impact:
HR suppression
Boost to pitchers with fly‑ball tendencies
Offense likely muted early
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Logan Webb — OUT (shoulder)
Patrick Bailey — Day‑to‑day (thumb)
Michael Conforto — OUT (hamstring)
Kyle Harrison — OUT (elbow)
Thairo Estrada — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodríguez — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
George Kirby — OUT (forearm)
J.P. Crawford — OUT (back)
Ty France — OUT (wrist)
Matt Brash — OUT (elbow)
Team Form & Records
San Francisco Giants (41–55)
Last 10: 3–7
Run differential: –63
Strengths: bullpen depth, emerging young arms
Weaknesses: inconsistent offense, injuries to core hitters
Recent trend: pitching shaky; offense cold
Seattle Mariners (48–49)
Last 10: 5–5
Run differential: –12
Strengths: rotation depth, strong home performance
Weaknesses: low OBP, injuries to key bats
Recent trend: pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent
Pitching Matchup — Roupp vs. Miller
Keaton Roupp — Giants (RHP)
2026 Stats:
ERA: 4.32
WHIP: 1.28
K/9: 8.7
HR/9: 1.1
Profile:
Four‑seam / slider / curve
Strong strikeout ability
Fly‑ball tendencies
Matchup Notes:
T‑Mobile Park helps mitigate HR risk
Mariners struggle vs. high‑spin fastballs
Projected strikeouts: 6–8
Bryce Miller — Mariners (RHP)
2026 Stats:
ERA: 3.71
WHIP: 1.17
K/9: 9.3
HR/9: 1.0
Profile:
Power fastball
Sweeping slider
Excellent home splits
Matchup Notes:
Giants’ RH bats (Chapman, Flores) are key
Miller dominates vs. low‑OBP teams
Projected strikeouts: 7–9
Key Player Matchups
Matt Chapman vs. Bryce Miller
Chapman’s power vs. Miller’s fastball
Edge: Miller
Julio Rodríguez vs. Keaton Roupp (if active)
J‑Rod’s elite bat speed vs. Roupp’s fly‑ball profile
Edge: Rodríguez
Wilmer Flores vs. Bryce Miller
Flores excels vs. high‑velo RHP
Edge: Flores
Cal Raleigh vs. Keaton Roupp
Raleigh’s pull power vs. Roupp’s fastball
Edge: Raleigh
Series History
Mariners vs. Giants all‑time: Giants lead 27–23
Last meeting (2025): Mariners won series 2–1
At T‑Mobile Park: Mariners lead 14–11
Most games trend low‑to‑mid scoring due to park factors
Betting Trends
San Francisco
Giants are 18–30 on the road
Under is 6–3 in last 9 Giants games
Giants struggle vs. elite RHP
Seattle
Mariners are 27–22 at home
Miller starts: Mariners 10–7
Under is 7–4 in Mariners’ last 11 home games
Mariners strong vs. fly‑ball pitchers
Totals Trends
T‑Mobile Park suppresses HRs
Weather favors pitching
Model leans Under 8
Game Odds
San Francisco Giants 7
Seattle Mariners – 155
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, July 16, 2026
