Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, Arizona
First Pitch: 9:40 PM ET (6:40 PM PT)
Broadcast: Bally Sports North, Bally Sports Arizona, MLB.TV
Weather Forecast
Chase Field features a retractable roof, and with Phoenix temperatures expected to exceed 100°F, the roof will almost certainly be closed.
- Indoor Temperature: ~72°F
- Roof: Closed
- Impact: Neutral-to-slightly pitcher-friendly; reduces HR carry and keeps breaking balls sharp.
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
- Carlos Correa — Probable (foot soreness)
- Royce Lewis — OUT (hamstring strain)
- Max Kepler — OUT (wrist fracture)
- Jhoan Duran — OUT (elbow inflammation)
- Byron Buxton — Questionable (knee soreness)
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Corbin Carroll — OUT (shoulder surgery)
- Ketel Marte — Probable (quad tightness)
- Jordan Montgomery — OUT (forearm strain)
- Gabriel Moreno — OUT (hand fracture)
- Christian Walker — Probable (back stiffness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Minnesota Twins (36–40)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Road Record: 17–21
- Run Differential: -19
- Trend: Pitching inconsistent; offense weakened by injuries to Lewis and Kepler.
- Key Note: Twins are 3–9 in their last 12 road games vs teams above .500.
Arizona Diamondbacks (38–36)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Home Record: 20–17
- Run Differential: +11
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense streaky but improving with Marte and Walker healthy.
- Key Note: D-backs are 8–3 in their last 11 home night games.
Pitching Matchup
Minnesota — Connor Prielipp (LHP)
2026 Stats:
- Record: 2–4
- ERA: 4.58
- WHIP: 1.36
- K/BB: 52/20
- Road ERA: 4.91
Scouting Notes:
- Young lefty with a sharp slider and developing changeup.
- Arizona ranks 12th vs LHP, a challenging matchup.
- Command issues lead to elevated pitch counts and occasional big innings.
- Vulnerable to RH power bats — Walker, Marte, and Suárez pose threats.
Arizona — Mike Soroka (RHP)
2026 Stats:
- Record: 5–5
- ERA: 3.71
- WHIP: 1.22
- K/BB: 64/17
- Home ERA: 3.28
Scouting Notes:
- Ground-ball specialist with elite command.
- Twins rank 25th in MLB vs sinkers, a major advantage for Soroka.
- Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 6 of his last 8 starts.
- Chase Field’s closed roof enhances his pitch movement.
Key Player Matchups
Carlos Correa (MIN) vs Soroka
- Correa hitting .290 vs RHP in 2026.
- Soroka’s sinker may induce weak contact, limiting extra-base potential.
Byron Buxton (MIN) vs RHP
- If active, Buxton’s speed/power combo is a threat, but he’s hitting just .228 vs sinkers.
Christian Walker (ARI) vs Prielipp
- Walker slugging .560 vs LHP this season.
- Prielipp’s slider must stay down to avoid damage.
Ketel Marte (ARI) vs LHP
- Marte hitting .315 vs lefties, one of MLB’s best splits.
- Ideal matchup vs Prielipp’s fastball/slider mix.
Series History
- Last 10 meetings: Diamondbacks lead 6–4
- At Chase Field: Diamondbacks lead 5–2 since 2017
- Recent Trend: 4 of last 6 matchups have gone OVER the total.
Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins
- 3–9 in last 12 road games vs winning teams
- Under is 7–3 in their last 10
- Twins 1–4 in Prielipp’s last 5 starts
Arizona Diamondbacks
- 8–3 in last 11 home night games
- Under is 6–2 in their last 8 at home
- D-backs 6–2 in Soroka’s last 8 starts
GAME ODDS
Minnesota Twins 8.5
Arizona Diamondbacks – 170
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 18, 2026
