Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT
Venue Type: Extremely pitcher‑friendly; suppresses HRs and boosts foul‑ball outs.
WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS
Athletics Forecast:
Temp: 72°F
Humidity: 63%
Wind: W 12 mph (blowing in from RF)
Precipitation: 0%
Conditions: Cool, breezy evening
Weather + park strongly favor pitchers; HR suppression expected.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Boston — LHP Tanner Tolle
2026 Season: 7–5, 3.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
Four‑seam / slider / changeup mix
Athletics struggle vs. left‑handed pitching (team OPS .654 vs. LHP)
Road ERA: 3.91
Key strength: induces weak contact; excellent command
Key vulnerability: occasional HR susceptibility vs. right‑handed pull hitters
Athletics— RHP Mason Perkins
2026 Season: 4–7, 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP
Sinker/slider profile
Red Sox crush sinkers (team SLG .478 vs. sinkers)
Home ERA: 4.21
Key strength: induces ground balls
Key vulnerability: left‑handed power (Devers, Yoshida)
CURRENT TEAM FORM
Boston Red Sox — Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense averaging 4.7 runs/game
Bullpen trending upward (3.38 ERA last 10)
Road record: 26–27
Strength: strong middle‑order power, improved pitching depth
Weakness: streaky bottom‑third lineup
Athletics — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 3.9 runs/game
Bullpen inconsistent (4.92 ERA last 10)
Home record: 22–33
Strength: young hitters showing flashes (Gelof, Soderstrom)
Weakness: rotation instability, low SLG, high strikeout rate
INJURY REPORT
Boston Red Sox
3B Rafael Devers — Day‑to‑Day (hamstring)
RP Kenley Jansen — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
SP Brayan Bello — IL (elbow)
OF Jarren Duran — Active
Athletics
OF Esteury Ruiz — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
RP Trevor May — 15‑Day IL (lat)
SP JP Sears — IL (forearm)
C Shea Langeliers — Active
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Tanner Tolle vs. Zack Gelof
Gelof vs. LHP: .232 AVG, .401 SLG
Tolle’s changeup neutralizes Gelof’s bat speed Edge: Tolle
Tanner Tolle vs. Tyler Soderstrom
Soderstrom handles elevated fastballs well
Tolle must avoid middle‑zone heaters Edge: Slight Soderstrom
Mason Perkins vs. Rafael Devers
Devers vs. sinkers: .311 AVG, .589 SLG
Perkins’ sinker is his primary pitch Edge: Devers (if active)
Mason Perkins vs. Masataka Yoshida
Yoshida excels vs. sliders (.288 AVG, .540 SLG)
Perkins’ slider is inconsistent Edge: Yoshida
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season Series: Red Sox lead 2–1
Last 20 meetings: Boston 14–6
At Oakland Coliseum (last 3 seasons): Boston 10–5
Red Sox have dominated Athletics in games started by command‑first LHP
BETTING TRENDS
Boston
Red Sox are 7–3 in Tolle’s last 10 starts
Under is 10–4 in Boston’s last 14 road games
Boston is 6–2 in their last 8 games vs. Oakland
Athletics
Athletics are 3–8 in Perkins’ last 11 starts
Under is 9–5 in Oakland’s last 14 home games
Oakland is 2–7 in their last 9 games vs. teams above .500
Head‑to‑Head
Red Sox have covered RL in 5 of last 7
Under has hit in 6 of last 10
Boston has scored 5+ runs in 4 straight games vs. OAK
ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT
Pitching WAR (2026)
Tolle: 2.3 WAR
Perkins: 0.9 WAR
Team OPS (Last 30 Days)
Boston: .731
Oakland: .692
Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)
Boston: 3.44
Oakland: 4.88
Run Expectancy Model
Projected scoring:
Boston: 4.8–5.4 runs
Oakland: 3.6–4.2 runs
GAME ODDS
Boston Red Sox – 172
Athletics 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026
