Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
Venue Information
Oriole Park at Camden Yards Baltimore, MD
Capacity: 45,971
One of MLB’s most hitter‑friendly parks for right‑handed power
Deep left‑center wall reduces cheap home runs but boosts doubles
Humid summer nights increase ball carry
Historically boosts run scoring, especially in June–August
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 82–85°F at first pitch
Sky: Clear
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left field
Humidity: ~70%
Chance of Rain: <5%
Impact:
Boost to right‑handed hitters
Canning’s fly‑ball tendencies could be punished
Baz’s high‑spin fastball may play well in humid air
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
SS Xander Bogaerts — Out (shoulder)
OF Fernando Tatis Jr. — Probable (ankle soreness)
C Luis Campusano — Questionable (hand)
RP Robert Suarez — Out (forearm)
SP Joe Musgrove — 60‑day IL (elbow)
Impact: Padres’ lineup is missing Bogaerts’ on‑base ability, and bullpen depth is compromised without Suarez.
Baltimore Orioles
C Adley Rutschman — Probable (knee soreness)
OF Colton Cowser — Out (hamstring)
RP Yennier Cano — Out (shoulder)
SP Kyle Bradish — Out (UCL surgery)
Impact: Baltimore’s bullpen is thin, and losing Cowser removes a key left‑handed bat.
Team Records & Recent Form
San Diego Padres (35–32)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 17–15
Strengths: Contact hitting, improved plate discipline, strong rotation depth
Weaknesses: Bullpen volatility, inconsistent power
Trend: Trending upward after a sluggish May
Baltimore Orioles (33–37)
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 16–18
Strengths: Young lineup with speed, elite defensive efficiency
Weaknesses: Injuries to core players, bullpen instability
Trend: Struggling to find consistency after a hot April
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Padres lead 5–4
At Camden Yards: Orioles lead 3–2
Last Meeting: Padres won 2 of 3 in 2025
Trend: Home team has won 6 of last 9 matchups
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Griffin Canning — RHP, San Diego
2026 Stats: 4.22 ERA | 1.29 WHIP | 68 K | 21 BB Profile: Fly‑ball pitcher with a four‑pitch mix (fastball/slider/change/curve). Strengths:
Generates whiffs with slider
Good vs right‑handed hitters
Strong first‑time‑through‑order numbers Concerns:
Fly‑ball rate is dangerous at Camden Yards
Struggles when pitch count rises early
Vulnerable to left‑handed power
Shane Baz — RHP, Baltimore
2026 Stats: 3.54 ERA | 1.17 WHIP | 79 K | 18 BB Profile: Electric fastball/slider combo, elite spin rates, high strikeout upside. Strengths:
Dominant vs right‑handed hitters
Excellent at home (career ERA nearly 0.60 lower)
Generates weak contact with slider Concerns:
Padres’ lineup is right‑handed heavy but disciplined
Can be homer‑prone if fastball leaks middle
Key Player Matchups
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs Shane Baz
Tatis crushes high‑velocity fastballs
Baz’s slider is the equalizer Edge: Even
Adley Rutschman (BAL) vs Griffin Canning
Rutschman excels vs fly‑ball pitchers
Camden Yards boosts his power profile Edge: Rutschman
Manny Machado (SD) vs Baz
Machado handles elite velocity well
Baz’s slider can neutralize him if located Edge: Slight Baz
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs Canning
Henderson punishes elevated fastballs
Canning’s fastball command is inconsistent Edge: Henderson
Betting Trends
San Diego
7–3 in last 10 road games
5–1 in last 6 games vs AL East
6 of last 8 games have gone Over
Baltimore
3–7 in last 10 home games
5 straight Overs at Camden Yards
2–6 in last 8 games vs teams above .500
Matchup Trends
Overs are 6–2 in last 8 meetings
Padres have averaged 5.2 runs per game vs Baltimore since 2023
Orioles have scored 4+ runs in 7 of last 10 vs San Diego
Game Odds
San Diego Padres 9
Baltimore Orioles – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
