Venue & Game Info
Location: Key Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Capacity: ~10,500 (outdoor stadium)
Weather Forecast: Cold, ~42°F, partly cloudy, NW winds 9–11 mph, chance of light rain showers
Broadcast: NCAA.com / ESPN+
Injury Report
MSU–Moorhead Dragons: RB Zach Sims (ankle) questionable; WR Jake Richter cleared after minor hamstring strain.
UIndy Greyhounds: QB Ryan Minor (shoulder soreness) probable; LB David Griffith (knee) out for season.
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
MSU–Moorhead: Tommy Falk – 2,785 yards, 26 TD, 9 INT
UIndy: Ryan Minor – 3,012 yards, 28 TD, 7 INT
Running Backs:
MSU–Moorhead: Zach Sims – 987 yards, 10 TD (questionable)
UIndy: Jalen Smith – 1,045 yards, 12 TD
Receivers:
MSU–Moorhead: Jake Richter – 865 yards, 8 TD
UIndy: Isaiah Mayfield – 1,102 yards, 9 TD
Defensive Leaders:
MSU–Moorhead: LB Chris Johnson – 102 tackles, 6 sacks
UIndy: DL Marcus Williams – 88 tackles, 9 sacks
Recent Team Form
MSU–Moorhead:
W vs Bemidji State (28-24)
W vs Winona State (35-21)
L vs Minnesota State–Mankato (31-20)
W vs Northern State (42-14)
W vs Concordia–St. Paul (38-17)
UIndy:
W vs Truman State (27-24)
W vs McKendree (35-14)
W vs Quincy (41-10)
L vs Grand Valley State (34-20)
W vs Lindenwood (38-17)
Series History
First-ever postseason meeting between MSU–Moorhead and UIndy.
Programs have not met in regular season play, making this a fresh matchup.
Betting Trends
UIndy has covered in 4 of last 5 games.
MSU–Moorhead is 3-2 ATS in last 5, but struggled against nationally ranked opponents.
UIndy games trend over due to offensive firepower.
Historical Betting Results
MSU–Moorhead covered vs Bemidji State (+3.5), winning outright 28–24.
UIndy failed to cover vs Grand Valley State (+6.5), losing 34–20.
UIndy 6–2 ATS in playoff games since 2020.
Projected Score: UIndy 31 – MSU–Moorhead 24
Reasoning: UIndy’s balanced offense and home-field advantage should control the game. MSU–Moorhead’s upset potential hinges on Sims’ health and Falk’s efficiency, but UIndy’s depth and GLVC-tested defense make them strong favorites.
Final Take: Expect a competitive playoff clash. MSU–Moorhead’s NSIC pedigree meets UIndy’s GLVC dominance, with the Greyhounds favored to advance at home.
Game Odds
MSU-Moorhead Dragons 52
UIndy Greyhounds – 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025
