First Pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET / 6:20 p.m. CT
Venue: Truist Park — Cumberland/Atlanta, Georgia
Surface: Grass
Capacity: 41,084
Weather Forecast (Atlanta, GA)
Truist Park is open-air; weather will influence run environment.
- Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
- Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to right-center
- Humidity: ~64%
- Rain: 0% — clear, warm evening
- Weather Impact:
- Boost for left-handed power hitters
- Slightly hitter-friendly overall
- Ball carries well in warm, humid conditions
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
- Seiya Suzuki — Probable (hamstring tightness, trending toward playing)
- Dansby Swanson — OUT (oblique strain)
- Cody Bellinger — Healthy
- Justin Steele — OUT (forearm strain)
- Adbert Alzolay — OUT (shoulder inflammation)
Atlanta Braves
- Ronald Acuña Jr. — Healthy
- Ozzie Albies — Day-to-day (wrist soreness)
- Austin Riley — Probable (quad tightness)
- Max Fried — Healthy
- Sean Murphy — OUT (thumb fracture)
Team Records & Recent Form
Chicago Cubs (27–14)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 12–9
- Run Differential: +34
- Recent Form:
- Offense averaging 5.0 runs over last 10
- Bullpen shaky but improving
- Rotation depth tested by Steele’s absence
Atlanta Braves (28–13)
- Last 10: 7–3
- Home Record: 15–6
- Run Differential: +47
- Recent Form:
- Offense surging: 5.6 runs per game over last 10
- Bullpen elite in late innings
- Rotation strong at home
Probable Starting Pitchers
Chicago — RHP Kyle Hendricks (3–2, 4.11 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.26
- K/BB: 29/8
- Strengths:
- Command, changeup, soft contact
- Weaknesses:
- Vulnerable to power-heavy lineups
- Struggles when changeup isn’t sharp
- Matchup Outlook:
- Braves’ RH and switch-hitting power (Acuña, Riley, Ozuna) is a tough fit
- Warm, humid air increases HR risk
Atlanta — LHP Max Fried (4–1, 2.88 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.09
- K/BB: 45/11
- Strengths:
- Elite command, ground-ball machine
- Dominant at home
- Weaknesses:
- Occasional early-inning command lapses
- Matchup Outlook:
- Cubs’ RH bats (Hoerner, Suzuki, Morel) match up reasonably well
- Fried’s ground-ball profile neutralizes power
Key Player Matchups
Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs. Kyle Hendricks
- Acuña hitting .333 vs soft-tossing RHP
- Hendricks allows 1.3 HR/9 to RH hitters
- Advantage: Acuña
Cody Bellinger (CHC) vs. Max Fried
- Bellinger hitting .292 vs LHP this season
- Fried’s curveball historically neutralizes Bellinger
- Advantage: Fried
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) vs. Cubs Bullpen
- Ozuna hitting .318 in late innings
- Cubs bullpen bottom-third in HR allowed
- Advantage: Ozuna
Christopher Morel (CHC) vs. Fried
- Morel’s power plays well in warm weather
- Fried’s ground-ball rate limits damage
- Advantage: Even
Series History
- 2025 Season: Braves won 4 of 6
- Last 10 Meetings: Braves lead 7–3
- At Truist Park: Braves 10–4 vs Cubs since 2019
- Trend: High-scoring games common in Atlanta
Betting Trends
Chicago
- 5–2 in last 7 road games
- Over is 6–3 in last 9 Cubs games
- Cubs 2–6 in last 8 vs Braves
Atlanta
- 6–1 in last 7 home games
- Over is 7–3 in last 10 at Truist Park
- Braves 9–3 in last 12 vs NL Central
Head-to-Head
- Over is 5–1 in last 6 meetings
- Braves have won 7 of last 10 overall
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs 9.5
Atlanta Braves – 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 11, 2026
