Venue: Busch Stadium — St. Louis, Missouri
First Pitch: 7:45 PM CT / 8:45 PM ET / 5:45 PM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest, Bally Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — BUSCH STADIUM
Temperature: 69–72°F at first pitch
Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to left‑center — slight boost for right‑handed power
Humidity: 50%
Precipitation: <10% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Mildly hitter‑friendly conditions
Outfield gaps reward line‑drive hitters
Wind gives a small bump to fly‑ball distance
INJURY REPORT
Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (LF) — Probable, minor back tightness
William Contreras (C) — Probable, knee soreness
Freddy Peralta (SP) — Out, shoulder fatigue
Devin Williams (CL) — Out, back injury
St. Louis Cardinals
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) — Probable, minor wrist soreness
Nolan Arenado (3B) — Probable, elbow maintenance
Miles Mikolas (SP) — Out, forearm strain
Ryan Helsley (CL) — Probable, workload management
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Milwaukee Brewers (18–16)
Run Differential: +9
Road Record: 9–8
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense: 4.61 runs/game
Pitching: 4.12 ERA
Bullpen: 3.98 ERA (middle‑tier)
\St. Louis Cardinals (20–14)
Run Differential: +22
Home Record: 11–6
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense: 4.78 runs/game
Pitching: 3.89 ERA
Bullpen: 3.54 ERA (top‑10 MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Milwaukee Brewers
Offense steady: 4.8 runs/game over last 8
Rotation stabilizing despite Peralta’s absence
Contreras and Hoskins driving production
Bullpen inconsistent in late innings
St. Louis Cardinals
Offense hot: 5.2 runs/game over last 7
Pitching staff strong at home
Arenado and Goldschmidt producing veteran consistency
Bullpen excellent in leverage spots
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Milwaukee — Colin Rea (RHP)
2026 Season: 2–2, 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP
Strengths: Mixes pitches well, induces soft contact
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to right‑handed power when elevated
Vs. Cardinals: 4.32 career ERA
St. Louis — Steven Matz (LHP)
2026 Season: 3–2, 3.77 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Strengths: Ground‑ball specialist, effective vs. lefties
Weaknesses: Can struggle vs. aggressive right‑handed hitters
Vs. Brewers: 3.98 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. William Contreras (MIL) vs. Steven Matz (STL)
Contreras crushes left‑handed pitching
Matz must avoid middle‑in fastballs Edge: Brewers
2. Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Colin Rea (MIL)
Arenado thrives vs. soft‑contact pitchers
Rea must keep the ball down Edge: Cardinals
3. Christian Yelich (MIL) vs. Cardinals Bullpen
Yelich’s on‑base skills key vs. elite late‑inning arms Edge: Even
4. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Milwaukee Right‑Handed Pitching
Goldschmidt’s power plays well with wind out Edge: Cardinals
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Cardinals lead 8–5
Last 10 Meetings: Cardinals lead 6–4
At Busch Stadium: Cardinals have won 5 of last 7
Games often tight, with pitching depth deciding late innings.
BETTING TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers
6–3 in last 9 road games
Over is 5–3 in last 8
4–2 in last 6 vs. NL Central
St. Louis Cardinals
7–2 in last 9 home games
Under is 5–3 in last 8
8–3 in last 11 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 118
St. Louis Cardinals 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
