First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Surface: Natural grass
Series: Game 3 of 3 (Series tied 1–1)
Weather Report
- Temperature: 73–77°F
- Conditions: Mostly sunny
- Humidity: ~55%
- Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left-center
- Impact:
- Boosts right-handed pull power (A’s righty-heavy lineup benefits).
- Fly balls carry well at Camden Yards in warm, dry air.
- Slight lean toward overs unless pitching dominates.
Injury Report
Athletics
- SP Paul Blackburn — OUT (shoulder inflammation)
- OF Esteury Ruiz — Day-to-day (hamstring tightness)
- 3B Brett Harris — OUT (wrist fracture)
- RP Mason Miller — Healthy (usage monitored but available)
Baltimore Orioles
- SS Jackson Holliday — OUT (quad strain)
- C Adley Rutschman — Day-to-day (bruised hand; expected to play)
- OF Austin Hays — OUT (oblique)
- RP Yennier Cano — OUT (forearm strain)
- SP Kyle Bradish — Healthy (no restrictions)
Team Records & Form
Athletics (21–18)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 10–9
- Run Differential: +7
- Trend: Pitching outperforming expectations; offense inconsistent but timely.
- Strength: Bullpen anchored by Mason Miller; improved plate discipline.
- Weakness: Bottom-third in batting average; struggles vs. elite velocity.
Baltimore Orioles (17–23)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 9–11
- Run Differential: –18
- Trend: Offense streaky; pitching depth tested by injuries.
- Strength: Middle-of-order power (Mountcastle, Santander).
- Weakness: Bullpen volatility; defensive lapses without Holliday/Hays.
Probable Starting Pitchers
Athletics — LHP JP Sears (2–2, 3.86 ERA)
- 2026 Road ERA: 3.41
- WHIP: 1.19
- K/BB: Strong command profile
- Scouting Notes:
- Works up in the zone with a riding fastball.
- Orioles’ right-handed bats have mixed success vs. high-spin lefties.
- Vulnerable to early home runs but settles in well.
Baltimore — RHP Kyle Bradish (1–3, 4.12 ERA)
- 2026 Home ERA: 3.55
- WHIP: 1.27
- K/9: 9.4
- Scouting Notes:
- Slider remains his out pitch.
- A’s lineup struggles vs. quality breaking balls.
- Needs to avoid long counts; Oakland leads MLB in pitches per plate appearance.
Key Player Matchups
1. Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) vs. JP Sears
- Mountcastle crushes lefties (.310+ expected BA vs LHP).
- Sears must keep the fastball above the barrel.
2. Brent Rooker (OAK) vs. Kyle Bradish
- Rooker’s power plays well with wind blowing out.
- Bradish’s slider neutralizes him if located.
3. Mason Miller (OAK) vs. Orioles’ 7–9 hitters
- If Miller enters, Baltimore’s lower order is overmatched.
- Orioles must score early to avoid him.
4. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Sears
- Henderson’s improved plate discipline makes him dangerous vs. command-first lefties.
Series History
- 2025–2026 Combined: Orioles lead 6–4
- At Camden Yards: Orioles 4–2 in last six
- Trend: Baltimore typically handles Oakland at home, but A’s pitching has narrowed the gap this season.
Betting Trends
Athletics
- 5–1 last six road games vs. teams under .500
- Overs hit in 7 of last 10 A’s games
- Miller usage often correlates with unders late
Baltimore
- 2–5 last seven home games
- Unders hit in 5 of last 7 at Camden Yards
- Orioles are 4–10 when allowing 4+ runs
Head-to-Head
- Favorites are 6–4 in last 10 matchups
- Home team is 7–3 in last 10
Game Odds
Athletics – 112
Baltimore Orioles 10
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 9, 2026
