Venue: Nationals Park — Washington, D.C.
First Pitch: 4:05 PM ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports Wisconsin / MASN / MLB.tv
WEATHER REPORT — WASHINGTON, D.C.
Temperature: 72–75°F
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left field
Sky: Mostly sunny
Impact: Boost for right‑handed power hitters; slight downgrade for fly‑ball pitchers
INJURY REPORT
Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich — day‑to‑day (back tightness)
Jackson Chourio — IL (hamstring)
Robert Gasser — IL (elbow)
DL Hall — IL (shoulder)
Trevor Megill — IL (forearm)
Milwaukee’s outfield depth is stretched, but the rotation is mostly intact.
Washington Nationals
CJ Abrams — day‑to‑day (wrist)
Josiah Gray — IL (forearm)
MacKenzie Gore — IL (shoulder)
Lane Thomas — IL (ankle)
Hunter Harvey — IL (lat)
Washington’s rotation is thin, and the lineup is missing two key bats.
PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUP
Milwaukee — RHP Freddy Peralta (3–1, 3.62 ERA, 1.11 WHIP)
Peralta has been sharp early in 2026. His fastball/slider combo is generating elite whiff rates. Road ERA slightly higher, but he’s been excellent vs. right‑heavy lineups.
Washington — RHP Jake Irvin (2–3, 4.44 ERA, 1.32 WHIP)
Irvin has improved his command but remains vulnerable to hard contact. His home ERA is better than his road ERA, but he struggles vs. high‑OBP teams.
Pitching Edge: Milwaukee (Peralta’s swing‑and‑miss profile).
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Milwaukee Brewers (17–14)
Last 10: 6–4
Road record: 8–7
Runs per game last 10: 4.9
Team ERA last 10: 3.88
Milwaukee is trending upward, especially offensively.
Washington Nationals (15–18)
Last 10: 4–6
Home record: 7–9
Runs per game last 10: 4.1
Team ERA last 10: 4.72
Washington is competitive but inconsistent, especially in the bullpen.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Willy Adames (MIL) vs. Jake Irvin
Adames is hitting .310 with 4 HR in his last 12 games.
Irvin struggles vs. right‑handed power bats. Micro‑edge: Adames
2. Rhys Hoskins (MIL) vs. Nationals Bullpen
Hoskins has a .540 SLG in late‑inning situations.
Washington’s bullpen ERA last 10: 5.12 Micro‑edge: Hoskins
3. CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Freddy Peralta
Abrams’ speed is a major weapon, but Peralta’s high‑spin fastball neutralizes slap hitters. Micro‑edge: Peralta
4. Joey Meneses (WSH) vs. Brewers Middle Relief
Meneses is hitting .333 with RISP this season.
Brewers’ middle relief has been shaky without Megill. Micro‑edge: Meneses
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Brewers lead 1–0 (MIL won 5–1 on May 1)
Last 10 meetings: Brewers lead 7–3
At Nationals Park: Brewers 5–2 in last 7
Milwaukee has dominated this matchup recently.
BETTING TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers
6–4 last 10
4–1 in last 5 road games
Over is 6–4 in last 10
5–1 in last 6 vs. NL East
Washington Nationals
4–6 last 10
2–4 in last 6 home games
Over is 7–3 in last 10
1–5 in last 6 vs. NL Central
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 137
Washington Nationals 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026
