First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. CT
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Retractable Roof)
Venue & Weather Conditions
American Family Field is a retractable‑roof stadium, and with rain and humidity in the forecast, the roof is expected to be closed.
Milwaukee Forecast (6–10 p.m. CT):
- Temperature: 64–67°F
- Wind: 10–13 mph from the southwest
- Rain: 40% chance early evening
- Roof Expectation: Closed
- Impact:
- Neutral-to-slightly hitter-friendly indoors
- Power bats on both sides benefit
- Strikeout pitchers (King, Misiorowski) unaffected by wind
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
- Fernando Tatis Jr. — Healthy
- Manny Machado — Healthy
- Xander Bogaerts — Day-to-day (shoulder)
- Yu Darvish — OUT (elbow)
- Michael King — Healthy and scheduled to start
- Robert Suarez — Healthy
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich — Healthy
- William Contreras — Healthy
- Rhys Hoskins — Day-to-day (ankle)
- Freddy Peralta — OUT (forearm)
- Jacob Misiorowski — Healthy and scheduled to start
- Devin Williams — OUT (back)
Team Records & Recent Form
San Diego Padres (24–17)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 12–9
- Run Differential: +31
- Trend: Rotation strong; bullpen excellent; lineup producing consistently.
- Yesterday: Won 4–2 — late-inning execution continues to shine.
Milwaukee Brewers (23–16)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Home Record: 13–8
- Run Differential: +18
- Trend: Young rotation stepping up; offense streaky; bullpen shaky without Williams.
- Yesterday: Lost 4–2 — offense stalled late.
Probable Pitching Matchup
Padres — RHP Michael King (4–2, 3.33 ERA)
- 2026 form: Excellent command; elite changeup; strong road numbers.
- Strengths: Generates weak contact; high strikeout rate; tough on lefties.
- Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues; can struggle when pitch count climbs.
- Matchup notes: Brewers’ lefties (Yelich, Chourio) are key threats.
Brewers — RHP Jacob Misiorowski (3–2, 3.71 ERA)
(One of MLB’s most electric young arms)
- 2026 form: Triple-digit fastball; elite strikeout upside; command improving.
- Strengths: Overwhelming velocity; wipeout slider; dominant at home.
- Weaknesses: Walks; can unravel when behind in counts; vulnerable to patient hitters.
- Matchup notes: Padres’ disciplined bats (Machado, Cronenworth) can force long at-bats.
Pitching Edge: Padres (slightly) — King’s consistency > Misiorowski’s volatility.
Key Player Matchups
Padres Hitters vs. Jacob Misiorowski
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Excellent vs. high velocity; HR threat
- Manny Machado: Patient approach; ideal matchup vs. wild pitchers
- Jake Cronenworth: Strong vs. sliders; can exploit command lapses
Brewers Hitters vs. Michael King
- Christian Yelich: Best matchup; elite vs. changeups
- William Contreras: Power vs. righties; key middle-of-order bat
- Jackson Chourio: Speed/power combo; can punish mistakes
Matchup Edge: Padres lineup
Series History
- 2026 Season: First meeting
- Last 10 Meetings: Padres lead 6–4
- At American Family Field (last 5 years): Brewers win ~55% of matchups
These teams often play tight, low-scoring games in Milwaukee.
Betting Trends
Padres
- 7–3 in last 10 road games
- Under is 6–3 in last 9
- 5–1 in King’s last 6 starts
Brewers
- 4–1 in last 5 home games
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 at home
- 2–5 in Misiorowski’s last 7 starts
Game Odds
San Diego Padres 7
Milwaukee Brewers – 156
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
