Scheduled First Pitch: 6:38 PM PT
Venue Type: Slightly pitcher‑friendly at night; boosts HRs to LF during warm conditions.
WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS
Anaheim Forecast:
Temp: 82°F at first pitch
Humidity: 54%
Wind: W 8 mph (blowing out toward LF)
Precipitation: 0%
Conditions: Warm, clear evening
Weather slightly favors right‑handed pull hitters; warm air increases carry.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Houston — RHP Roki Imai
2026 Season: 6–7, 3.61 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
Electric fastball (97–99 mph) + elite splitter
Angels struggle vs. elite velocity (team OPS .662 vs. 96+ mph)
Road ERA: 3.88
Key strength: swing‑and‑miss splitter; suppresses HRs
Key vulnerability: occasional walk spikes; early command variance
Los Angeles — RHP José Ureña
2026 Season: 3–8, 5.12 ERA, 1.41 WHIP
Sinker/slider veteran
Astros crush sinkers (team SLG .489 vs. sinkers)
Home ERA: 4.87
Key strength: induces ground balls
Key vulnerability: left‑handed power (Alvarez, Tucker)
CURRENT TEAM FORM
Houston Astros — Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense averaging 4.8 runs/game
Bullpen improving (3.51 ERA last 10)
Road record: 24–29
Strength: elite left‑handed power (Alvarez, Tucker)
Weakness: inconsistent bottom‑third lineup
Los Angeles Angels — Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense averaging 3.7 runs/game
Bullpen struggling (5.02 ERA last 10)
Home record: 21–33
Strength: young hitters (Neto, Schanuel) showing flashes
Weakness: rotation instability, bullpen collapse, low SLG
INJURY REPORT
Houston Astros
2B Jose Altuve — Day‑to‑Day (wrist)
RP Ryan Pressly — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
SP Hunter Brown — IL (elbow)
OF Kyle Tucker — Active
Los Angeles Angels
OF Mike Trout — IL (back)
3B Anthony Rendon — IL (hip)
RP Carlos Estévez — 15‑Day IL (lat)
SP Reid Detmers — Active but limited
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Roki Imai vs. Logan O’Hoppe
O’Hoppe vs. splitters: .211 AVG, .389 SLG
Imai’s splitter is elite Edge: Imai
Roki Imai vs. Zach Neto
Neto handles high velocity well but struggles vs. breaking balls Edge: Slight Imai
José Ureña vs. Yordan Alvarez
Alvarez vs. sinkers: .318 AVG, .612 SLG
Ureña’s sinker is his primary pitch Edge: Alvarez (massive)
José Ureña vs. Kyle Tucker
Tucker vs. sliders: .288 AVG, .540 SLG
Ureña’s slider is inconsistent Edge: Tucker
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season Series: Astros lead 3–1
Last 20 meetings: Houston 14–6
At Angel Stadium (last 3 seasons): Houston 17–10
Astros have dominated Angels in games started by power RHP
BETTING TRENDS
Houston
Astros are 7–3 in Imai’s last 10 starts
Over is 8–4 in Astros’ last 12 road games
Houston is 6–1 in their last 7 games vs. Angels
Los Angeles
Angels are 3–9 in Ureña’s last 12 starts
Under is 10–5 in Angels’ last 15 home games
Angels are 2–8 in their last 10 games vs. teams above .500
Head‑to‑Head
Astros have covered RL in 6 of last 8
Over has hit in 7 of last 10
Houston has scored 5+ runs in 5 straight games vs. LAA
ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT
Pitching WAR (2026)
Imai: 2.4 WAR
Ureña: 0.3 WAR
Team OPS (Last 30 Days)
Houston: .741
Los Angeles: .694
Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)
Houston: 3.62
Los Angeles: 5.01
Run Expectancy Model
Projected scoring:
Houston: 5.2–5.9 runs
Los Angeles: 3.6–4.2 runs
Game Odds
Houston Astros – 106
Los Angeles Angels 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026
