FBS-CFB Game Preview: San Diego State (4-1) vs.  Nevada Wolfpack (1-4)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Mackay Stadium (Capacity: 30,000)

Location: Reno, Nevada

Kickoff Time: 10:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM PT

Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Weather Forecast (Reno, NV)

Conditions: Clear skies, cool mountain evening

Kickoff Temp: 61°F (16°C), dropping into the low 50s by the 4th quarter

Wind: 6–10 mph (NW)

Precipitation: 0% chance

Impact: Ideal football weather; no weather-related concerns.

Injury Report

San Diego State Aztecs

No major injuries reported; QB Jayden Denegal, RBs Lucky Sutton and Byron Cardwell Jr., and WR Jordan Napier all healthy.

Nevada Wolf Pack

QB situation uncertain: Chubba Purdy (8 INTs this season) may be replaced by freshman Carter Jones, who impressed in relief vs. Fresno State.

No other major injuries reported.

Key Player Matchups

QB Jayden Denegal (SDSU) vs. Nevada Secondary

Denegal: 895 yards, 5 TDs, 2 INTs, 63.3% completion.

Nevada Pass Defense: Allowing 234.6 YPG (#90 FBS).

RB Lucky Sutton (SDSU) vs. Nevada Front Seven

Sutton: 450 yards, 5 TDs, 5.1 YPC.

Nevada Run Defense: 138.4 YPG allowed (#63 FBS).

WR Jordan Napier (SDSU) vs. CB Isaiah Essissima (Nevada)

Napier: 32 receptions, 446 yards, 2 TDs.

Essissima: 2 INTs, 18 tackles.

QB Carter Jones (Nevada) vs. SDSU Secondary

Jones (last game vs. Fresno): 11-of-15, 121 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT.

SDSU Pass Defense: Allowing just 158 YPG (#17 FBS).

RB Caleb Ramseur (Nevada) vs. SDSU Linebackers

Ramseur: 236 yards, 2 TDs.

SDSU Run Defense: 104.8 YPG allowed (#27 FBS).

DL Owen Chambliss (SDSU) vs. Nevada O-Line

Chambliss: 46 tackles, 4.5 TFL, 2 sacks.

Nevada O-Line: Allowed 12 sacks in 5 games.

Recent Team Form

San Diego State Aztecs

Last game: Defeated Colorado State 45-24.

Offense: 361.2 YPG (#88), 28 PPG (#73).

Defense: 262.8 YPG allowed (#15), 12.6 PPG allowed (#10).

Strength: Top-10 scoring defense, elite pass defense.

Weakness: Penalties (63.4 YPG, #98 FBS).

Nevada Wolf Pack

Last game: Lost 20-17 to Fresno State.

Offense: 320.6 YPG (#119), 15.4 PPG (#131).

Defense: 373 YPG allowed (#74), 25.6 PPG allowed (#82).

Strength: Solid run game (177.2 YPG, #50 FBS).

Weakness: Passing offense (#128 nationally), -9 turnover margin (#135 FBS).

Series History

All-Time Record: San Diego State leads 9–7.

Current Streak: Nevada won last meeting (2023, 6-0).

Last Meeting: 2023 – Nevada 6, SDSU 0 (in San Diego).

At Reno: Series tied 4–4.

Notable: Nevada’s 2023 win snapped a 16-game losing streak.

Betting Trends

San Diego State:

4-1 ATS this season.

2-0 ATS as road favorite.

3 of last 4 games Over.

Nevada:

2-3 ATS this season.

1-2 ATS as underdog.

4 of last 5 games Under.

Head-to-Head:

Underdog has won 4 of last 6 meetings.

Last 5 meetings: SDSU 3-2 SU.

3 of last 5 meetings went Under.

Historical Betting Results

2023: Nevada +14, upset win (6-0, Under).

2022: SDSU -6, covered (23-7, Under).

2021: Nevada +2, upset win (27-24, Over).

2020: Nevada +7, upset win (26-21, Under).

2019: SDSU -17, failed to cover (19-13, Under).

Projected Score: San Diego State 24, Nevada 13

Game Odds

San Diego State                – 7

Nevada Wolfpack            41.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025

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