Venue: loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia / Bally Sports Florida / MLB.tv
WEATHER REPORT — MIAMI
loanDepot Park features a retractable roof.
Roof Status: Expected closed due to humidity
Temperature: Controlled (72–75°F)
Wind: Minimal impact
Impact: Neutral hitting environment; slight boost to pitchers
INJURY REPORT
Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper — day‑to‑day (back tightness)
Trea Turner — IL (hamstring)
Ranger Suárez — IL (elbow)
José Alvarado — IL (shoulder)
Cristopher Sánchez — day‑to‑day (forearm)
Philadelphia’s rotation is thin, and the lineup is missing its leadoff catalyst.
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — day‑to‑day (knee soreness)
Jesús Luzardo — IL (forearm)
Eury Pérez — IL (elbow)
Jake Burger — IL (oblique)
A.J. Puk — IL (back)
Miami’s pitching staff is heavily depleted, but the lineup remains competitive.
PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUP
Philadelphia — RHP Taijuan Walker (1–3, 5.14 ERA, 1.42 WHIP)
Walker has struggled with command and home‑run prevention. His splitter has been inconsistent, and he’s been vulnerable early in games.
Miami — RHP Edward Cabrera (2–2, 3.68 ERA, 1.27 WHIP)
Cabrera’s electric fastball/changeup combo generates elite whiffs, but walks remain an issue. He’s been excellent at home.
Pitching Edge: Miami (Cabrera’s swing‑and‑miss profile + home splits).
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Philadelphia Phillies (13–19)
Last 10: 4–6
Road record: 5–10
Runs per game last 10: 4.0
Team ERA last 10: 4.77
Philadelphia is struggling to score consistently without Turner and with Harper limited.
Miami Marlins (15–17)
Last 10: 6–4
Home record: 9–7
Runs per game last 10: 4.7
Team ERA last 10: 4.21
Miami is trending upward, especially offensively.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs. Edward Cabrera
Schwarber has 5 HR in his last 12 games.
Cabrera’s changeup is effective vs. left‑handed power, but his fastball command can be erratic. Micro‑edge: Schwarber (power upside)
2. Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs. Taijuan Walker
De La Cruz is hitting .318 with 4 HR in his last 10.
Walker struggles vs. right‑handed power. Micro‑edge: De La Cruz
3. J.T. Realmuto (PHI) vs. Miami Bullpen
Realmuto has a .360 OBP in his last 10.
Miami’s bullpen ERA last 10: 4.66 Micro‑edge: Realmuto
4. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Phillies Middle Relief
If active, Jazz’s speed and gap power are major threats.
Phillies’ middle relief has been inconsistent. Micro‑edge: Chisholm (if healthy)
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Marlins lead 1–0 (MIA won 3–2 on May 1)
Last 10 meetings: Marlins lead 6–4
At loanDepot Park: Marlins 7–3 in last 10
Miami has quietly controlled this matchup at home.
BETTING TRENDS
Philadelphia Phillies
4–6 last 10
2–6 in last 8 road games
Under is 6–4 in last 10
1–5 in last 6 vs. NL East
Miami Marlins
6–4 last 10
5–2 in last 7 home games
Over is 6–4 in last 10
4–1 in last 5 vs. NL East
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies 8.5
Miami Marlins – 130
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026
