Horse Race Preview: Grade I 151st Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve at Churchill Downs

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The 151st running of the Kentucky Derby, presented by Woodford Reserve, is set to take place on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Churchill Downs. This Grade I, 1 ¼-mile dirt race features a $5 million purse, with 20 of the top 3-year-old Thoroughbreds competing for the most prestigious prize in American horse racing.

Race Details

  • Track: Churchill Downs
  • Distance: 1 ¼ miles (Dirt)
  • Purse: $5,000,000
  • Age Eligibility: 3-year-olds
  • Post Time: 6:57 PM ET

Horses, Jockeys, Trainers & Pedigrees

1. Citizen Bull (USA) – Into Mischief x No Joke

  • Trainer: Bob Baffert
  • Jockey: Martin Garcia
  • Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC, and Donovan, Catherine
  • Recent Form: Has shown strong closing speed, finishing second in his last outing.

2. Neoequos (USA) – Neolithic x Bold Birdie

  • Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph Jr.
  • Jockey: Flavien Prat
  • Owner: C2 Racing Stable LLC, Ian Parsard, Shining Stables LLC, Stefania Farms LLC, Ken T. Reimer, Paul Braverman, and Timothy Pinch
  • Recent Form: Won his last race at Gulfstream Park, displaying late acceleration.

3. Final Gambit (USA) – Not This Time x Pachinko

  • Trainer: Brad H. Cox
  • Jockey: Luan Machado
  • Owner: Juddmonte
  • Recent Form: Career-best victory last time out, transitioning well to longer distances.

4. Rodriguez (USA) – Authentic x Cayala

  • Trainer: Bob Baffert
  • Jockey: Mike E. Smith
  • Owner: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Masterson, Robert E., Ryan, Tom J., Waves Edge Capital LLC, and Donovan, Catherine
  • Recent Form: Consistent performer, placed second in his last outing.

5. American Promise (USA) – Justify x Tapella

  • Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
  • Jockey: Nik Juarez
  • Owner: BC Stables LLC
  • Recent Form: Strong finisher, placed fourth in last race.

6. Admire Daytona (JPN) – Drefong x Ice Pastel

  • Trainer: Yukihiro Kato
  • Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
  • Owner: Junko Kondo
  • Recent Form: Mid-pack finisher in last race, needs improvement.

7. Luxor Cafe (USA) – American Pharoah x Mary’s Follies

  • Trainer: Noriyuki Hori
  • Jockey: Joao Moreira
  • Owner: Koichi Nishikawa
  • Recent Form: Won his last race at Santa Anita, proving his ability at this distance.

8. Journalism (USA) – Curlin x Mopotism

  • Trainer: Michael W. McCarthy
  • Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
  • Owner: Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Robert V. LaPenta, Elayne Stables 5 LLC, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor, and Derrick Smith
  • Recent Form: Blue Grass Stakes winner, showing strong form.

9. Burnham Square (USA) – Liam’s Map x Linda

  • Trainer: Ian R. Wilkes
  • Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr.
  • Owner: Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC
  • Recent Form: Runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes, proving his ability at Churchill Downs.

10. Grande (USA) – Curlin x Journey Home

  • Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
  • Jockey: John R. Velazquez
  • Owner: Repole Stable
  • Recent Form: Finished third in the Florida Derby, showing late acceleration.

11. Flying Mohawk (USA) – Karakontie x Bonbons Fleur

  • Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman
  • Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos
  • Owner: Two Eight Racing, Berry Family Racing LLC, and Kaleta Racing
  • Recent Form: Has shown flashes of speed but needs a breakout performance.

12. East Avenue (USA) – Medaglia d’Oro x Dance Music

  • Trainer: Brendan P. Walsh
  • Jockey: Manuel Franco
  • Owner: Godolphin LLC
  • Recent Form: Finished second in the Blue Grass Stakes, proving his ability at Churchill Downs.

Race Analysis & Predictions

Top Contenders:

  • Journalism (3/1 odds) – Blue Grass Stakes winner, showing strong form.
  • Burnham Square (12/1 odds) – Runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes, proving his ability at Churchill Downs.
  • Grande (20/1 odds) – Florida Derby third-place finisher, showing late acceleration.

Dark Horses:

  • Rodriguez (12/1 odds) – Consistent performer, could surprise.
  • Luxor Cafe (15/1 odds) – Has shown late acceleration, making him a threat.

2025 Kentucky Derby Odds

HORSE                                                                  ODDS

Journalism                                                          + 300

Sovereignty                                                       + 700

Sandman                                                             + 1000

Burnham Square                                              + 1000

Tappan Street                                                    + 1200

Rodriguez                                                            + 1400

Luxor Café                                                           + 1400

Citizen Bull                                                         + 2000

Baeza                                                                    + 2000

Tiztastik                                                               + 2200

American Promise                                          + 2200

Grande                                                                 + 2200

East Avenue                                                       + 2500

Coal Battle                                                          + 2500

Final Gambit                                                      + 2500