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Horse Race Preview: Grade I 151st Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve at Churchill Downs

The 151st running of the Kentucky Derby, presented by Woodford Reserve, is set to take place on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Churchill Downs. This Grade I, 1 ¼-mile dirt race features a $5 million purse, with 20 of the top 3-year-old Thoroughbreds competing for the most prestigious prize in American horse racing.

Race Details

  • Track: Churchill Downs
  • Distance: 1 ¼ miles (Dirt)
  • Purse: $5,000,000
  • Age Eligibility: 3-year-olds
  • Post Time: 6:57 PM ET

Horses, Jockeys, Trainers & Pedigrees

1. Citizen Bull (USA) – Into Mischief x No Joke

  • Trainer: Bob Baffert
  • Jockey: Martin Garcia
  • Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC, and Donovan, Catherine
  • Recent Form: Has shown strong closing speed, finishing second in his last outing.

2. Neoequos (USA) – Neolithic x Bold Birdie

  • Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph Jr.
  • Jockey: Flavien Prat
  • Owner: C2 Racing Stable LLC, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables LLC, Stefania Farms LLC, Ken T. Reimer, Paul Braverman, and Timothy Pinch
  • Recent Form: Won his last race at Gulfstream Park, displaying late acceleration.

3. Final Gambit (USA) – Not This Time x Pachinko

  • Trainer: Brad H. Cox
  • Jockey: Luan Machado
  • Owner: Juddmonte
  • Recent Form: Career-best victory last time out, transitioning well to longer distances.

4. Rodriguez (USA) – Authentic x Cayala

  • Trainer: Bob Baffert
  • Jockey: Mike E. Smith
  • Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC, and Donovan, Catherine
  • Recent Form: Consistent performer, placed second in his last outing.

5. American Promise (USA) – Justify x Tapella

  • Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
  • Jockey: Nik Juarez
  • Owner: BC Stables LLC
  • Recent Form: Strong finisher, placed fourth in last race.

6. Admire Daytona (JPN) – Drefong x Ice Pastel

  • Trainer: Yukihiro Kato
  • Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
  • Owner: Junko Kondo
  • Recent Form: Mid-pack finisher in last race, needs improvement.

7. Luxor Cafe (USA) – American Pharoah x Mary’s Follies

  • Trainer: Noriyuki Hori
  • Jockey: Joao Moreira
  • Owner: Koichi Nishikawa
  • Recent Form: Won his last race at Santa Anita, proving his ability at this distance.

8. Journalism (USA) – Curlin x Mopotism

  • Trainer: Michael W. McCarthy
  • Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
  • Owner: Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Robert V. LaPenta, Elayne Stables 5 LLC, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor, and Derrick Smith
  • Recent Form: Blue Grass Stakes winner, showing strong form.

9. Burnham Square (USA) – Liam’s Map x Linda

  • Trainer: Ian R. Wilkes
  • Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr.
  • Owner: Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC
  • Recent Form: Runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes, proving his ability at Churchill Downs.

10. Grande (USA) – Curlin x Journey Home

  • Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
  • Jockey: John R. Velazquez
  • Owner: Repole Stable
  • Recent Form: Finished third in the Florida Derby, showing late acceleration.

11. Flying Mohawk (USA) – Karakontie x Bonbons Fleur

  • Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman
  • Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos
  • Owner: Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing LLC, and Kaleta Racing
  • Recent Form: Has shown flashes of speed but needs a breakout performance.

12. East Avenue (USA) – Medaglia d’Oro x Dance Music

  • Trainer: Brendan P. Walsh
  • Jockey: Manuel Franco
  • Owner: Godolphin LLC
  • Recent Form: Finished second in the Blue Grass Stakes, proving his ability at Churchill Downs.

Race Analysis & Predictions

Top Contenders:

  • Journalism (3/1 odds) – Blue Grass Stakes winner, showing strong form.
  • Burnham Square (12/1 odds) – Runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes, proving his ability at Churchill Downs.
  • Grande (20/1 odds) – Florida Derby third-place finisher, showing late acceleration.

Dark Horses:

  • Rodriguez (12/1 odds) – Consistent performer, could surprise.
  • Luxor Cafe (15/1 odds) – Has shown late acceleration, making him a threat.

2025 Kentucky Derby Odds

HORSE                                                                  ODDS

Journalism                                                          + 300

Sovereignty                                                       + 700

Sandman                                                             + 1000

Burnham Square                                              + 1000

Tappan Street                                                    + 1200

Rodriguez                                                            + 1400

Luxor Café                                                           + 1400

Citizen Bull                                                         + 2000

Baeza                                                                    + 2000

Tiztastik                                                               + 2200

American Promise                                          + 2200

Grande                                                                 + 2200

East Avenue                                                       + 2500

Coal Battle                                                          + 2500

Final Gambit                                                      + 2500

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