MLB Game Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates (58-63) vs. Miami Marlins (61-59)

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Miami Marlins logo

loanDepot park, Miami, Florida
First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET
TV: Marlins.TV / SportsNet Pittsburgh (streaming via Fubo/MLB.TV where available)

This is Game 2 of a three-game series. The Marlins took the opener 2-0 on Tuesday night behind a strong outing from Eury Pérez and a solo homer from Esteury Ruiz, blanking Paul Skenes and the Pirates. Miami has won three straight; Pittsburgh has dropped two in a row and six of its last seven. The Marlins sit third in the NL East; the Pirates are fifth in the NL Central.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Pirates: RHP Carmen Mlodzinski (#50) — 6-4, 3.51 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 77 K in ~97.1 IP. Filling a rotation spot after Mitch Keller’s injury; mixed recent results but solid overall numbers.

Marlins: RHP Janson Junk (#26) — 5-7, 4.63 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 62 K in ~81.2 IP. Has shown improvement in recent starts (low runs allowed over his last three outings).

Mlodzinski holds a clear ERA edge.

Venue & Weather Forecast

loanDepot park (retractable-roof stadium; typically plays as a pitcher-friendly indoor environment when closed).
Forecast: Hot and humid with highs around 89–91°F, chance of afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms (50–70%), heat index values potentially exceeding 100°F. Southeast winds light. The roof is likely to be closed given typical Miami summer conditions and storm chances, creating a controlled environment.

Injury Reports

Pirates:

Ryan O’Hearn (OF): 10-day IL (quadriceps).

Endy Rodriguez (C): Day-to-day (hip).

Longer-term/60-day IL: Mitch Keller (arm), Oneil Cruz (hand), Konnor Griffin (finger). Key contributors missing, impacting lineup depth.

Marlins:

Kyle Stowers (1B/OF): 10-day IL (hamstring; placed before Tuesday’s game).

Max Meyer (SP) / William Kempner / Anthony Bender (RP): 15-day IL.

Longer-term/60-day IL: Adam Mazur, Andrew Nardi, Robby Snelling, Ronny Henriquez (mostly elbow-related). Rotation and bullpen depth limited.

Current Rosters / Key Players

Pirates key contributors: Nick Gonzales (.304 AVG), Brandon Lowe (~25 HR), Bryan Reynolds, Jake Mangum; offense capable but inconsistent lately (shut out Tuesday).

Marlins key contributors: Otto Lopez (.318 AVG), Esteury Ruiz (recent power and speed), Griffin Conine, Xavier Edwards, Javier Sanoja; strong recent form and home success (37-24).

Key Player Versus Player Matchups & Notes

Gonzales, Lowe, and Reynolds (Pirates’ top bats) vs. Junk’s mid-4.00 ERA.

Lopez, Ruiz, and the Marlins’ contact/speed group against Mlodzinski.

loanDepot park (especially with roof closed) generally suppresses offense.

Both bullpens have been effective lately; Miami’s pitching staff ranks better overall.

Season series: Marlins lead this set 1-0.

Recent Team Forms

Pirates: 1-4 in last 5 / 3-7 in last 10; struggling offensively (shut out twice recently) and on a two-game skid. Away record 28-33.

Marlins: 3-2 in last 5 / 6-4 in last 10; three-game win streak and strong home play. Offense has been productive in recent games.

Game Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates            8

Miami Marlins                  – 111

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, August 11, 2026