Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, New York
First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET / 4:05 PM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: YES Network, MASN, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — YANKEE STADIUM
Temperature: 62–65°F at first pitch
Wind: 9–12 mph blowing out to right field — boosts left‑handed power
Humidity: 58%
Precipitation: <10% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Short right‑field porch becomes a major factor
Fly‑ball pitchers at risk
Expect moderate‑to‑high scoring conditions
INJURY REPORT
Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman (C) — Probable, minor knee soreness
Gunnar Henderson (SS/3B) — Probable, hamstring tightness
Kyle Bradish (SP) — Out, elbow recovery
Félix Bautista (CL) — Out, Tommy John recovery
New York Yankees
Aaron Judge (RF) — Probable, minor hip soreness
Giancarlo Stanton (DH) — Questionable, quad tightness
Carlos Rodón (SP) — Out, shoulder fatigue
Jonathan Loáisiga (RP) — Out, elbow inflammation
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Baltimore Orioles (15–19)
Run Differential: -14
Road Record: 7–11
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense: 4.28 runs/game
Pitching: 4.62 ERA
Bullpen: 4.51 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
New York Yankees (23–11)
Run Differential: +41
Home Record: 13–5
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense: 5.02 runs/game
Pitching: 3.71 ERA
Bullpen: 3.44 ERA (top‑10 MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Baltimore Orioles
Offense inconsistent: 4.1 runs/game over last 8
Rotation struggling without Bradish
Bullpen unreliable in late innings
Rutschman and Henderson carrying most of the load
New York Yankees
Offense surging: 5.4 runs/game over last 7
Pitching staff stabilizing despite injuries
Judge and Soto producing elite numbers
Bullpen strong in leverage spots
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Baltimore — Grayson Rodriguez (RHP)
2026 Season: 2–3, 4.22 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Strengths: High‑velocity fastball, swing‑and‑miss changeup
Weaknesses: Occasional command lapses, HR risk in hitter‑friendly parks
Vs. Yankees: 4.50 career ERA
New York — Marcus Stroman (RHP)
2026 Season: 4–1, 3.33 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: Elite ground‑ball rate, soft contact
Weaknesses: Can struggle vs. left‑handed power
Vs. Orioles: 3.62 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Grayson Rodriguez (BAL)
Soto crushes high‑velocity fastballs
Rodriguez must avoid middle‑in locations Edge: Yankees
2. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Marcus Stroman (NYY)
Henderson’s left‑handed power plays well with wind out
Stroman’s sinker must stay down Edge: Orioles (slight)
3. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Baltimore Bullpen
Judge dominates late‑inning right‑handed pitching
Baltimore’s relief corps has struggled Edge: Yankees
4. Adley Rutschman (BAL) vs. Yankee Stadium Dimensions
Rutschman’s switch‑hitting gives him matchup flexibility Edge: Even
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Yankees lead 8–5
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
At Yankee Stadium: Yankees have won 6 of last 8
Games often high‑scoring due to park factors and division familiarity.
BETTING TRENDS
Baltimore Orioles
3–7 in last 10 road games
Over is 5–3 in last 8
2–7 in last 9 vs. AL East
New York Yankees
8–2 in last 10 home games
Over is 6–3 in last 9
7–3 in last 10 vs. teams below .500
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
New York Yankees – 246
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
