FBS-CFB Game Preview: Utah State Aggies (3-2) vs.  Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (4-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Capacity: ~9,000)

Location: Honolulu, Hawai’i

Kickoff Time: 11:59 PM ET / 5:59 PM HT

Broadcast: Spectrum Sports / Mountain West Network

Weather Forecast (Honolulu, HI)

Conditions: Clear skies, humid island evening

Kickoff Temp: 79°F (26°C)

Wind: 8–12 mph (trade winds)

Precipitation: 10% chance of light showers

Impact: Typical Hawai’i conditions—warm and humid, but no major weather disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Utah State Aggies: No major injuries reported.

Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors: No major injuries reported.

(Both teams enter this matchup healthy.)

Key Player Matchups

QB Bryson Barnes (Utah State) vs. Hawai’i Secondary

Barnes: 1,143 yards, 11 TDs, 1 INT, 65.9% completion 7][8].

Hawai’i Pass Defense: Allowing 187.7 YPG (#43 FBS).

RB Miles Davis (Utah State) vs. LB Peter Manuma (Hawai’i)

Davis: 314 yards, 2 TDs, 6.3 YPC.

Manuma: 33 tackles, 2 TFL, defensive leader.

WR Braden Pegan (Utah State) vs. CB Cam Stone (Hawai’i)

Pegan: 369 yards, 4 TDs.

Stone: 2 INTs, 15 tackles.

QB Micah Alejado (Hawai’i) vs. Utah State Secondary

Alejado: 1,043 yards, 6 TDs, 4 INTs, 65.9% completion 7][8].

Utah State Pass Defense: Allowing 226 YPG (#79 FBS).

RB Landon Sims (Hawai’i) vs. Utah State Front Seven

Sims: 241 yards, 1 TD, 4.1 YPC.

Utah State Run Defense: Allowing 187 YPG (#120 FBS).

WR Pofele Ashlock (Hawai’i) vs. CB Noah Avinger (Utah State)

Ashlock: 355 yards, 3 TDs.

Avinger: 3 INTs, 38 tackles.

Recent Team Form

Utah State Aggies (3-2, 1-1 MWC)

Last game: Lost 55-35 to Vanderbilt (SEC).

Offense: 420.6 YPG (#51), 36.4 PPG (#30).

Defense: 413 YPG allowed (#114), 30.4 PPG allowed (#111).

Strength: Efficient QB play (Barnes 11 TD, 1 INT).

Weakness: Run defense (#120 nationally).

Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors

Last game: Defeated Air Force 44-35.

Offense: 368.8 YPG (#80), 25.7 PPG (#86).

Defense: 316 YPG allowed (#38), 23.5 PPG allowed (#69).

Strength: Passing offense (#32 nationally, 275.5 YPG).

Weakness: Turnover margin (-7, last in FBS).

Series History (Winsipedia][4], Utah State Athletics]

All-Time Record: Utah State leads 13–6.

Current Streak: Utah State has won 8 straight (2011–2024).

Last Meeting: 2022 – Utah State 41, Hawai’i 34 (in Honolulu).

At Honolulu: Utah State leads 6–4.

Notable: Hawai’i’s last win came in 2010; Aggies have dominated the series in the Mountain West era.

Betting Trends

Utah State:

5-0 ATS this season.

3-0 ATS as underdog.

3 of 5 games Over.

Hawai’i:

4-2 ATS this season.

2-1 ATS as underdog.

2 of 6 games Over.

Head-to-Head:

Utah State 8-0 SU vs. Hawai’i since 2011.

Last 5 meetings: Utah State 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS.

3 of last 5 meetings went Over.

Historical Betting Results

2022: Utah State -10, failed to cover (41-34, Over).

2021: Utah State -3, covered (51-31, Over).

2018: Utah State -18, covered (56-17, Over).

2017: Utah State -10, covered (38-0, Under).

2014: Utah State -7, covered (35-14, Under).

Projected Score: Utah State 34, Hawai’i 27

Game Odds

Utah State Aggies                            – 1.5

Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors           57.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025

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