Petco Park, San Diego, California
First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
TV: Padres.TV / Brewers.TV (streaming via Fubo/MLB.TV where available)
This is the finale of a three-game series. The Padres have taken the first two games, including a dominant 11-2 victory on Tuesday night highlighted by Luis Rengifo’s grand slam against his former team and a milestone home run from Fernando Tatis Jr. Milwaukee enters as the top team in the NL Central and one of the best records in baseball, while San Diego sits third in the NL West and is fighting for a wild-card spot.
Probable Starting Pitchers
Brewers: RHP Dustin May (#21) — 6-7, 4.30 ERA, approximately 1.27 WHIP, 111 K. Solid but not dominant this season after being acquired; has shown flashes of strong outings.
Padres: LHP Robbie Ray (#38) — 10-7, 3.24 ERA, approximately 1.33 WHIP, 109 K. Trade-deadline addition providing quality innings; holds the edge in ERA and overall effectiveness.
Ray has the clearer advantage on paper.
Venue & Weather Forecast
Petco Park (pitcher-friendly outdoor venue near the water with deep dimensions and marine influence).
Forecast: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny, high around 80°F (coastal areas slightly cooler), lows near 68°F. Light west winds around 10 mph, very low precipitation chance, and typical pleasant San Diego conditions. Excellent for baseball with minimal weather impact expected.
Injury Reports
Brewers:
Sal Frelick (OF): 10-day IL (shoulder).
Cooper Pratt (INF): 10-day IL (hamstring).
JoJo Romero (RP) / Joel Kuhnel (RP): 15-day IL.
Longer-term/60-day IL: Brandon Woodruff (shoulder), Rob Zastryzny (shoulder), Brian Fitzpatrick (elbow), Angel Zerpa (forearm), Quinn Priester (wrist).
Joey Ortiz (SS): Day-to-day (neck). Depth in the outfield and bullpen is tested.
Padres:
Miguel Andujar (INF/OF): 10-day IL (wrist).
Samad Taylor (OF): 10-day IL (oblique).
David Morgan (RP) / Lucas Giolito (SP): 15-day IL.
Longer-term/60-day IL: Jason Adam (shoulder), Joe Musgrove (elbow), Bryan Hoeing (elbow), Ramon Laureano (hip), Nick Pivetta (elbow). Rotation and bullpen depth remain limited despite recent contributions.
Current Rosters / Key Players
Brewers key contributors: Brice Turang (SS, strong on-base and power), Jackson Chourio, Garrett Mitchell, Jake Bauers, William Contreras, Christian Yelich, Brice Turang leading a balanced offense; strong overall pitching staff and defense.
Padres key contributors: Fernando Tatis Jr. (RF, power and speed), Manny Machado, Luis Rengifo (recently hot vs. former team), Jackson Merrill, Xander Bogaerts, Jake Cronenworth, Luis Campusano; offense has been productive at home.
Key Player Versus Player Matchups & Notes
Tatis Jr., Machado, and Merrill (Padres’ core power/contact) vs. May’s mid-4.00 ERA.
Turang, Chourio, and Yelich (Brewers’ dynamic lineup) against Ray’s solid left-handed stuff.
Petco Park suppresses some power and favors pitchers, especially in day games with coastal conditions.
Both bullpens have been taxed in the series; Milwaukee’s overall staff quality remains a strength.
Season series: Padres lead this set 2-0 and hold a slight edge overall in 2026 meetings.
Recent Team Forms
Brewers: Strong season-long form (best record in NL Central) but recently dropped the first two of this series and dealing with a short road skid. Excellent team ERA and defense.
Padres: 7-3 in last 10; riding a four-game win streak and strong home play (36-26). Offense has exploded in this series. wtop.com
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 113
San Diego Padres 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, August 11, 2026
