6 Furlongs | Dirt | Purse: $100,000 | Fillies & Mares, 3‑Year‑Olds & Up | Stakes
Race Details
Race: 2026 Chicken Fried Stakes – Race 10
Post Time: 9:05 PM CT
Surface: Dirt
Distance: 6 furlongs (one‑turn sprint)
Track Condition (Forecast): Fast
Weather Forecast: Clear skies, 88°F, light south winds 5–9 mph — warm Texas evening conditions that typically favor speed and tactical runners on Lone Star’s hard, fast dirt surface.
Field Analysis – Chicken Fried Stakes (Race 10)
(Morning line odds are projected based on typical Lone Star Park filly/mare sprint‑stakes patterns.)
Post 1 – Texas Toasty
ML Odds: 3‑1 Trainer: Bret Calhoun Jockey: Rey Gutierrez Recent Finishes: 1st, 2nd, 1st Preferred Track Conditions: Fast Running Style: Tactical speed / rail stalker
Analysis: Texas Toasty draws the rail — a major advantage in Lone Star sprints. She breaks sharply, sits just behind the leaders, and makes a decisive inside run. Her last win featured a sharp :11.3 final eighth, showing elite finishing speed. Calhoun’s barn dominates Texas sprint stakes, and Gutierrez is excellent at saving ground. If she avoids traffic, she’s a major win threat.
Post 2 – Southern Spice
ML Odds: 8‑1 Trainer: Karl Broberg Jockey: Ry Eikleberry Recent Finishes: 3rd, 4th, 2nd Preferred Track Conditions: Fast or good Running Style: Mid‑pack grinder
Analysis: Southern Spice is a steady, reliable mare who rarely runs a poor race. She lacks a huge turn of foot but sustains her run better than most. Eikleberry fits her well, and Broberg’s barn has been sharp with older sprinters. She needs a bit of pace up front, but if the leaders duel, she’ll be picking them off late.
Post 3 – Grand Prairie Gal
ML Odds: 12‑1 Trainer: Danny Pish Jockey: Erik Asmussen Recent Finishes: 5th, 3rd, 1st Preferred Track Conditions: Fast Running Style: Tactical speed
Analysis: Grand Prairie Gal is a tricky mare to read. Her best races are good enough to hit the board, but she’s inconsistent. Asmussen is an aggressive gate rider who may try to put her into the race early. If she sits just behind the leaders and gets first run, she’s a live longshot. If she’s shuffled back early, she’s less effective.
Post 4 – Chicken Fried Queen
ML Odds: 7‑2 Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Stewart Elliott Recent Finishes: 2nd, 1st, 2nd Preferred Track Conditions: Fast Running Style: Stalker / tactical closer
Analysis: Chicken Fried Queen enters in top form, with a win and two strong runner‑up finishes. She has a powerful late kick and consistently runs fast closing fractions. Elliott is excellent at timing late moves, and Asmussen’s barn has been sharp with fillies stretching out or cutting back. The only concern is trip — she can get stuck behind tiring horses. If she gets a clear lane, she’s a major threat.
Post 5 – Prairie Princess
ML Odds: 4‑1 Trainer: Cherie DeVaux Jockey: Florent Geroux Recent Finishes: 1st, 2nd, 1st Preferred Track Conditions: Fast Running Style: Versatile — can press or stalk
Analysis: Prairie Princess is the most versatile mare in the field. She can sit just off the pace or drop back and make one run. Her last two races were excellent — she pressed a moderate pace and still finished strongly. Geroux is a perfect fit for this type of horse, and DeVaux’s barn has been sharp with sprinters across the country. If the pace is moderate, she becomes extremely dangerous.
Post 6 – Dallas Diva
ML Odds: 15‑1 Trainer: J.R. Caldwell Jockey: Lane Luzzi Recent Finishes: 4th, 6th, 3rd Preferred Track Conditions: Fast Running Style: Deep closer
Analysis: Dallas Diva is the truest closer in the race, but that’s a tough style at Lone Star, where the sprint configuration heavily favors early speed. Luzzi is a strong finisher, but she will need a pace meltdown to win. She’s usable underneath in exotics but needs everything to go her way.
Post 7 – Cowgirl Comet
ML Odds: 6‑1 Trainer: Karl Broberg Jockey: David Cabrera Recent Finishes: 2nd, 1st, 2nd Preferred Track Conditions: Fast Running Style: Front‑running speed
Analysis: Cowgirl Comet is the likely pacesetter. She has wired fields before and is dangerous when left alone on the lead. Cabrera is excellent at rationing speed, and Broberg’s barn has been strong with sprinters stretching out or cutting back. If she gets comfortable fractions, she could take this field a long way. If she’s pressured early, she may fade late.
Pace Projection
Early Speed: Cowgirl Comet (7), Grand Prairie Gal (3)
Pressers: Prairie Princess (5), Texas Toasty (1)
Stalkers: Chicken Fried Queen (4), Southern Spice (2)
Closers: Dallas Diva (6)
Expected Scenario: Cowgirl Comet sends hard from the outside. Grand Prairie Gal applies pressure. Texas Toasty sits the perfect pocket trip. Prairie Princess stalks from the outside and gets first run on the tiring speed. Chicken Fried Queen looks to close late with a powerful stretch run.
Predicted Order of Finish
Texas Toasty (Post 1) – Rail draw + tactical speed + elite form
Prairie Princess (Post 5) – Versatility + ideal stalking position
Chicken Fried Queen (Post 4) – Strong closer, but needs racing luck
Cowgirl Comet (Post 7) – Speed holds for a piece
Southern Spice (Post 2) – Late run gets her into the superfecta
Grand Prairie Gal (Post 3) – Needs a clean break
Dallas Diva (Post 6) – Too much to do late
