Venue: T‑Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT / 9:40 PM ET
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: Bally Sports South, ROOT Sports Northwest, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — T‑MOBILE PARK
T‑Mobile Park features a retractable roof.
Roof Status: Expected closed due to cool temperatures
Temperature (inside): 70–72°F
Humidity: Controlled
Wind: Not applicable
Ballpark Impact:
Closed‑roof games favor pitching and contact hitters
Home‑run suppression slightly higher
Run scoring tends to be moderate to low
INJURY REPORT
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. (RF) — Probable, minor knee soreness
Austin Riley (3B) — Probable, back tightness
Max Fried (SP) — Out, elbow management
A.J. Minter (RP) — Out, shoulder fatigue
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodríguez (CF) — Probable, minor wrist soreness
Cal Raleigh (C) — Questionable, hamstring tightness
George Kirby (SP) — Out, forearm strain
Matt Brash (RP) — Out, elbow recovery
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Atlanta Braves (25–10)
Run Differential: +61
Road Record: 12–6
Last 10 Games: 8–2
Offense: 5.42 runs/game
Pitching: 3.61 ERA
Bullpen: 3.38 ERA (top‑10 MLB)
Seattle Mariners (16–19)
Run Differential: -18
Home Record: 9–10
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense: 3.92 runs/game
Pitching: 4.21 ERA
Bullpen: 4.02 ERA (middle‑tier)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Atlanta Braves
Offense surging: 5.7 runs/game over last 8
Rotation strong despite Fried’s absence
Acuña, Olson, and Murphy producing elite numbers
Bullpen dominant in leverage spots
Seattle Mariners
Offense inconsistent: 3.8 runs/game over last 7
Pitching staff stabilizing but missing Kirby
Rodríguez and France carrying most of the load
Bullpen showing signs of fatigue
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Atlanta — Spencer Strider (RHP)
2026 Season: 4–1, 3.22 ERA, 1.11 WHIP
Strengths: Elite strikeout ability, overpowering fastball
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues vs. lefties
Vs. Mariners: First career start in Seattle
Seattle — Logan Gilbert (RHP)
2026 Season: 3–3, 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
Strengths: Excellent command, strong slider
Weaknesses: Can struggle vs. elite right‑handed hitters
Vs. Braves: 3.75 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs. Logan Gilbert (SEA)
Acuña handles high‑velocity fastballs extremely well
Gilbert must avoid middle‑in locations Edge: Braves
2. Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs. Spencer Strider (ATL)
Rodríguez thrives vs. high‑velocity pitching
Strider’s slider must stay sharp Edge: Even
3. Matt Olson (ATL) vs. Mariners Bullpen
Olson’s left‑handed power plays well in T‑Mobile Park
Seattle’s bullpen has struggled vs. lefties Edge: Braves
4. Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Atlanta Right‑Handed Pitching
If active, Raleigh’s pull power is a factor Edge: Mariners (slight)
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Braves lead 3–1
Last 10 Meetings: Braves lead 7–3
At T‑Mobile Park: Braves have won 3 of last 4
Games often low‑scoring due to park factors.
BETTING TRENDS
Atlanta Braves
7–2 in last 9 road games
Over is 5–3 in last 8
9–3 in last 12 vs. teams below .500
Seattle Mariners
4–6 in last 10 home games
Under is 6–3 in last 9
3–7 in last 10 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
Atlanta Braves 7.5
Seattle Mariners – 156
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
