First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET / 1:10 PM PT
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Surface: Natural grass
Series: Game 3 of 3 (Series tied 1–1)
Weather Report (as of early May 10 projections)
- Temperature: 72–76°F
- Conditions: Sunny, low humidity
- Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to left field
- Impact:
- Boosts right-handed power (Braves: Riley, Ozuna; Dodgers: Betts, Smith).
- Warm, dry LA air increases carry on fly balls.
- Slight lean toward overs unless both starters dominate.
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
- RF Ronald Acuña Jr. — Healthy (no restrictions)
- SP Max Fried — OUT (forearm tightness)
- RP A.J. Minter — OUT (shoulder)
- C Sean Murphy — Day-to-day (hand bruise; expected to play)
- RP Raisel Iglesias — Healthy (closing duties)
Los Angeles Dodgers
- SP Walker Buehler — OUT (elbow management)
- SP Bobby Miller — OUT (shoulder)
- OF Jason Heyward — OUT (back)
- SS Gavin Lux — Healthy
- RP Brusdar Graterol — Healthy
Team Records & Recent Form
Atlanta Braves (27–13)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 13–8
- Run Differential: +54
- Trend: Elite offense; pitching depth tested without Fried.
- Strength: Top‑3 lineup in MLB; elite hard‑hit metrics.
- Weakness: Middle relief inconsistent; rotation thin behind Strider.
Los Angeles Dodgers (24–15)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Home Record: 13–7
- Run Differential: +39
- Trend: Offense strong; pitching staff adjusting to injuries.
- Strength: Deep lineup, strong bullpen, elite plate discipline.
- Weakness: Rotation volatility; bottom of lineup streaky.
Probable Starting Pitchers
Atlanta — RHP Spencer Strider (5–1, 2.98 ERA)
- 2026 Road ERA: 3.12
- WHIP: 1.05
- K/9: 13.4 (elite)
- Scouting Notes:
- Fastball/slider combo remains one of MLB’s most dominant.
- Dodgers’ lineup handles velocity well but struggles vs. elite sliders.
- Must avoid long innings; LA works deep counts.
Los Angeles — RHP Tyler Glasnow (4–2, 3.44 ERA)
- 2026 Home ERA: 3.21
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/9: 12.1
- Scouting Notes:
- Power fastball + wipeout curveball.
- Braves’ lineup can punish mistakes but struggles vs. high-spin breaking balls.
- Health and pitch count management always factors.
Key Player Matchups
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs. Tyler Glasnow
- Acuña handles high velocity but can chase breaking balls early in counts.
- Glasnow must bury the curveball to neutralize him.
2. Mookie Betts (LAD) vs. Spencer Strider
- Betts’ elite bat-to-ball skills give him a chance vs. Strider’s fastball.
- Strider must avoid predictable sequencing.
3. Austin Riley (ATL) vs. Dodgers Bullpen
- Riley’s power plays extremely well with wind blowing out to left.
- Graterol’s sinker is the key late-game matchup.
4. Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs. Strider
- Freeman’s patience and ability to hit sliders make him a major threat.
Series History
- 2023–2026 Combined: Dodgers lead 12–10
- At Dodger Stadium: Dodgers have won 7 of last 11
- Trend: Games often tight, with elite pitching matchups dictating pace.
Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves
- 6–2 last eight road games
- Overs hit in 7 of last 10 Braves games
- Braves are 20–3 when scoring 5+ runs
Los Angeles Dodgers
- 8–3 last 11 home games
- Unders hit in 5 of last 8 at Dodger Stadium
- Dodgers are 15–2 when leading after 6 innings
Head-to-Head
- Home team is 6–4 in last 10
- Unders are 6–4 in last 10
- Dodgers have covered run line in 4 of last 6
Game Odds
Atlanta Braves 9
Los Angeles Dodgers – 136
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 9, 2026
